{"run_id":"2026-wildfire-southern-europe","ventures":[{"id":"I009","name":"Avincis","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Operates the aerial suppression fleet that national and regional governments contract on an availability basis, delivering water and retardant onto the fire front so that spread is arrested before it reaches built assets. Capacity is the mechanism by which most public firefighting budget in all four pilot countries converts into physical effect.","mechanism_tags":["aerial_suppression","availability_contract","public_procurement","fleet_capacity"],"tech_stack":["fixed_wing_aircraft","helicopters","canadair_cl415"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports","regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_aerial_suppression_operators","title":"Aerial Firefighting & Emergency Medical Services | AVINCIS","tier":"T3","publisher":"avincis","url":"https://www.avincis.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.avincis.com/","snapshot_hash":"efa9f4838e6c3cfcf11916ec092cc6612e9a5138db600876fe69c32d0a25bb79","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/efa9f4838e6c3cfcf11916ec092cc6612e9a5138db600876fe69c32d0a25bb79.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:07Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_avincis_spain_contracts","title":"Avincis secures firefighting contracts in Spain for 14 aircraft","tier":"T3","publisher":"avincis","url":"https://www.avincis.com/press-release-avincis-secures-firefighting-contracts-in-spain-for-14-aircraft/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.avincis.com/press-release-avincis-secures-firefighting-contracts-in-spain-for-14-aircraft/","snapshot_hash":"21487f19848e96d16700ebf0a101cce4457611689f93a50a6fef496093c365f4","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/21487f19848e96d16700ebf0a101cce4457611689f93a50a6fef496093c365f4.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:17:56Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_avincis_ancala_ownership","title":"Avincis - Europe's largest aerial emergency services provider (Ancala Partners portfolio page)","tier":"T2","publisher":"ancala_partners","url":"https://ancala.com/portfolio/avincis/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260420061438/https://ancala.com/portfolio/avincis/","snapshot_hash":"6307745d3a328820666bce32874a179136edef6e83d40f7da8b09c9c9d4f7cba","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6307745d3a328820666bce32874a179136edef6e83d40f7da8b09c9c9d4f7cba.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:17:54Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Avincis is Europe's largest operator of emergency aerial services and supplies the physical mechanism by which most public firefighting budget in the four pilot countries converts into effect: water and retardant delivered onto the fire front under availability-based contracts with national and regional governments, so spread is arrested before it reaches built assets. Its Southern-European footprint is the largest in the pilot: 39 firefighting aircraft across Spain with more than 300 dedicated professionals, more than 70 firefighting aircraft globally, more than 8,500 wildfire suppression flight hours in 2024, 18 CL-415 and five CL-215 making it the largest private Canadair operator in the world, and a seven-year contract to operate the CL-415 fleet owned by Italy's national firefighting brigade, alongside new awards from Spain's MITECO and Castilla-La Mancha. Every one of those numbers is an input: no hectares, structures or euros of loss avoided are published anywhere, and no contract value is disclosed for any award. For VIG this is observation-only and belongs in the capacity assumption rather than the partnership pipeline - the company is an infrastructure-fund portfolio asset selling availability to states, with no insurance interface at all. Handle the fleet figures carefully: the company's own site contradicts itself on base count and quotes aircraft counts on five different denominators, the Spanish contracts release is undated in the captured text, and the EUR 136.2 million acquisition price commonly attributed to the Ancala carve-out is unevidenced.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"An infrastructure-fund-owned asset selling availability to states, with no insurance interface. Its value to VIG is as a capacity indicator, not as a counterparty.","next_step":"Track contracted aircraft counts per pilot country as an input to the suppression capacity assumption; trigger for review is any national tender lapse or fleet reduction."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Avincis Aviation Group, S.A.U.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"89450083049SNWKPL642","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/89450083049SNWKPL642"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"A85989481","source":"https://www.avincis.com/es/terminos/"}],"registered_address":"Aeródromo de Mutxamel, Partida la Almaina 92, 03110 Mutxamel (Alicante), España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.avincis.com/es/terminos/","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/89450083049SNWKPL642","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/9598006U5CZR4GJCKH80"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"avincis.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.avincis.com/es/terminos/ — a legal-terms page on the candidate domain itself — states verbatim 'Avincis Aviation Group, S.A.U.', CIF 'A85989481' and 'Partida la Almaina 92, 03110, Mutxamel (Alicante), Espana'. Legal name, registration number and registered address all match venture_ident","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://www.avincis.com/wp-content/themes/Avincis/./dist/img/Favicon.svg","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"svg_no_rasterizer","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a per-property installed component. An availability-contracted aircraft fleet has none and cannot acquire one; this venture will not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Avincis: aerial suppression fleet sold to national and regional governments on an availability basis. Water and retardant are delivered onto the fire front from aircraft; there is no per-property installation and no insurance interface of any kind.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_aerial_suppression_surge_capacity","category_name":"Aerial Suppression and Cross-Border Surge Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/avincis.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I010","name":"Eliance","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Second Spanish private operator of aerial firefighting and aerial coordination assets, also flying powerline and gas-line inspection, so it supplies both direct suppression capacity and the inspection sorties that underpin utility ignition prevention.","mechanism_tags":["aerial_suppression","aerial_coordination","powerline_inspection","fleet_capacity"],"tech_stack":["fixed_wing_aircraft","helicopters","aerial_survey"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_eliance_operator","title":"Operador de servicios de aviacion | Eliance","tier":"T3","publisher":"eliance","url":"https://www.eliance.es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260516181259/https://www.eliance.es/","snapshot_hash":"f8ce16b49b3475bcf61d85805be8bf32b1be7216a6abbe374552ea70598e8184","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/f8ce16b49b3475bcf61d85805be8bf32b1be7216a6abbe374552ea70598e8184.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_aerial_suppression_operators","title":"Aerial Firefighting & Emergency Medical Services | AVINCIS","tier":"T3","publisher":"avincis","url":"https://www.avincis.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.avincis.com/","snapshot_hash":"efa9f4838e6c3cfcf11916ec092cc6612e9a5138db600876fe69c32d0a25bb79","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/efa9f4838e6c3cfcf11916ec092cc6612e9a5138db600876fe69c32d0a25bb79.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:07Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Eliance is the second Spanish private operator of aerial firefighting and aerial coordination assets, and it also flies powerline and gas-line inspection, so it supplies both direct suppression capacity and the inspection sorties that underpin utility ignition prevention. Its self-reported Southern-European scale is 76 operational bases, more than 90 operated aircraft, more than 400 staff and 447,032 cumulative flight hours, flown from Cuatro Vientos in Madrid. All of those figures are vendor-asserted and undated, the flight-hours figure is a lifetime total with no start year and cannot be annualised, the aircraft count mixes types and mission types and is not a firefighting fleet count, and no effectiveness evidence of any kind exists. For VIG this is observation-only, and its analytical purpose is narrow but real: it establishes that Spanish aerial suppression capacity is not single-supplier, so the pilot's hazard estimate is not exposed to one commercial counterparty. The caveat a reviewer would find is that no customer is named anywhere on the company's site - no ministry, no region, no contract - so this venture's adoption cannot be dated at all.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Included to establish that Spanish aerial capacity is not single-supplier. No insurer interface exists and no customer is publicly named.","next_step":"Include in the annual Spanish suppression-capacity scan; trigger for re-assessment is any published concentration or competition-authority finding in Spanish aerial firefighting."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Eliance Global Services, S.L.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"959800CL2MQRQ2YKSQ77","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/959800CL2MQRQ2YKSQ77"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"M-597966-8","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/959800CL2MQRQ2YKSQ77"}],"registered_address":"Aeropuerto de Cuatro Vientos, Carretera al Barrio de la Fortuna s/n, Sector C, Hangar 3, 28054 Madrid","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.eliance.es/aviso-legal/","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/959800CL2MQRQ2YKSQ77"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"eliance.es","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"address","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://eliance.es","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/60824a49db13fa237765f36d/60824a49db13fa18b165f3ee_favicon.png","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a per-property installed component. An availability-contracted aircraft fleet has none and cannot acquire one; this venture will not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Eliance: second Spanish private operator of aerial firefighting and aerial-coordination assets. Same structure as Avincis - contracted capacity flown over the landscape, with nothing installed at an insured building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_aerial_suppression_surge_capacity","category_name":"Aerial Suppression and Cross-Border Surge Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/eliance.md","flags":["logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I023","name":"EU Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM / ERCC)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Coordinates cross-border mobilisation of firefighting assets and pre-positioned ground teams through the Emergency Response Coordination Centre, converting other member states' idle suppression capacity into surge capacity for the country that is burning, which shortens the period during which a large fire is under-resourced.","mechanism_tags":["cross_border_mutual_aid","pre_positioned_teams","response_coordination","tail_event_response"],"tech_stack":["coordination_platform","aerial_means","ground_teams"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"obvious","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_ucpm_activations","title":"EU civil protection mechanism - European Commission","tier":"T1","publisher":"european_commission","url":"https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/eu-civil-protection-mechanism_en","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260725120352/https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/eu-civil-protection-mechanism_en","snapshot_hash":"c4bd8edb6a81e03a06796714435d305263176a20252dd2793cbcc7c8eff47afe","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/c4bd8edb6a81e03a06796714435d305263176a20252dd2793cbcc7c8eff47afe.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:21:12Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_eu_civil_protection","title":"rescEU - European Commission, Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations","tier":"T1","publisher":"european_commission","url":"https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/resceu_en","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260725194433/https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/resceu_en","snapshot_hash":"9f3ab8d7f1dcf078c566c0c4b84d680da0e2cd69641a9888ea5a8e39c37e10c3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/9f3ab8d7f1dcf078c566c0c4b84d680da0e2cd69641a9888ea5a8e39c37e10c3.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:01:10Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"The EU Civil Protection Mechanism is the coordination layer through which a disaster-hit country requests assistance and the Emergency Response Coordination Centre mobilises participating-state and rescEU assets, converting other member states' idle suppression capacity into surge capacity for the country that is burning and shortening the period during which a large fire is under-resourced. Its footprint spans the EU plus ten additional participating states, and it has been activated more than 880 times since 2002, including 64 times in 2025. Those counts are all-hazard rather than wildfire-specific, and the 2025 wildfire deployment detail commonly quoted - 19 wildfire activations across 11 countries with 38 airplanes, 20 helicopters and more than 760 personnel - appears in no snapshot; activation is in any case a lagging, tail-weighted indicator of demand for assistance, not a measure of loss avoided, and a rising count can as easily signal worsening hazard as improving cooperation. For VIG this is observation-only and belongs in the sensitivity work rather than the pipeline: its real relevance is the correlation problem it exposes, since Southern-European fire seasons peak together and mutual aid is least available exactly when it is most needed. Anyone using activation counts as a correlated-season indicator should note that they cannot be decomposed to wildfire from the source captured here.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Public infrastructure; VIG's interest is in the correlation problem it exposes, since simultaneous Southern-European fire seasons are exactly when mutual aid is least available.","next_step":"Use UCPM wildfire activation counts as a correlated-season indicator in the Phase VII sensitivity work; trigger is the next multi-country Southern-European peak season."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Union Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Decision No 1313/2013/EU","programme_host":"European Commission, Directorate-General for European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations (DG ECHO)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32013D1313","https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/eu-civil-protection-mechanism_en"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"europa.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The Union Civil Protection Mechanism is a European Commission instrument (Decision No 1313/2013/EU) run by DG ECHO. Its official page is the venture's recorded identity_source https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/eu-civil-protection-mechanism_en, registrable d","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I023","source_url":"https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/themes/contrib/oe_theme/images/favicons/ec/favicon.ico","hash":"e5b57e149a99032a32daf3ae7ae294ed32489d6fcb87e0fdb459066936400c3d","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a per-property installed component. An availability-contracted aircraft fleet has none and cannot acquire one; this venture will not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"EU Civil Protection Mechanism (UCPM / ERCC): cross-border mobilisation of suppression assets and pre-positioned ground teams through a coordination centre. Public coordination infrastructure; nothing is installed at insured premises.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_aerial_suppression_surge_capacity","category_name":"Aerial Suppression and Cross-Border Surge Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/eu_civil_protection_mechanism.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I031","name":"Italian state aerial fleet and COAU coordination","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"The national aerial firefighting fleet, coordinated centrally by COAU and deployed each season on the basis of climate and weather forecasts, the national fire-danger bulletin, historical statistics, regional fleet strength and water-source availability, supplying reinforcement to regional suppression systems on request.","mechanism_tags":["aerial_suppression","central_coordination","seasonal_deployment","regional_reinforcement"],"tech_stack":["canadair_cl415","heavy_helicopters","fire_danger_bulletin"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_italy_aib_campaign","title":"Campagna antincendio boschivo 2025 - Dipartimento della Protezione Civile","tier":"T1","publisher":"protezione_civile_italia","url":"https://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/it/approfondimento/campagna-antincendio-boschivo-2025/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260414154032/https://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/it/approfondimento/campagna-antincendio-boschivo-2025/","snapshot_hash":"a0e25aa8c03d8b0909a66362638de99790ad465dac7c711d3a260264f397e051","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/a0e25aa8c03d8b0909a66362638de99790ad465dac7c711d3a260264f397e051.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:49:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_avincis_spain_contracts","title":"Avincis secures firefighting contracts in Spain for 14 aircraft","tier":"T3","publisher":"avincis","url":"https://www.avincis.com/press-release-avincis-secures-firefighting-contracts-in-spain-for-14-aircraft/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.avincis.com/press-release-avincis-secures-firefighting-contracts-in-spain-for-14-aircraft/","snapshot_hash":"21487f19848e96d16700ebf0a101cce4457611689f93a50a6fef496093c365f4","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/21487f19848e96d16700ebf0a101cce4457611689f93a50a6fef496093c365f4.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:17:56Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Italy's national aerial firefighting capability is coordinated centrally by the Protezione Civile's COAU, which sets fleet deployment from climatological and meteorological forecasts, the national wildfire bulletin, historical statistics, regional fleet strength and water-source availability, supplying reinforcement to regional suppression systems on request. Its Southern-European footprint is national but poorly quantified here: the captured text truncates at the fleet composition, so the reported 15 Canadair CL-415 and 4 Erickson S-64F for the 2025 peak period are not recorded as verified, and no budget figure of any kind exists for the national campaign. Each year the responsible minister issues recommendations to the Regions covering forecasting, prevention, planning and active suppression at the rural-urban interface, but recommendations are not binding prescriptions and impose no measurable obligation on landowners; the only outcome language available is a qualitative characterisation of the 2024 season. For VIG this is observation-only, and its analytical value is as a downside signal: Greece has a EUR 2.1 billion capital programme, Portugal a permanent agency with a graded statutory clearance standard, Spain annually re-approved regional plans with dedicated budgets, and Italy a ministerial recommendation plus a shared aircraft pool. That absence of a standing national prevention budget and of any national numeric clearance prescription is the reason the Italian trajectory carries asymmetric downside.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Italy's national instrument is a ministerial recommendation plus a shared aircraft pool rather than a funded programme, which makes it the weakest of the four countries on programmatic Hazard commitment and a source of downside in the Italian trajectory.","next_step":"Reflect the absence of an Italian national numeric clearance prescription and of a standing national prevention budget as a downside asymmetry in the Italian bracket; trigger is Phase III trajectory construction."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Centro Operativo Aereo Unificato (COAU)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"IT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"Via Ulpiano, 11, 00193 Roma, Italia","programme_id":"Legge 353/2000, art. 7","programme_host":"Dipartimento della Protezione Civile - Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353~art7","https://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/it/approfondimento/note-legali-0/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"protezionecivile.gov.it","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/it/approfondimento/note-legali-0/ — the note legali on the candidate domain itself and the venture's recorded identity_source — names 'Dipartimento della Protezione Civile-Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri' and the address 'Via Ulpiano, 11 - 00193 Roma', a ver","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:404","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a per-property installed component. An availability-contracted aircraft fleet has none and cannot acquire one; this venture will not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Italian state aerial fleet and COAU coordination: the national aerial firefighting pool deployed seasonally on forecast and fire-danger inputs, reinforcing regional systems on request. State suppression capacity with no per-property component.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_aerial_suppression_surge_capacity","category_name":"Aerial Suppression and Cross-Border Surge Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/italy_state_aerial_fleet.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I022","name":"rescEU wildfire fleet","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"An EU-funded strategic reserve of firefighting aircraft that is mobilised when a member state's own suppression capacity is overwhelmed, adding surge capacity precisely in the tail events that generate the largest insured wildfire losses; twelve permanent aircraft are being acquired for Portugal, Spain, France, Italy, Croatia and Greece.","mechanism_tags":["supranational_surge_capacity","tail_event_response","aerial_suppression","eu_funded_reserve"],"tech_stack":["fixed_wing_aircraft","helicopters"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"obvious","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_eu_civil_protection","title":"rescEU - European Commission, Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations","tier":"T1","publisher":"european_commission","url":"https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/resceu_en","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260725194433/https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/resceu_en","snapshot_hash":"9f3ab8d7f1dcf078c566c0c4b84d680da0e2cd69641a9888ea5a8e39c37e10c3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/9f3ab8d7f1dcf078c566c0c4b84d680da0e2cd69641a9888ea5a8e39c37e10c3.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:01:10Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_ucpm_activations","title":"EU civil protection mechanism - European Commission","tier":"T1","publisher":"european_commission","url":"https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/eu-civil-protection-mechanism_en","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260725120352/https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/eu-civil-protection-mechanism_en","snapshot_hash":"c4bd8edb6a81e03a06796714435d305263176a20252dd2793cbcc7c8eff47afe","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/c4bd8edb6a81e03a06796714435d305263176a20252dd2793cbcc7c8eff47afe.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:21:12Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"The rescEU wildfire fleet is the EU-funded strategic reserve of firefighting aircraft, mobilised when a member state's own suppression capacity is overwhelmed, so it adds surge capacity precisely in the tail events that generate the largest insured wildfire losses. Half the planned permanent fleet lands in the pilot geography: 12 new firefighting planes for Portugal, Spain, France, Italy, Croatia and Greece, plus three helicopters for Slovakia, Czechia and Romania, with the first helicopter delivered to Romania in January 2026 and the first planes expected in early 2028. The timetable is the load-bearing fact rather than the size: for roughly the first two years of a 2026-based ten-year horizon, EU-level surge capacity exists only as Commission-financed stand-by availability of leased aircraft, so modelling a step change at t0 would be wrong. No effectiveness evidence exists - no hectares, structures or euros - and the reported programme size of roughly EUR 600 million appears in no snapshot. For VIG this is observation-only because there is no commercial interface at all, but the 2028 delivery date is directly material to how much tail-risk reduction can be assumed in the early years of the forecast, and the reserve reduces tail loss rather than expected loss.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Supranational public capability with no commercial interface, but its 2028 aircraft delivery date is directly material to how much tail-risk reduction can be assumed in the early years of a ten-year forecast.","next_step":"Hold the permanent-fleet step change at 2028 in the trajectory model, not at t0; trigger for revision is confirmed delivery of the first fixed-wing aircraft."},"identity":{"legal_name":"rescEU","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Decision (EU) 2019/420","programme_host":"European Commission, Directorate-General for European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations (DG ECHO)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32019D0420","https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/resceu_en"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"europa.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"rescEU is a European Commission instrument owned by DG ECHO. Live fetch of the venture's recorded identity_source https://civil-protection-humanitarian-aid.ec.europa.eu/what/civil-protection/resceu_en (registrable domain europa.eu) describes rescEU as 'a strategic reserve of European disaster respon","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I022","source_url":"https://europa.eu/favicon.ico","hash":"eac83bdb1a0739dcbe2fa6e79b8225ebfe4528a61c9f8aca874764d1bea0506b","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a per-property installed component. An availability-contracted aircraft fleet has none and cannot acquire one; this venture will not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"rescEU wildfire fleet: an EU strategic reserve of firefighting aircraft mobilised when a member state is overwhelmed. Supranational surge capacity with no per-property component and no commercial interface.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_aerial_suppression_surge_capacity","category_name":"Aerial Suppression and Cross-Border Surge Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/resceu_wildfire_fleet.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I004","name":"Allianz Seguros early wildfire detection initiative (Spain)","initiative_type":"internal-insurer-initiative","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"An insurer buys satellite detection capability and proactively notifies its own policyholders when insured assets sit close to a detected hotspot, while sharing the same detections with public authorities - converting the insurer from a payer of losses into a node in the detection-to-response chain.","mechanism_tags":["insurer_led_prevention","policyholder_alerting","early_detection","authority_data_sharing"],"tech_stack":["AI","satellite_imagery","predictive_models"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_satellites_on_fire_allianz","title":"Allianz launches in Spain an early wildfire detection system using artificial intelligence and satellite technology","tier":"T2","publisher":"allianz","url":"https://www.allianz.com/en/mediacenter/news/articles/260720-early-wildfire-detection-system-launch-in-spain.html","wayback_url":null,"snapshot_hash":"dc95dc1cc70f078216204eeea44c4e5ec06766a23e183008c7725801c9187cd1","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/dc95dc1cc70f078216204eeea44c4e5ec06766a23e183008c7725801c9187cd1.html","publication_date":"2026-07-20","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:09:02Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_satellites_on_fire_platform","title":"Satellites On Fire | Deteccion de incendios en tiempo real","tier":"T3","publisher":"satellites_on_fire","url":"https://www.satellitesonfire.com/en","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260515203845/https://www.satellitesonfire.com/en","snapshot_hash":"20263b282e141c3bb71cf3a387b08313e03bd65aca127df25a45377f540eea45","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/20263b282e141c3bb71cf3a387b08313e03bd65aca127df25a45377f540eea45.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:01Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"This is a peer insurer's operating pattern rather than a technology: Allianz Seguros buys satellite detection, proactively notifies its own policyholders when insured assets sit close to a detected hotspot, and shares the same detections with public authorities, converting the insurer from a payer of losses into a node in the detection-to-response chain. Announced on 20 July 2026, it covers more than 50 million hectares in Spain, in a market where 354,793 hectares burned in 2025 against roughly EUR 5 billion of economic loss and EUR 770 million of insurance-sector payouts per UNESPA. Allianz itself calls this an initial implementation phase to validate scope and effectiveness; the 35-minute and 30% figures are detection-pipeline metrics jointly asserted by insurer and vendor and not independently audited, and the 417 wildfire alerts and 73 response activations reported as at 20 July 2026 come from a trade-press article quoting an Allianz executive and are activity counts, not loss outcomes. For VIG this is the most directly copyable template in the pilot and requires no owned technology: the insurer supplies the policyholder register and the notification channel while the vendor supplies detection, and the design is still open. Two caveats matter: detection changes when a policyholder learns about a nearby fire, not the property's resistance to it, and the \"up to EUR 104 billion by 2030\" figure in the same Allianz release concerns extreme heat generally, not wildfire.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"Directly copyable peer template requiring no owned technology - the insurer supplies the policyholder register and the notification channel, the vendor supplies detection. Allianz frames it explicitly as a validation phase, so the design is still open.","next_step":"VIG Innovation commissions a one-page teardown of the Allianz Seguros architecture and tests feasibility against VIG's Adriatic and CEE property books; trigger is the close of the Spanish 2026 fire season."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Allianz, Compañía de Seguros y Reaseguros, S.A.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"A28007748","source":"https://www.allianz.es/informacion-legal.html"},{"kind":"lei","value":"529900E0961XXFO5Z292","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Allianz"}],"registered_address":"C/ Ramírez de Arellano, 35, 28043 Madrid, España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":"Allianz, Compañía de Seguros y Reaseguros, S.A. (Allianz Group Spain)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.allianz.es/informacion-legal.html","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Allianz"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"allianz.es","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.allianz.es/informacion-legal.html — a legal-disclosure page on the candidate domain itself — states verbatim 'ALLIANZ, COMPANIA DE SEGUROS Y REASEGUROS, S.A.', CIF 'A28007748' and registered address 'C/ Ramirez de Arellano, 35, 28043 de Madrid'. All three match venture_identity.yaml exac","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://www.allianz.com/content/dam/onemarketing/azcom/Allianz_com/favicon/AZ_Logo_eagle.png/_jcr_content/renditions/cq5dam.thumbnail.16.16.png","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:404","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a premises-sited component sold per property - a device, fixture or treatment fixed to an insured building. None is described or announced; the mitigating asset is orbital or agency-side.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Allianz Seguros early wildfire detection initiative: a peer insurer's operating pattern - buy detection, notify your own policyholders, share detections with authorities. The object is an internal insurer workflow, not an installable premises product, so there is nothing to fit at a house in exchange for a premium reduction.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/allianz_seguros_wildfire_detection.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I005","name":"Dryad Networks GmbH","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Solar-powered LoRaWAN mesh sensors detect VOC, CO and PM2.5 in the smouldering phase, before flame or visible smoke exist, which moves detection earlier on the timeline than any satellite or camera system can reach and allows suppression while the fire is still extinguishable by a small ground team.","mechanism_tags":["ultra_early_detection","gas_sensing","smouldering_phase","iot_mesh","municipal_delivery"],"tech_stack":["IoT","LoRaWAN","gas_sensors","AI","drones"],"disclosed_funding":5600000.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_detection_ventures","title":"Ultra Early Wildfire Detection | Dryad Networks","tier":"T3","publisher":"dryad_networks","url":"https://www.dryad.net/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.dryad.net/","snapshot_hash":"4175e91bc9bc2137790c73c1ed8562e737267e95b64f0c095e3dc03c92d5d884","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/4175e91bc9bc2137790c73c1ed8562e737267e95b64f0c095e3dc03c92d5d884.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:04Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_dryad_funding_techeu","title":"Dryad Networks 'Internet of the Forest' secures EUR 5.6M for its advanced wildfire detection","tier":"T2","publisher":"tech_eu","url":"https://tech.eu/2024/03/21/dryad-networks-secures-eur56-million-for-advanced-wildfire-detection-technology/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://tech.eu/2024/03/21/dryad-networks-secures-eur56-million-for-advanced-wildfire-detection-technology/","snapshot_hash":"19d323d066000435f81b282a598ef96bbb651e2906c8d41d84be9f8f4eabaf03","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/19d323d066000435f81b282a598ef96bbb651e2906c8d41d84be9f8f4eabaf03.html","publication_date":"2024-03-21","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:17:53Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Dryad Networks makes Silvanet, solar-powered LoRaWAN mesh sensors that detect VOC, CO and PM2.5 in the smouldering phase, before flame or visible smoke exist, which places it earlier on the detection timeline than any satellite or camera system and in principle allows suppression while a fire is still extinguishable by a small ground team. It has no named Southern-European end customer: European trade press describes deployment \"by resellers across regions like Greece, Spain, Portugal, California and Canada\", which is a distribution statement and must not be read as an installed base. The company discloses EUR 5.6 million as the initial closing of a convertible financing round, and its detection claim - fires detected within minutes of ignition - is a capability claim with no independent validation and no loss consequence attached; the commonly quoted EUR 48 unit price and the 30,000-sensors-manufactured figure appear in no snapshot. For VIG this is observation-only: the buyers are municipalities and grid operators, the channel is resale, and there is no insurer-facing commercial surface to engage today. Two things would embarrass VIG if discovered later: the Silvaguard suppression drone is research-stage work credited to a third party under a German public research project, and because effect scales with sensor density spread through the fuel bed, the economics turn on capital cost per hectare rather than per building.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Southern-European presence is reseller-channel with no named end-customer, and the buyer profile is municipalities and grid operators. There is no insurer-facing commercial surface to engage today.","next_step":"VIG Innovation logs a quarterly tracking entry; trigger for re-assessment is the first named municipal or utility contract in Spain, Portugal, Italy or Greece."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Dryad Networks GmbH","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"DE","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"529900O2D7S3C7O8JX96","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Dryad%20Networks*"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"HRB 18343","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Dryad%20Networks*"}],"registered_address":"Eisenbahnstraße 37, 16225 Eberswalde, Brandenburg, Deutschland","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Dryad%20Networks*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"dryadnetworks.de","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"regnumber","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://dryadnetworks.de","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["probe"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I005","source_url":"https://dryadnetworks.de/favicon.ico","hash":"7fc21cac5ca38f9876e5bfe4b9a5de7ff4c4edf090d6e88c7dcb119037cc2192","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a single-property variant sited on a policyholder's own parcel with a per-property price. No such product, and no named Southern-European end-customer of any kind, is evidenced.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Dryad Networks: solar LoRaWAN gas-sensing mesh distributed through the forest fuel bed and sold to municipalities and grid operators. Detection depends on nodes spread across the stand, not on a unit at an insured building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/dryad_networks.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I025","name":"EFFIS - European Forest Fire Information System","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Provides free pan-European fire-danger forecasting, seasonal outlooks, burned-area mapping and a wildfire risk index combining danger with people, ecological and economic vulnerability, feeding the national services whose pre-positioning and alerting decisions determine how many ignitions become large fires.","mechanism_tags":["fire_danger_forecasting","public_good_information","burned_area_mapping","risk_index"],"tech_stack":["satellite_imagery","fire_weather_index","GIS","seasonal_forecasting"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"obvious","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_effis_hazard_baseline","title":"EFFIS - European Forest Fire Information System","tier":"T1","publisher":"jrc","url":"https://forest-fire.emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://forest-fire.emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"233ba811264caf38577d38e30e5a0e94164739c88dcf4befca9ab35ff02d4f39","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/233ba811264caf38577d38e30e5a0e94164739c88dcf4befca9ab35ff02d4f39.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:44Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"jrc_effis_annual_report_2024","title":"Advance report on Forest Fires in Europe, Middle East and North Africa 2024","tier":"T1","publisher":"jrc","url":"https://data.effis.emergency.copernicus.eu/effis/reports-and-publications/effis-related-publications/advance_report_on_forest_fires_in_europe_middle_east_and_north_africa_2024.pdf","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://data.effis.emergency.copernicus.eu/effis/reports-and-publications/effis-related-publications/advance_report_on_forest_fires_in_europe_middle_east_and_north_africa_2024.pdf","snapshot_hash":"3140c958a6f34d47f9c15f4a94a81ebecbc1290f6d8967017a8d0f5e6f256e62","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/3140c958a6f34d47f9c15f4a94a81ebecbc1290f6d8967017a8d0f5e6f256e62.pdf","publication_date":"2025-03-21","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:17:12Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"EFFIS is the Joint Research Centre's operational European fire-information system, providing free pan-European fire-danger forecasting, seasonal outlooks, burned-area mapping and a Wildfire Risk Viewer that combines fire danger with people, ecological and economic vulnerability, feeding the national services whose pre-positioning and alerting decisions determine how many ignitions become large fires. It has run since 1998, became a Copernicus Emergency Management Service component in 2015, and is supported by an expert group drawn from 43 countries, so its Southern-European coverage is complete and free at the point of use. It is a service and not a mitigation - it reduces loss only through the decisions it informs, so its effect cannot be measured directly - and two data caveats bite: EFFIS mapping includes intentional vegetation-management fires by its own statement, and mapping thresholds are not constant across the series, so any multi-year growth rate must state its basis. For VIG this is the cheapest immediate move in the entire hazard channel: request EFFIS country-total data through the published form and evaluate the Wildfire Risk Viewer against VIG's Southern-European exposure, at no cost and with no procurement. The commercial consequence worth surfacing internally is the mirror image: because a free incumbent already combines danger with economic vulnerability, any commercial hazard-information venture in this geography is displacing a public good rather than entering an unserved market.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"licensing","rationale":"Free and openly available, and its risk viewer already combines fire danger with economic vulnerability. The cheapest immediate move in the whole H channel is to ingest EFFIS products into VIG's own exposure view rather than buy an equivalent.","next_step":"VIG Re foresight desk requests EFFIS country-total data via the published data request form and evaluates the Wildfire Risk Viewer against VIG's Southern-European exposure; trigger is immediate, at no cost."},"identity":{"legal_name":"European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":"European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC); component of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service since 2015","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://forest-fire.emergency.copernicus.eu/about-effis"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"copernicus.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"EFFIS's official home is the venture's recorded identity_source https://forest-fire.emergency.copernicus.eu/about-effis, registrable domain copernicus.eu. Live fetch of that page confirms the European Commission Joint Research Centre publishes EFFIS and states 'In 2015, EFFIS became one of the compo","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I025","source_url":"https://forest-fire.emergency.copernicus.eu/static/assets/images/favicon.cop.ico","hash":"fc49f048c5bfcd7da0be0952c6af30322bbd0d7f9c4f4eb63e8e340dabca691c","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"EFFIS: free pan-European fire-danger forecasting, seasonal outlooks, burned-area mapping and a wildfire risk index. A public-good data service consumed in an insurer's exposure view; nothing is installed at a policyholder's premises.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/effis.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I026","name":"FIRE-RES and SILVANUS Horizon innovation actions","initiative_type":"regulator-funded-pilot","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Two closed EU innovation actions, coordinated from Spain and Italy with roughly EUR 40m of combined EU contribution, that built holistic extreme-wildfire management approaches and a climate-resilient forest management platform including ignition models for regional and national fire authorities.","mechanism_tags":["eu_research_programme","extreme_wildfire_management","ignition_modelling","authority_facing_platform"],"tech_stack":["AI","fire_behaviour_modelling","decision_support_platform","VR_training"],"disclosed_funding":39798517.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_horizon_research_projects","title":"FIRE-RES - Innovative technologies and socio-ecological-economic solutions for fire resilient territories in Europe (CORDIS fact sheet)","tier":"T1","publisher":"cordis","url":"https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037419","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260620041702/https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037419","snapshot_hash":"767532010a98722964fe69d7b7f750e130b2ec49e1bfa1eaf8e3ccc0733a78a5","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/767532010a98722964fe69d7b7f750e130b2ec49e1bfa1eaf8e3ccc0733a78a5.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:20:56Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_horizon_silvanus","title":"SILVANUS - Integrated Technological and Information Platform for wildfire Management (CORDIS fact sheet)","tier":"T1","publisher":"cordis","url":"https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037247","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037247","snapshot_hash":"d0e9afc1f43dbff19a7b9ec4fdcba281bfe03b5383d9d8b60dfb58d728ce03d2","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/d0e9afc1f43dbff19a7b9ec4fdcba281bfe03b5383d9d8b60dfb58d728ce03d2.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:02:05Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"FIRE-RES and SILVANUS are two closed Horizon 2020 Green Deal innovation actions, coordinated respectively from the Catalan forest science centre and from Universita Telematica Pegaso in Italy, which built holistic extreme-wildfire management approaches and a climate-resilient forest-management platform including ignition models intended for regional and national fire authorities. Together they drew EUR 39.8 million of EU contribution, and both are Southern-European-coordinated, but their living-lab and pilot-site locations are not evidenced in this pilot: the reported sites in Catalonia, Galicia, the Canaries, Portugal, Sardinia and Greece are unverified here, which matters because that footprint is the reason the projects are in the pool at all. Both projects closed in 2025, and a closed project has no forward adoption by itself - any effectiveness would have to be attributed to a specific operational entity that adopted the outputs, and no source evidences that any did. For VIG this is observation-only and should be treated as pipeline risk rather than deployed capability: check the CORDIS results record for adopted outputs before crediting anything Horizon-derived. Note also that CORDIS project descriptions are consortium-supplied promotional copy, authoritative only for funding, coordinator and dates.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Both projects closed in 2025. Any forward mitigation depends entirely on whether an operational owner adopted their outputs, which no source confirms - a pipeline risk rather than a deployed capability.","next_step":"Check the CORDIS Results section of each project for adopted outputs before crediting any Horizon-derived effectiveness; trigger is Phase IX baseline construction."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Innovative technologies and socio-ecological-economic solutions for fire resilient territories in Europe (FIRE-RES)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"Ctra. Sant Llorenç de Morunys km 2, 25280 Solsona, España","programme_id":"101037419","programme_host":"Consorci Centre de Ciencia i Tecnologia Forestal de Catalunya (CTFC); SILVANUS (GA 101037247) coordinated by Universita Telematica Pegaso","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037419","https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037247"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"fire-res.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The candidate domain is the project's own dedicated site: fetched title 'FIRE-RES - Innovative solutions for fire resilient territories in Europe - FIRE RES', an essentially verbatim match to the legal_name in venture_identity.yaml ('Innovative technologies and socio-ecological-economic solutions fo","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"FIRE-RES and SILVANUS: two closed EU innovation actions that built extreme-wildfire management approaches and an authority-facing forest-management platform. Research outputs delivered to regional and national fire authorities, with no premises-installed product and no operational owner confirmed.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/fire_res_silvanus.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I027","name":"FirEUrisk","initiative_type":"regulator-funded-pilot","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Portuguese-coordinated EU project that set out to expand European wildland fire risk assessment to cover risk factors previously omitted, produce measures to reduce current risk conditions, and adapt management strategies to future climate - explicitly targeting mega-fires and the wildland-urban interface.","mechanism_tags":["risk_assessment_framework","wui_focus","eu_research_programme","prevention_measures"],"tech_stack":["risk_modelling","remote_sensing","decision_support"],"disclosed_funding":10271044.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_horizon_fireurisk","title":"FIREURISK - Developing a holistic, risk-wise strategy for European wildfire management (CORDIS fact sheet)","tier":"T1","publisher":"cordis","url":"https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101003890","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101003890","snapshot_hash":"16fc5e7b6f77c12e4e85586643d5a30fdebbf6044a618124d37a30b1ef6277be","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/16fc5e7b6f77c12e4e85586643d5a30fdebbf6044a618124d37a30b1ef6277be.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:02:02Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_horizon_research_projects","title":"FIRE-RES - Innovative technologies and socio-ecological-economic solutions for fire resilient territories in Europe (CORDIS fact sheet)","tier":"T1","publisher":"cordis","url":"https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037419","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260620041702/https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101037419","snapshot_hash":"767532010a98722964fe69d7b7f750e130b2ec49e1bfa1eaf8e3ccc0733a78a5","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/767532010a98722964fe69d7b7f750e130b2ec49e1bfa1eaf8e3ccc0733a78a5.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:20:56Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"FirEUrisk was a Horizon 2020 project coordinated by ADAI in Coimbra whose stated objective was a science-based integrated strategy expanding European wildland fire risk assessment to critical factors previously not covered, producing measures to reduce current risk conditions and adapting management to expected climate and socio-economic change, explicitly addressing mega-fires and the wildland-urban interface. It drew EUR 10.3 million of EU contribution and was Portuguese- coordinated, but its reported pilot sites in central Portugal, Barcelona province and Attica are unverified in this pilot, so its Southern-European delivery footprint is asserted rather than evidenced. The project closed on 31 March 2025, its objective text is consortium-supplied and describes intent at proposal stage rather than achievement, and no source evidences that any fire service, regulator or insurer adopted its output. For VIG this is observation-only, but it is the highest value trace in the hazard channel to follow: its purpose is the closest thing in the whole evidence base to what an insurer would want, a common transferable European wildfire risk framework to price against. The honest position is that whether such a framework exists today in usable form is unresolved, and no published output was linked from the record captured here.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Closest EU-funded attempt at a common European wildfire risk framework, which is the artefact an insurer would most want to price against - but whether any operational body adopted it is unevidenced.","next_step":"Trace FirEUrisk published outputs for a usable European risk-assessment framework before the Phase X matrix is composed; trigger is the composer needing a non-US risk basis."},"identity":{"legal_name":"FirEUrisk - Developing a holistic, risk-wise strategy for European wildfire management","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"Rua Pedro Hispano 12, 3030-289 Coimbra, Portugal","programme_id":"101003890","programme_host":"Associacao para o Desenvolvimento da Aerodinamica Industrial (ADAI), Coimbra","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101003890"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"fireurisk.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The candidate domain is the project's own dedicated site: fetched title 'Dissecting risk to prevent extreme wildfires - FirEUrisk', matching the venture FirEUrisk. MEDIUM: my attempt to corroborate grant agreement 101003890 and coordinator ADAI Coimbra on-host returned HTTP 404 on the guessed about ","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I027","source_url":"https://fireurisk.eu/favicon.ico","hash":"6bdb369337ac2496761c6f063bffea0aa6a91d4662279c399071a468251f51f0","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"FirEUrisk: a closed Portuguese-coordinated EU project producing a wildland fire risk-assessment framework and prevention measures. A risk framework is an analytical artefact; it installs nothing at a building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/fireurisk.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I008","name":"ICEYE Oy","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Synthetic-aperture radar images through smoke, cloud and darkness, and under the Greek National Satellite Space Project supplies two sovereign satellites plus constellation access so the state retains continuous observation of its territory when optical and thermal sensing are obscured. Its per-building damage classification also acts on Recovery, but the verified Southern-European footing is the sovereign Hazard-monitoring contract.","mechanism_tags":["sar_imaging","all_weather_observation","sovereign_capability","national_procurement"],"tech_stack":["SAR","smallsat","AI"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"obvious","axes_hit":["industry_reports","regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_iceye_sar","title":"ICEYE - Sovereign intelligence. From space.","tier":"T3","publisher":"iceye","url":"https://www.iceye.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731015832/https://www.iceye.com/","snapshot_hash":"a6c0ebef087a14ed0f01c4bb8f5c8c6dc4182e8a4908ef174224236485981083","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/a6c0ebef087a14ed0f01c4bb8f5c8c6dc4182e8a4908ef174224236485981083.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:52Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_iceye_greece_sar_contract","title":"ICEYE to deliver SAR satellites and data to Greece's National Satellite Space Project in collaboration with the European Space Agency","tier":"T3","publisher":"iceye","url":"https://www.iceye.com/newsroom/press-releases/iceye-to-deliver-sar-satellites-and-data-to-greeces-national-satellite-space-project-in-collaboration-with-the-european-space-agency","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20250805092236/https://www.iceye.com/newsroom/press-releases/iceye-to-deliver-sar-satellites-and-data-to-greeces-national-satellite-space-project-in-collaboration-with-the-european-space-agency","snapshot_hash":"9cf6b4f0f4835cf0780ed6a6efb886fd80cee9e7f1cb2de8259ef8847a5b4f67","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/9cf6b4f0f4835cf0780ed6a6efb886fd80cee9e7f1cb2de8259ef8847a5b4f67.html","publication_date":"2024-09-08","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:18:45Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"ICEYE operates a large synthetic-aperture radar constellation whose sensors image through smoke, cloud and darkness, the property that matters when optical and thermal sensing are obscured during an active fire, and its per-building damage classification is a recovery-side capability layered on the same imagery. Its verified Southern-European footing is the Greek National Satellite Space Project radar axis signed on 8 September 2024, covering two dedicated Greek SAR satellites and their launches plus immediate access to the existing constellation, with assembly planned in a new Greek facility. Wildfire is not the stated purpose of that contract, which names natural-catastrophe detection, maritime awareness and flooding, so any wildfire-specific benefit is inferred; no effectiveness figure of any kind is published, delivery is prospective rather than confirmed in orbit, and the wildfire damage product's European availability is unresolved. For VIG this is observation-only until a European commercial wildfire offer demonstrably exists; the trigger to revisit is any published European wildfire damage-assessment reference. Reported ICEYE activity in Iberia - a Portuguese entity, a Lisbon centre of excellence and a twelve-month Iberdrola multi-peril pilot in Spain - is evidenced by no snapshot in this pilot and must not be asserted, and the reported EUR 1 billion funding round is likewise unevidenced here.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The wildfire product's European availability is unconfirmed and the Greek relationship is a government contract. Engagement is premature until a European commercial wildfire offer exists.","next_step":"VIG Re foresight desk tracks ICEYE's wildfire product availability outside the US and Australia; trigger is any published European wildfire damage-assessment reference."},"identity":{"legal_name":"ICEYE Oy","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"FI","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"743700XY20YYW4T0OM62","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=ICEYE*"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"2639822-1","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=ICEYE*"}],"registered_address":"Maarintie 6, FI-02150 Espoo, Finland","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=ICEYE*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"iceye.fi","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"name_cosignal","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://iceye.fi","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["probe"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I008","source_url":"https://iceye.fi/favicon.ico","hash":"39cf172cc2ea2094ba94e5e661ac70b127289b03d2d596258202f4789d9bda3d","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a premises-sited component sold per property - a device, fixture or treatment fixed to an insured building. None is described or announced; the mitigating asset is orbital or agency-side.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"ICEYE: sovereign SAR constellation supplied to the Greek state, with per-building damage classification delivered as imagery. The capability is orbital and the contract governmental; nothing is fitted at a policyholder's premises.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/iceye.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I001","name":"OroraTech GmbH","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Thermal-infrared CubeSats detect hotspots as small as 4x4 m with latency measured in minutes and feed them straight into a national fire service's dispatch chain, compressing the interval between ignition and first attack so a larger share of fires are suppressed while still small enough that no built asset is reached. Burnt-area products also act on Recovery, but the dominant effect is Hazard.","mechanism_tags":["early_detection","thermal_infrared","satellite","initial_attack_latency","national_procurement"],"tech_stack":["smallsat","thermal_ir","AI","ground_station"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports","regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_ororatech_greece_system","title":"Greece Launches World's First National Wildfire Satellite System","tier":"T3","publisher":"ororatech","url":"https://ororatech.com/resources/news-blog/greece-launches-world-s-first-national-wildfire-satellite-system","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260729062920/https://ororatech.com/resources/news-blog/greece-launches-world-s-first-national-wildfire-satellite-system","snapshot_hash":"6c3204987f7d704c3790f3e94b2466aeecd782c3b2facc3431d03d089eb37a1f","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6c3204987f7d704c3790f3e94b2466aeecd782c3b2facc3431d03d089eb37a1f.html","publication_date":"2026-05-04","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:52:26Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_aegis_espa_budget","title":"Parousiasi tou Programmatos Politikis Prostasias 'Aigis' (ESPA news item)","tier":"T1","publisher":"espa_greece","url":"https://www.espa.gr/el/Pages/NewsFS.aspx?item=1754","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260212230245/https://www.espa.gr/el/Pages/NewsFS.aspx?item=1754","snapshot_hash":"81abb93e0fdb448d015bd04ada2ecc121ffee213cad95e3dcba0189d2bdb4b7a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/81abb93e0fdb448d015bd04ada2ecc121ffee213cad95e3dcba0189d2bdb4b7a.html","publication_date":"2024-04-25","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:11:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"OroraTech is a Munich operator of thermal-infrared CubeSats whose mechanism is time-to-first-attack compression: hotspots as small as 4 by 4 metres are detected with latency measured in minutes and fed straight into a national fire service's dispatch chain, so a larger share of ignitions are suppressed while still too small to reach a built asset. Its Southern-European footprint is Greece and only Greece: the Hellenic Fire System announced on 4 May 2026, four dedicated wildfire satellites covering 100% of Greek territory, delivered to Greek fire services through the Ministry of Digital Governance and Artificial Intelligence under an ESA contract financed by the Greece 2.0 recovery plan. Nothing in the evidence supports equivalent coverage of Spain, Portugal or Italy, and the minutes-latency and 4 by 4 metre figures are vendor-published capability specifications, not outcomes: no source links the system to reduced burned area, structures lost or insured loss. For VIG this is observation-only, because the buyer is a sovereign state financed by the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility and there is no commercial route to the alert feed; the watch item is a first non-Greek national or regional contract. The widely repeated USD 21.5 million Greek contract value, the fourteen-satellite constellation and the 800-plus user count appear in no snapshot taken for this pilot and must not be quoted.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The buyer is a sovereign state financed by the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility, not an insurance market. VIG cannot procure the capability and has no route to the alert feed, which is delivered to Greek fire services through a ministry.","next_step":"VIG Re foresight desk tracks whether OroraTech opens a commercial alerting tier in Spain, Portugal or Italy; trigger for re-assessment is any announced non-Greek national or regional contract, or a published loss-reduction study."},"identity":{"legal_name":"OroraTech GmbH","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"DE","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"9845009D6WE084KE0072","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=OroraTech*"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"HRB 243843","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=OroraTech*"}],"registered_address":"St.-Martin-Straße 112, 81669 München, Bayern, Deutschland","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=OroraTech*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"ororatech.de","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"name_cosignal","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://ororatech.de","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["probe"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://ororatech.com/favicon/favicon-96x96.png","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"undecodable","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a premises-sited component sold per property - a device, fixture or treatment fixed to an insured building. None is described or announced; the mitigating asset is orbital or agency-side.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"OroraTech: thermal-infrared CubeSats plus a ground segment feeding a sovereign fire service's dispatch chain. The mitigating asset is in orbit and the buyer is a Greek ministry; nothing is installed at an individual policyholder's premises, so there is no object VIG could fit for a one-off fee and price into a premium.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/ororatech.md","flags":["logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I006","name":"Pyro Fire Extinction S.L.","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Combines forest sensor nodes and 360-degree optical/thermal cameras on satellite backhaul for early detection with MAK 5, a long-term retardant that converts a band of standing vegetation into a months-durable low-flammability strip, so the same venture both shortens detection time and lowers fireline intensity where the fire crosses the treated band.","mechanism_tags":["early_detection","sensor_network","chemical_fuel_break","retardant","utility_corridor"],"tech_stack":["IoT","LoRa","satellite_backhaul","optical_camera","thermal_ir","chemical_retardant"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_pyro_fire_extinction","title":"Pyro Fire Extinction | Seguridad frente a incendios forestales","tier":"T3","publisher":"pyro_fire_extinction","url":"https://pyro.es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260515232806/https://pyro.es/","snapshot_hash":"c1579ed06b6121db63bce70943e95a557cbbed6ca526191b6ecea2befc7017af","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/c1579ed06b6121db63bce70943e95a557cbbed6ca526191b6ecea2befc7017af.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:16Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_pyro_hispasat_caminomorisco","title":"El sistema de deteccion temprana de HispaSat y Pyro alerto con exito del incendio en Caminomorisco","tier":"T3","publisher":"hispasat","url":"https://www.hispasat.com/en/press-room/press-releases/archivo-2025/485/el-sistema-de-deteccion-temprana-de-hispasat-y-pyro-alerto-con-exito-del-incendio-en-caminomorisco","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260518031644/https://www.hispasat.com/en/press-room/press-releases/archivo-2025/485/el-sistema-de-deteccion-temprana-de-hispasat-y-pyro-alerto-con-exito-del-incendio-en-caminomorisco","snapshot_hash":"bac94f718ba7f61c19f6b465234da6d44a1d444078f32e09186be391ba2c00ca","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/bac94f718ba7f61c19f6b465234da6d44a1d444078f32e09186be391ba2c00ca.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:20:57Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Pyro Fire Extinction is a Valencia SME that combines BseedWATCH forest sensor nodes and 360-degree optical and thermal cameras on satellite and LoRa backhaul with MAK 5, a long-term retardant that leaves treated bands of standing vegetation with low-flammability behaviour lasting months, so the same supplier both shortens detection time and lowers fireline intensity where a fire crosses the treated band. Its evidenced Southern-European footprint is roughly 1,900 hectares across Alpedrinha in Portugal (25 ha), Nunomoral (597 ha) and Caminomorisco (1,300 ha) in Extremadura, installed under the Motor Verde reforestation programme and funded by corporate landowners; that is small against roughly 350,000 hectares burned in Spain in 2025 alone. The evidence is thin in a specific way: MAK 5's INIA and CEREN certifications are product fire tests describing the combustion behaviour of treated material, not measures of hectares or euros saved, and \"two fires detected since 2023\" is a detection count with no denominator, no false-negative rate and no counterfactual. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation: the buyer profile is a corporate forestry or reforestation landowner, which is exactly a VIG commercial client, so the venture belongs in the broker resilience-tech catalogue for Iberian forestry risks rather than in a procurement conversation. Note that the monitored plots are carbon-reforestation land rather than insured property, that MAK 5 is developed by BRS rather than by Pyro, and that both sources are commercially interested parties.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"A Spanish SME whose deployments are funded by corporate landowners protecting reforestation assets - exactly the profile of a VIG commercial forestry or corporate property client, and small enough to be recommended rather than acquired.","next_step":"Add to the VIG broker resilience-tech catalogue for Iberian commercial forestry and corporate reforestation exposures; trigger is the next renewal cycle for any VIG-insured forestry or carbon-plantation risk in Spain or Portugal."},"identity":{"legal_name":null,"entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"no_identity_found","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Pyro%20Fire*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"pyro.es","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Live fetch of pyro.es: the site self-identifies as 'Pyro Fire Extinction, S.L.', a Spanish company founded 2014 selling wildfire monitoring/early detection (BseedWATCH V4) and the MAK 5 long-term retardant, contact info@pyro.es, +34 963 14 51 15, C/ Camino de Vera s/n, Edificio 9B, Valencia. Legal n","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need MAK 5 specified as a building-perimeter or structure pre-treatment sold per dwelling, with a documented application scope. Located deployments are forest-estate and utility-corridor scale.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Pyro Fire Extinction: forest sensor nodes and 360-degree cameras on satellite backhaul, plus MAK 5 retardant applied to bands of standing vegetation. Every element sits in the wildland fuel or on a corporate forest estate, not in an insured building envelope. Borderline: the buyers are corporate landowners who may themselves be VIG commercial clients, but the treated object is their forest, not their building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/pyro_fire_extinction.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","no_identity","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I003","name":"Satellites on Fire","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Fuses geostationary and polar satellite feeds refreshed every ten minutes with AI and optional tower cameras, then pushes a notification to a named recipient whose property sits near an active hotspot, so the property owner or a responder acts before the fire front arrives rather than after it is reported.","mechanism_tags":["early_detection","satellite_fusion","policyholder_alerting","hotspot_proximity"],"tech_stack":["AI","satellite_imagery","optical_camera","push_notification"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_satellites_on_fire_platform","title":"Satellites On Fire | Deteccion de incendios en tiempo real","tier":"T3","publisher":"satellites_on_fire","url":"https://www.satellitesonfire.com/en","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260515203845/https://www.satellitesonfire.com/en","snapshot_hash":"20263b282e141c3bb71cf3a387b08313e03bd65aca127df25a45377f540eea45","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/20263b282e141c3bb71cf3a387b08313e03bd65aca127df25a45377f540eea45.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:01Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_satellites_on_fire_allianz","title":"Allianz launches in Spain an early wildfire detection system using artificial intelligence and satellite technology","tier":"T2","publisher":"allianz","url":"https://www.allianz.com/en/mediacenter/news/articles/260720-early-wildfire-detection-system-launch-in-spain.html","wayback_url":null,"snapshot_hash":"dc95dc1cc70f078216204eeea44c4e5ec06766a23e183008c7725801c9187cd1","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/dc95dc1cc70f078216204eeea44c4e5ec06766a23e183008c7725801c9187cd1.html","publication_date":"2026-07-20","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:09:02Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Satellites on Fire is a Buenos Aires venture that fuses geostationary and polar satellite feeds refreshed every ten minutes with AI, optionally supplemented by optical or thermal tower cameras, and pushes a proximity notification to a named recipient whose property sits near an active hotspot, so an owner or responder acts before the front arrives rather than after a bystander reports it. Its Southern-European presence is the detection layer behind the Allianz Seguros deployment in Spain; no Southern-European customer is named on the vendor's own site, and its verified operating record - 55,000 users, 21 countries, 95 assisted fires a month, the largest validated fire database in Latin America - is Latin American. The performance numbers in circulation, 35 minutes faster than NASA reference systems and up to 30% more fires detected, describe the detection pipeline; neither is a statement about hectares, structures or euros of claims avoided, and the separate claim of 40% fewer false negatives appears in no snapshot. For VIG it is a partnership candidate: the only H-channel venture in the pilot with a proven insurer-integration pattern inside the geography, and small enough that a second European insurer relationship is commercially realistic. The caveat is that Spain is new-market entry rather than proven capacity extended, and that both real-time monitoring and spread prediction are still labelled \"soon\" on the vendor's own site.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"The only venture in the H channel with a proven insurer-integration pattern in the pilot geography, and small enough that a second European insurer partnership is commercially realistic.","next_step":"VIG Innovation requests the Allianz Seguros validation-phase results when published and scopes an equivalent CEE/Adriatic pilot; trigger is publication of the summer 2026 Spanish validation outcome."},"identity":{"legal_name":null,"entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"no_identity_found","identity_sources":["https://satellitesonfire.com/","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Satellites%20on%20Fire*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"satellitesonfire.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Live fetch of satellitesonfire.com returns the venture's own site: satellite-based real-time wildfire detection, an app/demo funnel and a $2.7M seed-round announcement — an unambiguous brand-and-scope match to the venture 'Satellites on Fire'. Both the deterministic name-slug probe and the blind age","proposed_by":["agent","probe"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6d70bf_b5c08e07cc34419da9a405378d237a7e%7Emv2.png/v1/fill/w_192%2Ch_192%2Clg_1%2Cusm_0.66_1.00_0.01/6d70bf_b5c08e07cc34419da9a405378d237a7e%7Emv2.png","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a premises-sited component sold per property - a device, fixture or treatment fixed to an insured building. None is described or announced; the mitigating asset is orbital or agency-side.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Satellites on Fire: satellite-fusion detection that pushes a proximity notification to a named recipient. The policyholder receives an alert on a phone and the optional tower cameras are sited in the landscape; nothing is fitted to the building, so the product is a data subscription rather than a premises install.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/satellites_on_fire.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","no_identity","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I002","name":"Technosylva SL","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Physics-based fire-behaviour simulation forecasts spread direction and rate within minutes of ignition so a fire service pre-positions crews and aircraft on the flank threatening built assets rather than distributing them evenly around the perimeter, reducing the burned area that reaches insurable structures. The group's KatRisk arm also serves portfolio loss modelling, an R-channel adjacency.","mechanism_tags":["fire_behaviour_simulation","suppression_prepositioning","incident_management","utility_risk"],"tech_stack":["AI","physics_simulation","GIS","satellite_tracking"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_fire_behaviour_analytics","title":"Wildfire & Extreme Weather Risk Intelligence for Utilities & Fire Agencies - Technosylva","tier":"T3","publisher":"technosylva","url":"https://technosylva.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://technosylva.com/","snapshot_hash":"5a5bedf6ab56945a722445e8ba1147cad705fba4241452b1d2a35179a6bebc54","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/5a5bedf6ab56945a722445e8ba1147cad705fba4241452b1d2a35179a6bebc54.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:52:28Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_technosylva_infoca_deployment","title":"INFOCA expands wildfire response system using satellite tracking","tier":"T2","publisher":"international_fire_and_safety_journal","url":"https://internationalfireandsafetyjournal.com/infoca-expands-wildfire-response-system-using-satellite-tracking/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260506130052/https://internationalfireandsafetyjournal.com/infoca-expands-wildfire-response-system-using-satellite-tracking/","snapshot_hash":"70eba52f3101f2268d5a6917b069e4173a046a1dbf197201c1a09781c4a715f3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/70eba52f3101f2268d5a6917b069e4173a046a1dbf197201c1a09781c4a715f3.html","publication_date":"2025-06-23","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:09:04Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Technosylva is a Leon-headquartered fire-behaviour analytics firm whose Wildfire Analyst and fiResponse platforms forecast spread direction and rate within minutes of ignition, so a fire service pre-positions crews and aircraft on the flank threatening built assets instead of distributing them evenly around the perimeter. Its Southern-European footprint is real and operational: deployment with Andalusia's INFOCA alongside Globalstar satellite crew-tracking, use in Castilla-La Mancha since 2015, 550 tracking devices in Andalusia by 2022 and the software integration announced in 2025, on a company-stated base of more than 20,000 fire incidents managed a year. The Spanish deployment carries no effectiveness evidence at all - the trade-press account claims only improved communication, decision-making and crew safety - and the company's US PG&E figures are utility-context, vendor-published and confounded with public-safety power shutoff and vegetation management, so they are not isolable to the software and not portable to a European insured-loss value. The VIG angle is partnership: this is the shortest path in the pilot from an existing Southern-European operational deployment to an insurer-facing product, since the firm is Spanish-headquartered and already names insurance among its verticals. Two things would embarrass VIG later: the INFOCA account is sourced throughout to Globalstar, a commercial party to the deal, and the 550-device figure is a 2022 lower bound with no contract value disclosed anywhere.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"Spanish-headquartered (Leon), already embedded in two Spanish regional fire services, and lists insurance among its named verticals - the shortest path from an existing Southern-European operational deployment to an insurer-facing product.","next_step":"VIG Innovation opens an exploratory conversation on whether INFOCA-grade spread forecasts can be surfaced as a portfolio pre-event exposure alert; trigger is the first VIG-underwritten wildfire loss above the internal large-loss threshold in Iberia."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Technosylva, S.L.U.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"959800UWZ6S86NCMUL89","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Tecnosylva*"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"LE-8630-8","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Tecnosylva*"}],"registered_address":"Parque Tecnológico de León, Edificio Tecnosylva, C/ Nicostrato Vela s/n, 24009 León, España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://technosylva.com/legal-notice/","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Tecnosylva*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"technosylva.com","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"address","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://technosylva.com","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I002","source_url":"https://technosylva.com/wp-content/themes/technosylva/assets/images/favicon.ico","hash":"7b3810e9daff0710d2b35056eb95f0e7ea0c25e0185ae1483f938c269984bdb8","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a premises-sited component sold per property - a device, fixture or treatment fixed to an insured building. None is described or announced; the mitigating asset is orbital or agency-side.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Technosylva: physics-based fire-behaviour simulation consumed in regional fire-service dispatch rooms (INFOCA, INFOCAM) and, through KatRisk, in portfolio loss modelling. It is agency and back-office decision software; no fixture is installed at an insured building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","category_name":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/technosylva.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I011","name":"AGIF - Agencia para a Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Plans, strategically coordinates and evaluates Portugal's entire rural-fire system, integrating public policy across vegetation-fuel accumulation, population behaviour and agent activity, and publishing annual execution reporting - so that Portuguese fuel management, fuel-break networks and suppression operate as one governed system rather than as independent measures.","mechanism_tags":["system_coordination","national_planning","execution_monitoring","fuel_policy"],"tech_stack":["planning_frameworks","monitoring_platforms"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_programmes_portugal","title":"AGIF - Agencia para a Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais | Homepage","tier":"T1","publisher":"agif","url":"https://www.agif.pt/pt","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.agif.pt/pt/","snapshot_hash":"bead6193993ccc698ace2f0b13f112f3f5629869b406efe20c69ce449dad4323","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/bead6193993ccc698ace2f0b13f112f3f5629869b406efe20c69ce449dad4323.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:02:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_sgifr_fuel_management","title":"Gestao de Combustivel - Portal Publico do Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais (SGIFR)","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr","url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260520011327/https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel","snapshot_hash":"b885ec69452410c500ce2358981afd70959be9e9105a69bfe4aa7aba42572ba1","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/b885ec69452410c500ce2358981afd70959be9e9105a69bfe4aa7aba42572ba1.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:12:59Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"AGIF is the Portuguese public institute that plans, strategically coordinates and evaluates the whole rural-fire system, integrating policy across vegetation-fuel accumulation, population behaviour and agent activity so that fuel management, fuel-break networks and suppression operate as one governed system rather than as independent measures. Portugal is the only pilot country with a single named agency owning the entire prevention-to-suppression chain and publishing an annual system-wide evaluation, which makes AGIF the best available source of execution-against-plan data in the geography: its 2024 report records EUR 638 million of system spend, up EUR 155 million on 2023, a prevention weighting that moved from 20% in 2017 to 55% in 2024, EUR 354 million of prevention spend, and 1,250 fewer ignitions than 2023. Those are spend and activity figures, not outcome figures, and the same report carries the OECD's April 2025 finding that Portugal still lacks a coherent financing strategy while 2024's record-low ignition count coincided with September danger indices at 25-year highs. For VIG this is observation-only but operationally useful: ingest the annual SGIFR activity report before fixing any Portuguese adoption anchor, because it is the only execution-against-plan series in the pilot. The constraint worth knowing is that the coordinating agency had 25 staff at 31 December 2024 and does not execute anything itself - delivery sits with ICNF, ANEPC, GNR and the municipalities - so planned measures should not be assumed delivered in full.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"A national public institute with no commercial interface, but the single best source of Portuguese execution-against-plan data for adoption anchoring.","next_step":"Ingest the annual Relatorio de Atividades do SGIFR as a primary source before fixing any Portuguese adoption anchor; trigger is publication of the next annual report."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Agencia para a Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais, I.P.","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"Campus XXI - Av. Joao XXI, 63, 1000-300 Lisboa, Portugal","programme_id":"Decreto-Lei 46/2021","programme_host":"Presidencia do Conselho de Ministros (AGIF, I.P. - instituto publico)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.agif.pt/pt/informacao-institucional/diplomas-legislativos","https://www.agif.pt/pt/contactos","https://www.agif.pt/pt/sobre"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"agif.pt","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.agif.pt/pt/contactos — on the candidate domain itself — states the address 'Campus XXI - Av. Joao XXI, 63 / 1000-300 Lisboa, PORTUGAL', a verbatim match to venture_identity.yaml's registered_address for Agencia para a Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais, I.P. The site is AGIF's own institut","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I011","source_url":"https://www.agif.pt/app/themes/agif/dist/images/favicon/android-icon-192x192_faef729e.png","hash":"982ff03f9d7e3b402c0ec7cd204f2cd52bd8a80a97359b58342f61606a67ee96","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the programme to fund or specify a physical measure installed at an individual policyholder's building, priced per property. Its instruments are landscape-, settlement- or agency-scale.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"AGIF: Portugal's national rural-fire coordination institute, which plans, coordinates and evaluates the system and publishes execution reporting. It is a public planning body with no commercial interface and no per-property product.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_fire_management_programmes_and_statutes","category_name":"National and Regional Fire-Management Programmes and Statutes","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/agif.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I017","name":"AIGIS national civil protection programme (Greece)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"A EUR 2.1bn state equipment and capability programme funded from the Recovery and Resilience Facility, ESPA and the EIB, whose second axis funds early-warning and prevention systems - a national AI fire database, fire-detection systems, meteorological stations and radar, and a 112 upgrade - alongside aircraft, vehicles and drones that raise both detection speed and suppression capacity nationally.","mechanism_tags":["national_capital_programme","eu_recovery_funding","early_warning_systems","suppression_capacity"],"tech_stack":["AI","meteorological_radar","aerial_means","drones","emergency_alerting"],"disclosed_funding":2100000000.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_programmes_greece","title":"Aigis - Epiteliki Domi ESPA, Ypourgeio Klimatikis Krisis kai Politikis Prostasias","tier":"T1","publisher":"greek_civil_protection","url":"https://epiteliki.civilprotection.gov.gr/el/basiki-selida/aigis","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731131049/https://epiteliki.civilprotection.gov.gr/el/basiki-selida/aigis","snapshot_hash":"bce07f778dd3d4d974bdae4bd9e0465259e949b21e89967407180b5c2714d33a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/bce07f778dd3d4d974bdae4bd9e0465259e949b21e89967407180b5c2714d33a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:01:08Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_aegis_espa_budget","title":"Parousiasi tou Programmatos Politikis Prostasias 'Aigis' (ESPA news item)","tier":"T1","publisher":"espa_greece","url":"https://www.espa.gr/el/Pages/NewsFS.aspx?item=1754","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260212230245/https://www.espa.gr/el/Pages/NewsFS.aspx?item=1754","snapshot_hash":"81abb93e0fdb448d015bd04ada2ecc121ffee213cad95e3dcba0189d2bdb4b7a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/81abb93e0fdb448d015bd04ada2ecc121ffee213cad95e3dcba0189d2bdb4b7a.html","publication_date":"2024-04-25","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:11:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"AIGIS is Greece's EUR 2.1 billion national civil-protection capability programme, financed from the Recovery and Resilience Facility, ESPA structural funds and the EIB, whose second axis funds early-warning and prevention systems - a national AI fire database, fire-detection systems, meteorological stations and radar and a 112 upgrade - alongside the aircraft, vehicles and drones that raise suppression capacity nationally. Presented on 25 April 2024, its contents include 7 Canadair, 10 medium helicopters, 25 amphibious aircraft, 1,100 fire-service vehicles, 3 air-surveillance aircraft and 101 drones, with EUR 1.5 billion of tenders issued within nine months and deliveries beginning from 2025; a distinct ESPA civil-protection programme of EUR 714 million sits inside it. Every figure is an input and none is an outcome, the completion forecast made in April 2024 is a political statement rather than audited execution, and the EUR 2.1 billion is the whole all-hazard programme rather than a wildfire budget - attributing the full amount to wildfire would materially overstate Greek prevention spend. For VIG this is observation-only, and the practical consequence is that the Greek adoption curve should be anchored to the AIGIS delivery timetable rather than to any vendor S-curve, because hazard-channel capacity here is set by state procurement. Two traps for anyone extending this work: the equipment list is internally inconsistent and should be read as printed, and Greek clearing areas are published in stremmata of 0.1 hectare, so treating them as hectares overstates area tenfold.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The largest single Hazard-channel commitment in the pilot geography and the clearest evidence that H-channel adoption here is set by state procurement timetables.","next_step":"Anchor the Greek adoption curve to the AIGIS delivery timetable (deliveries from 2025) rather than to any vendor S-curve; trigger for revision is publication of execution data."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Πρόγραμμα «Πολιτική Προστασία» 2021-2027 (ESPA 2021-2027 Civil Protection Programme)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"GR","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"C(2022)3950","programme_host":"Ειδική Υπηρεσία Διαχείρισης Προγραμμάτων «Περιβάλλον και Κλιματική Αλλαγή» και «Πολιτική Προστασία», Υπουργείο Κλιματικής Κρίσης και Πολιτικής Προστασίας","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://civilprotection-program.gr/programma","https://www.espa.gr/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"civilprotection-program.gr","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The candidate domain is the managing authority's own site: its title is 'Eidiki Ypiresia Diacheirisis Programmaton \"Perivallon kai Klimatiki Allagi\" kai \"Politiki Prostasia\"', a verbatim match to the programme_host recorded in venture_identity.yaml. Live fetch of https://civilprotection-program.gr/p","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I017","source_url":"https://civilprotection-program.gr/favicon.ico","hash":"fe5148990d8c6ce49547d4c343260d32ce6b89ae3d3c8ad096d523c0e0a0e8ae","ext":"jpg","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the programme to fund or specify a physical measure installed at an individual policyholder's building, priced per property. Its instruments are landscape-, settlement- or agency-scale.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"AIGIS: a EUR 2.1bn Greek state equipment and capability programme buying aircraft, vehicles, drones, radar, a national AI fire database and a 112 upgrade. Every line is a state asset; none is installed at a policyholder's premises.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_fire_management_programmes_and_statutes","category_name":"National and Regional Fire-Management Programmes and Statutes","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/aegis_programme_greece.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I016","name":"Legge 353/2000 and the municipal catasto of burned areas (Italy)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Freezes the land-use classification of burned land for fifteen years, bans construction on it for ten, and voids any sale contract that fails to recall the constraint, thereby removing the development incentive that motivates deliberate ignition; municipalities must maintain an annually updated cadastre of burned parcels so the constraint is enforceable. It also constrains post-fire reinstatement, an R-channel consequence.","mechanism_tags":["arson_deterrence","land_use_freeze","building_ban","burned_area_cadastre","contract_nullity"],"tech_stack":["legal_instrument","municipal_cadastre","forest_survey"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_programmes_italy","title":"Legge 21 novembre 2000, n. 353 - Legge-quadro in materia di incendi boschivi","tier":"T1","publisher":"parlamento_italiano","url":"https://www.parlamento.it/parlam/leggi/00353l.htm","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.parlamento.it/parlam/leggi/00353l.htm","snapshot_hash":"050cf572a9e77e52e2bd82a93f06b0445472688b5a8d7a177e2ffac18d3e3338","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/050cf572a9e77e52e2bd82a93f06b0445472688b5a8d7a177e2ffac18d3e3338.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:42Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_italy_aib_campaign","title":"Campagna antincendio boschivo 2025 - Dipartimento della Protezione Civile","tier":"T1","publisher":"protezione_civile_italia","url":"https://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/it/approfondimento/campagna-antincendio-boschivo-2025/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260414154032/https://www.protezionecivile.gov.it/it/approfondimento/campagna-antincendio-boschivo-2025/","snapshot_hash":"a0e25aa8c03d8b0909a66362638de99790ad465dac7c711d3a260264f397e051","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/a0e25aa8c03d8b0909a66362638de99790ad465dac7c711d3a260264f397e051.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:49:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Legge 353/2000 is Italy's framework law on forest fires, and it is carried here for its arson-deterrence limb: Article 10 freezes the land-use classification of burned land for fifteen years, voids any sale contract that fails to recall the constraint, and requires every municipality to maintain an annually updated catasto of burned parcels, removing the development incentive that motivates deliberate ignition, while Article 11 created the offence of incendio boschivo. Its footprint is national and statutory across Italy, in force since 1 December 2000 and still governing, but municipal compliance with the cadastre obligation - the thing that decides whether the constraint bites at all - is unmeasured, and nothing evidences how many Italian municipalities maintain a current one. No effectiveness study exists: whether the building ban has measurably reduced arson-driven ignitions in Italy is unknown and no source in this pilot addresses it. The post-fire limb of the same article does not reduce insured loss and is plausibly loss-amplifying: the ten-year ban on constructing buildings on burned land is a hard timing constraint on indemnity in kind, pushing settlement toward cash, relocation or a materially deferred rebuild with the associated additional-living-expense and business-interruption tail, while the fifteen-year nullity rule constrains the salvage and disposal route. For VIG the actionable move is therefore legal rather than commercial: Italian underwriting and legal should review reinstatement-basis wordings against the Article 10 ban, because a reinstatement indemnity may be legally unperformable for up to ten years on a burned site and marketability is impaired for fifteen.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Not actionable as a partnership, but directly material to Italian policy wordings - a reinstatement-basis indemnity may be legally unperformable for up to ten years on a burned site, and marketability is impaired for fifteen.","next_step":"VIG legal and Italian underwriting review reinstatement clauses against the Art. 10 ten-year building ban; trigger is any Italian wildfire property claim involving a total loss."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Legge 21 novembre 2000, n. 353 - Legge-quadro in materia di incendi boschivi","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"IT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Legge 353/2000","programme_host":"Repubblica Italiana - Parlamento (GU n. 280 del 30-11-2000)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353"]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"no_candidates","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 is unreachable: an arson-deterrence land-use freeze has no premises-installed form. The actionable follow-up is an Italian policy-wording review, which sits outside this ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Legge 353/2000 and the municipal catasto of burned areas: a legal instrument that freezes land-use classification and bans construction on burned parcels, enforced through a municipal cadastre. VIG cannot install a statute at a policyholder's house, and the instrument's own effect on insured property is a reinstatement constraint rather than a mitigation.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_fire_management_programmes_and_statutes","category_name":"National and Regional Fire-Management Programmes and Statutes","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/legge_353_2000.md","flags":["logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I012","name":"Plan INFOCA (Andalusia)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Andalusia's annually re-approved civil-protection plan bundles prevention, surveillance and suppression into one regional instrument covering the largest and among the most fire-exposed Spanish autonomous community, funding the fuel treatments, lookout and detection network and aerial means that keep ignitions from developing into large fires.","mechanism_tags":["regional_programme","annual_reauthorisation","prevention_and_suppression","public_procurement"],"tech_stack":["ground_crews","aerial_means","lookout_network","GIS"],"disclosed_funding":271600000.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"obvious","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","ngo_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_programmes_spain","title":"Planes Anuales para la Prevencion, Vigilancia y Extincion de Incendios Forestales de la Comunidad Autonoma de Andalucia","tier":"T1","publisher":"junta_de_andalucia","url":"https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/areas-tematicas/medio-forestal/incendios-forestales/plan-infoca-marco-referencia-frente-incendios-forestales/planes-anuales-prevencion-vigilancia-extincion-incendios-forestales-andalucia","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20231113130112/https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/areas-tematicas/medio-forestal/incendios-forestales/plan-infoca-marco-referencia-frente-incendios-forestales/planes-anuales-prevencion-vigilancia-extincion-incendios-forestales-andalucia","snapshot_hash":"73648a6f2ba23f4408dec8c8219dc20ba6490861ce75f62e65aaf14f97cb7283","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/73648a6f2ba23f4408dec8c8219dc20ba6490861ce75f62e65aaf14f97cb7283.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:01:00Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_technosylva_infoca_deployment","title":"INFOCA expands wildfire response system using satellite tracking","tier":"T2","publisher":"international_fire_and_safety_journal","url":"https://internationalfireandsafetyjournal.com/infoca-expands-wildfire-response-system-using-satellite-tracking/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260506130052/https://internationalfireandsafetyjournal.com/infoca-expands-wildfire-response-system-using-satellite-tracking/","snapshot_hash":"70eba52f3101f2268d5a6917b069e4173a046a1dbf197201c1a09781c4a715f3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/70eba52f3101f2268d5a6917b069e4173a046a1dbf197201c1a09781c4a715f3.html","publication_date":"2025-06-23","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:09:04Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_rapca_remp_corroboration","title":"Red de Areas Pasto-Cortafuegos. Andalucia (REMP buena practica)","tier":"T2","publisher":"remp","url":"https://www.remp.es/buenas-practicas/listado/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-andalucia","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.remp.es/buenas-practicas/listado/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-andalucia","snapshot_hash":"8b3f6ba0eb6e7220728ef3d49110fdd434680e077a0d6e4f98501b29b512b3a8","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/8b3f6ba0eb6e7220728ef3d49110fdd434680e077a0d6e4f98501b29b512b3a8.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:44:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":4,"description":"Plan INFOCA is Andalusia's annually re-approved regional wildfire plan, bundling prevention, surveillance and suppression into a single instrument covering the largest and among the most fire-exposed Spanish autonomous communities, and it is the vehicle that funds the fuel treatments, lookout network and aerial means that keep ignitions from developing into large fires. Its 2026 allocation is EUR 271.6 million with 4,700 professionals and 43 aerial means, up 5% on 2025 and 60% on 2018, and independent trade press describes it as one of Europe's largest emergency-response organisations. The growth series matters more than the level: the deceleration from plus 60% over eight years to plus 5% in the latest year is a materially different adoption shape from a step change, and the announcement is an intended allocation rather than audited execution, with no prevention-versus- suppression split published. For VIG this is observation-only, but it is the reference case for how Spanish hazard capacity is actually set: annually, by budget decision, not by technology diffusion, so a Spanish H-channel adoption anchor should be built on the published annual plans rather than on a curve. Two traps: the frequently cited 53.6% prevention share is a 2007 figure that must not be projected forward, and this evidence covers Andalusia alone - INFOCAM, INFOEX and INFOMUR are separate instruments with separate budgets.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"A regional government programme with no private counterparty, but the reference case for how Spanish Hazard capacity is set - annually, by budget decision, not by diffusion.","next_step":"Anchor Spanish H-channel adoption to the published annual plans rather than a technology curve; trigger for revision is publication of the 2026 and 2027 annual plans."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Plan de Emergencia por Incendios Forestales de Andalucía (Plan INFOCA)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Decreto 371/2010","programme_host":"Junta de Andalucía - Consejería de Sostenibilidad y Medio Ambiente","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/boja/2010/192/1"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"juntadeandalucia.es","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Plan INFOCA is a programme of the Junta de Andalucia (identity sidecar programme_host: 'Junta de Andalucia - Consejeria de Sostenibilidad y Medio Ambiente'); its constituting Decreto 371/2010 is published on the candidate domain (juntadeandalucia.es/boja/2010/192/1) and the Junta's medioambiente por","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:404","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the programme to fund or specify a physical measure installed at an individual policyholder's building, priced per property. Its instruments are landscape-, settlement- or agency-scale.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Plan INFOCA: Andalusia's annually re-approved regional civil-protection plan bundling prevention, surveillance and suppression. Its capacity is set by regional budget decision and delivered at landscape scale; nothing in it is installed at a policyholder's building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_fire_management_programmes_and_statutes","category_name":"National and Regional Fire-Management Programmes and Statutes","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/plan_infoca.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I013","name":"Plan INFOCAM (Castilla-La Mancha)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"The Castilla-La Mancha regional fire plan, the earliest documented Spanish adopter of satellite crew-tracking and a contracting party for dedicated aerial means, delivering preventive fuel treatments and rapid initial attack across an interior region with high continental fire danger.","mechanism_tags":["regional_programme","initial_attack","preventive_treatments","public_procurement"],"tech_stack":["ground_crews","aerial_means","satellite_tracking"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports","regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_technosylva_infoca_deployment","title":"INFOCA expands wildfire response system using satellite tracking","tier":"T2","publisher":"international_fire_and_safety_journal","url":"https://internationalfireandsafetyjournal.com/infoca-expands-wildfire-response-system-using-satellite-tracking/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260506130052/https://internationalfireandsafetyjournal.com/infoca-expands-wildfire-response-system-using-satellite-tracking/","snapshot_hash":"70eba52f3101f2268d5a6917b069e4173a046a1dbf197201c1a09781c4a715f3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/70eba52f3101f2268d5a6917b069e4173a046a1dbf197201c1a09781c4a715f3.html","publication_date":"2025-06-23","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:09:04Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_avincis_spain_contracts","title":"Avincis secures firefighting contracts in Spain for 14 aircraft","tier":"T3","publisher":"avincis","url":"https://www.avincis.com/press-release-avincis-secures-firefighting-contracts-in-spain-for-14-aircraft/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.avincis.com/press-release-avincis-secures-firefighting-contracts-in-spain-for-14-aircraft/","snapshot_hash":"21487f19848e96d16700ebf0a101cce4457611689f93a50a6fef496093c365f4","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/21487f19848e96d16700ebf0a101cce4457611689f93a50a6fef496093c365f4.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:17:56Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Plan INFOCAM is Castilla-La Mancha's regional wildfire prevention and suppression plan, delivering preventive fuel treatments and rapid initial attack across an interior region with high continental fire danger. Its evidenced Southern-European footprint is modest but dated: use of Globalstar satellite crew-tracking since 2015, making it the earliest documented Spanish regional adopter of that capability and five years ahead of Andalusia, plus two Avincis contracts deploying four aircraft for personnel transport and water bombing. This is the weakest primary-source position of any programme venture in the pool - both sources are third parties describing the region rather than the region describing itself - and the headline figures usually attached to INFOCAM, including EUR 126 million for 2026, more than 11,200 hectares of preventive treatments, 114 lookouts and the claim that 84 to 90% of fires stay as conatos, appear in no snapshot taken here. For VIG this is observation-only; its purpose in the pool is to prevent an Andalusia-only reading of Spanish hazard capacity, since Spanish regions procure independently, on their own timelines, and adopt different technologies first. If any Castilla-La Mancha figure is ever needed, the regional annual plan must be ingested first; in particular the conato-containment rate would be a materially useful effectiveness proxy and is currently uncited.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Included as the second Spanish regional data point, showing that regional programmes adopt operational technology independently and on different timelines.","next_step":"Ingest the INFOCAM annual plan directly before using any Castilla-La Mancha figure; trigger is any Phase IX baseline work requiring a non-Andalusian Spanish anchor."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Plan Especial de Emergencia por Incendios Forestales de Castilla-La Mancha (Plan INFOCAM)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Orden 187/2017","programme_host":"Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha - Consejería de Hacienda y Administraciones Públicas (DOCM num. 216, 8-11-2017)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://docm.jccm.es/portaldocm/descargarArchivo.do?ruta=2017/11/08/pdf/2017_13076.pdf","https://infocam.castillalamancha.es/normativa"]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"no_candidates","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the programme to fund or specify a physical measure installed at an individual policyholder's building, priced per property. Its instruments are landscape-, settlement- or agency-scale.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Plan INFOCAM: the Castilla-La Mancha regional fire plan, funding preventive treatments, lookouts and contracted aerial means. A regional public programme with no per-property installed component.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_fire_management_programmes_and_statutes","category_name":"National and Regional Fire-Management Programmes and Statutes","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/plan_infocam.md","flags":["logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I014","name":"SGIFR - Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais (PNGIFR / PNA)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Portugal's national integrated rural-fire management system and its planning cascade from the national plan through regional, sub-regional and municipal execution programmes, which is the instrument that actually specifies where fuel is managed, which fuel-break networks are built and which areas are designated priority.","mechanism_tags":["national_system","planning_cascade","fuel_break_network","municipal_execution"],"tech_stack":["planning_frameworks","GIS","interoperability_platform"],"disclosed_funding":638000000.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_programmes_portugal","title":"AGIF - Agencia para a Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais | Homepage","tier":"T1","publisher":"agif","url":"https://www.agif.pt/pt","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.agif.pt/pt/","snapshot_hash":"bead6193993ccc698ace2f0b13f112f3f5629869b406efe20c69ce449dad4323","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/bead6193993ccc698ace2f0b13f112f3f5629869b406efe20c69ce449dad4323.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:02:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_sgifr_fuel_management","title":"Gestao de Combustivel - Portal Publico do Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais (SGIFR)","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr","url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260520011327/https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel","snapshot_hash":"b885ec69452410c500ce2358981afd70959be9e9105a69bfe4aa7aba42572ba1","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/b885ec69452410c500ce2358981afd70959be9e9105a69bfe4aa7aba42572ba1.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:12:59Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"SGIFR is Portugal's national integrated rural-fire management system and its planning cascade, running from the PNGIFR national plan through regional, sub-regional and municipal execution programmes, and it is the instrument that actually specifies where fuel is managed, which fuel-break networks are built and which areas are designated priority. Its Southern-European footprint is national and binding in practice: EUR 638 million of system spend in 2024 with a 55% prevention weighting, a six-phase operational chain from planning through to post-event, and municipal notices confirming that third parties such as the distribution grid operator execute fuel works against locations inscribed in the planning documents. The 2024 actuals are sourced; the forward targets in circulation are not, and they must not be mixed with them - EUR 635 million a year, roughly EUR 7 billion to 2030, a 57/43 planned split, 1.2 million hectares actively managed by 2030 and an 80% reduction in high-risk-day ignitions all come from planning documents this pilot did not ingest. For VIG this is observation-only and its value is as data: municipal execution programmes are the right geographic resolution for any Portuguese fuel-management adoption estimate, and per-region execution tables should be used rather than national aggregates. The gap worth naming is that the primary fuel-break network, reported at EUR 120 million for 125,000 hectares, rests on ICNF pages that render as JavaScript shells and yielded no extractable text, so that figure is unevidenced here.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The governing framework for every Portuguese Hazard measure in this pool; VIG's interest is in its execution data, not in engaging it.","next_step":"Use SGIFR municipal execution programmes as the geographic resolution for any Portuguese fuel-management adoption estimate; trigger is Phase V adoption anchoring."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais (SGIFR)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Decreto-Lei 82/2021","programme_host":"AGIF, I.P. (PNGIFR aprovado pela RCM n. 45-A/2020; PNA pela RCM n. 71-A/2021)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.agif.pt/pt/informacao-institucional/diplomas-legislativos","https://www.agif.pt/app/uploads/2021/07/RCM-45A_2020_PNGIFR.pdf","https://www.agif.pt/app/uploads/2021/07/RCM-71A_2021_PNA_compressed.pdf"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"sgifr.gov.pt","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"sgifr.gov.pt is the Portuguese state portal for exactly this venture — its page title is 'Portal Publico do SGIFR' and its meta keywords enumerate the SGIFR planning instruments (pngifr, pna, pra, psa, pme). Live fetch of https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel shows footer '(c) 2024 AGIF', i","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I014","source_url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/o/sgifr-theme/images/favicon.ico","hash":"503e7d40d2908d65d4b2e0f02be677a5a8417b3a5f6e0b0039d48aee7ed9b797","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the programme to fund or specify a physical measure installed at an individual policyholder's building, priced per property. Its instruments are landscape-, settlement- or agency-scale.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"SGIFR / PNGIFR: Portugal's national integrated rural-fire management system and its planning cascade down to municipal execution programmes. It specifies where fuel is managed at landscape resolution; it is a governance instrument, not a product installable at a dwelling.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_fire_management_programmes_and_statutes","category_name":"National and Regional Fire-Management Programmes and Statutes","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/sgifr_pngifr.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I018","name":"Aldeia Segura, Pessoas Seguras","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Establishes managed protection zones around rural settlements at the wildland-urban interface, identifies critical points and refuge locations, and appoints a local safety officer per settlement - so the fuel structure between the wildland and the built edge is engineered rather than accidental. The paired Pessoas Seguras component acts behaviourally on the V and R channels.","mechanism_tags":["settlement_perimeter","wui_protection_zone","local_safety_officer","refuge_locations","municipal_delivery"],"tech_stack":["mechanical_clearing","evacuation_planning","community_drills"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_aldeia_segura","title":"Aldeia Segura Pessoas Seguras","tier":"T1","publisher":"anepc","url":"https://aldeiasseguras.pt/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260703170728/https://aldeiasseguras.pt/","snapshot_hash":"d28d117137d96322d691e7a8eadbd3e0b4a6bd1db093bb08da8f0308c8391073","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/d28d117137d96322d691e7a8eadbd3e0b4a6bd1db093bb08da8f0308c8391073.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:21:10Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_aldeia_segura_sgifr","title":"Programas Aldeia Segura, Pessoas Seguras - Portal Publico do SGIFR","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr","url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/programas-aldeia-segura-pessoas-seguras","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260725114219/https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/programas-aldeia-segura-pessoas-seguras","snapshot_hash":"ad1251481227f062d23531b1846dedf30348de9a314fe1a7ebe910e54099f61a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/ad1251481227f062d23531b1846dedf30348de9a314fe1a7ebe910e54099f61a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:44:13Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Aldeia Segura, Pessoas Seguras is a pair of Portuguese programmes established by protocol between the national civil protection authority, the municipalities association and the parishes association, establishing managed protection zones around rural settlements at the wildland-urban interface, identifying critical points and refuge locations and appointing a local safety officer per settlement, with a paired behavioural component covering self-protection and evacuation drills. Its Southern-European footprint is published at settlement granularity and read at fetch on 31 July 2026: 2,435 settlements involved, 2,280 with a local safety officer, 1,057 evacuation plans, 735 drills, 1,582 shelter and 1,576 refuge locations - coverage and depth diverge sharply, at 94%, 43% and 30% respectively. Those counters are a live widget collating self-reported municipal returns rather than an audited inspection, no denominator of Portuguese rural settlements is published so they cannot be converted into a national penetration rate, and nothing links them to reduced ignitions, burned area or loss. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation with an underwriting edge: because participation is published per settlement, a Portuguese property book can be tested for whether the villages it covers have a safety officer, a plan and a drill, which is a ready-made rating and communication variable at village granularity. The gap that would embarrass anyone relying on it is that no source states how wide a settlement protection zone must be, so the parameter needed for any physical effectiveness estimate is entirely missing.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"Publishes live settlement-level adoption counts, so an insurer can identify which Portuguese settlements have a safety officer, an evacuation plan and a drill - a ready-made rating and communication variable at village granularity.","next_step":"Test whether Aldeia Segura participation correlates with VIG-relevant Portuguese exposure at settlement level; trigger is any Portuguese property portfolio review."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Aldeia Segura, Pessoas Seguras","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"Avenida do Forte, 2794-112 Carnaxide, Portugal","programme_id":"RCM 157-A/2017","programme_host":"Autoridade Nacional de Emergencia e Protecao Civil (ANEPC), com ANMP e ANAFRE","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://prociv.gov.pt/pt/prevencao-e-preparacao/programas-e-projetos/aldeia-segura-pessoas-seguras/","https://aldeiasseguras.pt/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"aldeiasseguras.pt","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"address","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://aldeiasseguras.pt","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I018","source_url":"https://aldeiasseguras.pt/wp-content/uploads/2019/07/cropped-fav-icon-32x32.png","hash":"9bd7f583768ff176bbd963ffaf10e042a7b87bf9e00b0293fd654c589c0ebbe8","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the programme to deliver a per-dwelling physical measure priced per property. Its settlement-level participation counters are an underwriting rating variable, not an installable product.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Aldeia Segura, Pessoas Seguras: managed protection zones around rural settlements, plus critical points, refuge locations and a local safety officer per settlement. The unit of delivery is the village, not the parcel or the building, so it cannot be sold to one policyholder.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_landscape_fuel_management","category_name":"Landscape Fuel Management and Grazed Fuel-Break Networks","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/aldeia_segura.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I024","name":"Fundacio Pau Costa","initiative_type":"academic-spinout","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Designs, coordinates and trains the practitioners for integrated fire-management interventions - grazed firebreaks, prescribed burning, landscape fuel treatment - acting as the technical intermediary that specifies the physical work and verifies it was done to standard, which is the capability any non-state funder of prevention must contract.","mechanism_tags":["technical_intermediary","prescribed_burning","grazing_scheme_design","practitioner_training"],"tech_stack":["fire_behaviour_science","training_frameworks","landscape_planning"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["ngo_reports","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_pau_costa_foundation","title":"Pau Costa Foundation - Ponemos la Mano en el Fuego","tier":"T2","publisher":"pau_costa_foundation","url":"https://www.paucostafoundation.org/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260616150415/https://www.paucostafoundation.org/","snapshot_hash":"3de7410a4d104fc84fea5e1d30dfba66b2f8f2c72e7be8a3696e0adc2e30beee","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/3de7410a4d104fc84fea5e1d30dfba66b2f8f2c72e7be8a3696e0adc2e30beee.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:50Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_grazing_fuel_reduction","title":"Red de Areas Pasto-Cortafuegos de Andalucia (RAPCA)","tier":"T1","publisher":"junta_de_andalucia","url":"https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/areas-tematicas/medio-forestal/incendios-forestales/prevencion-y-participacion-frente-incendios-forestales/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-de-andalucia","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20231113130242/https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/areas-tematicas/medio-forestal/incendios-forestales/prevencion-y-participacion-frente-incendios-forestales/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-de-andalucia","snapshot_hash":"839734112e725b087e2f6475c9ff9fa3f58cd377c2808636345c08cc22a9526f","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/839734112e725b087e2f6475c9ff9fa3f58cd377c2808636345c08cc22a9526f.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:01:06Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":4,"description":"Fundacio Pau Costa is a Catalan fire-science foundation that designs, coordinates and trains practitioners for integrated fire-management interventions - grazed firebreaks, prescribed burning, landscape fuel treatment - and is therefore not a mitigation itself but the technical intermediary that specifies the physical work and verifies it was done to standard. Its evidenced Southern-European presence is Spain-centred and qualitative: activity lines in resilient landscapes, resilient societies, training and education, named projects including Ramats de Foc, and a public advocacy campaign on state commitments against large forest fires. No hectares treated, schemes counted or outcomes measured appear anywhere, and no budget, headcount or funding figure is published in any snapshot taken here, so the foundation supports no numeric parameter. For VIG the mode is partnership, and the reasoning is structural: an insurer cannot specify or verify physical fuel work itself, so any co-funded prevention would have to run through an intermediary of exactly this type, and this is the one with an established Iberian track record. Two caveats: its roles in the FIREPRIME and WUIVIEW projects are not stated on the evidence captured here and must not be asserted from it, and FIRE-ADAPT, the project it leads, is explicitly framed for tropical and subtropical regions rather than for the pilot geography.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"An insurer cannot specify or verify physical fuel work itself. If VIG ever co-funds prevention, it contracts an intermediary of exactly this type - and this is the one with an established Iberian track record.","next_step":"Identify as the technical counterparty in any prevention co-funding proposal put to the Phase X composer; trigger is board appetite for a loss-prevention pilot in Iberia."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Fundació d'Ecologia del Foc i Gestió d'Incendis Pau Costa Alcubierre (Fundació Pau Costa)","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"G55536098","source":"https://www.paucostafoundation.org/politica-de-privacidad/"}],"registered_address":"Avinguda Mossèn Cinto Verdaguer, 42, Escala A, Baixos 2a, 08552 Taradell (Barcelona), España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.paucostafoundation.org/aviso-legal/","https://www.paucostafoundation.org/politica-de-privacidad/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"paucostafoundation.org","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.paucostafoundation.org/politica-de-privacidad/ — a legal-disclosure page on the candidate domain itself — states verbatim 'FUNDACIO PAU COSTA (PAU COSTA FOUNDATION)', CIF 'G55536098' and 'Avinguda Mossen Cinto Verdaguer, 42, Escala A, Baixos A, 08552, Taradell'. Registration number and a","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I024","source_url":"https://www.paucostafoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/favicon-100x100.png","hash":"f74bb5ea32133a8ccdfc16b60cd93b1b8471c224c445502ca2148f58f2d72f6c","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the treatment to be dimensioned to a single insured building and sold per property. As specified it is a landscape or corridor treatment.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Fundacio Pau Costa: the technical intermediary that designs, coordinates and verifies integrated fire-management interventions and trains the practitioners. It supplies specification and verification capability at landscape scale, not a product fitted to a building. It is the counterparty VIG would contract if it ever co-funded prevention, which is a procurement route rather than a serviceable install.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_landscape_fuel_management","category_name":"Landscape Fuel Management and Grazed Fuel-Break Networks","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/fundacio_pau_costa.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I015","name":"Portuguese fuel-management obligation around buildings (Despacho 675/2026 regime)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Legally mandated graded clearance around every building - all surface fuels removed within 2 m, trees and shrubs thinned to 10 m, canopies kept at least 5 m from the structure and off the roof - which reduces fireline intensity and breaks vertical and horizontal fuel continuity at the exact point where wildland fire reaches insured property.","mechanism_tags":["defensible_space","graded_clearance","statutory_obligation","wui_interface","fireline_intensity"],"tech_stack":["mechanical_clearing","prescribed_grazing","regulatory_enforcement"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_sgifr_fuel_management","title":"Gestao de Combustivel - Portal Publico do Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais (SGIFR)","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr","url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260520011327/https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel","snapshot_hash":"b885ec69452410c500ce2358981afd70959be9e9105a69bfe4aa7aba42572ba1","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/b885ec69452410c500ce2358981afd70959be9e9105a69bfe4aa7aba42572ba1.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:12:59Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_programmes_portugal","title":"AGIF - Agencia para a Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais | Homepage","tier":"T1","publisher":"agif","url":"https://www.agif.pt/pt","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.agif.pt/pt/","snapshot_hash":"bead6193993ccc698ace2f0b13f112f3f5629869b406efe20c69ce449dad4323","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/bead6193993ccc698ace2f0b13f112f3f5629869b406efe20c69ce449dad4323.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:02:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"This entry carries the landscape and settlement-scale limb of Portugal's legally mandated fuel clearance around buildings, restated on the SGIFR portal under Despacho 675/2026: all surface fuels eliminated within 2 metres of a structure, trees and shrubs removed or thinned from 2 to 10 metres, canopies held at least 5 metres clear with no roof overhang, delivered through the wider fuel-management network and the 100-metre settlement band. Its distinguishing feature is that the regulator states the mechanism in intensity terms - the clearance reduces the heat released per minute per metre of fire front - rather than merely in spread terms, which makes it the closest thing in the pilot to an underwritable wildfire loss-prevention standard an insurer can verify and condition on. The compliance picture must be stated correctly: the SGIFR 2024 report puts voluntary compliance at 60%, and the widely quoted 40% figure applies to already-detected breaches - the GNR signalled 10,256 non-compliance situations and about 40% of those were not regularised after notification - across an enforcement footprint of 991 freguesias covering roughly 32% of mainland Portugal, so a national penetration rate still does not exist. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation: the bands are physically specified and legally required, so they can be communicated to policyholders and turned into underwriting questions, with the building-envelope limb tracked separately under I043. Note that this is regulator guidance restating a legal instrument rather than the instrument itself, that neither Despacho 675/2026 nor Decreto-Lei 82/2021 was ingested, and that no effectiveness study exists for the measure at all.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"A physically specified, legally required mitigation that a property insurer can verify, condition on and communicate - the closest thing in the pilot to an underwritable wildfire loss-prevention standard.","next_step":"Draft a policyholder communication and an underwriting question set based on the 2 m / 10 m / outer-belt bands for any Portuguese property book; trigger is confirmation of the national non-compliance rate, which is currently an evidence gap."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Despacho n. 675/2026, de 21 de janeiro","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Despacho 675/2026","programme_host":"Republica Portuguesa - Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais (SGIFR)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"sgifr.gov.pt","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Despacho n. 675/2026 is the current technical standard for the building-perimeter fuel-management duty, and its official implementing presentation lives on the candidate domain: live fetch of https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel quotes 'Novas Normas Tecnicas de Gestao de Combustivel (consu","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I015","source_url":"https://sgifr.gov.pt/favicon.ico","hash":"503e7d40d2908d65d4b2e0f02be677a5a8417b3a5f6e0b0039d48aee7ed9b797","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 for this limb is unreachable by construction: a settlement-scale band is not a premises install. The serviceable progression to track is I043's, not this entry's.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Portuguese fuel-management obligation (H limb): this entry carries the landscape fuel-management network and the 100 m settlement band of the Despacho 675/2026 regime, which are executed at settlement and landscape scale by municipalities and ICNF. The building-envelope limb of the same instrument - the 0-2 m and 2-10 m graded bands, which is the serviceable part - is scored separately at I043 (V channel) and is deliberately not claimed twice here.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_landscape_fuel_management","category_name":"Landscape Fuel Management and Grazed Fuel-Break Networks","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/pt_fuel_management_obligation.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I020","name":"Ramats de Foc","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Uses extensive grazing in strategic forest zones to maintain fuel discontinuity, and funds the work through a certification label that lets participating producers sell meat and dairy at a premium - so the firebreak maintenance is sustained by consumer revenue rather than by a public budget line.","mechanism_tags":["grazed_firebreak","certification_label","self_funding_mechanism","fuel_discontinuity"],"tech_stack":["extensive_livestock","product_certification","retail_distribution"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["ngo_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_ramats_de_foc","title":"Ramats de Foc - Gestio del risc d'incendis amb pastures","tier":"T3","publisher":"ramats_de_foc","url":"https://www.ramatsdefoc.org/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260513201151/https://www.ramatsdefoc.org/","snapshot_hash":"673bfbd9c85b93aa50016f0f8e39089a959efd7469424783054fa3e587baca2f","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/673bfbd9c85b93aa50016f0f8e39089a959efd7469424783054fa3e587baca2f.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:11Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_pau_costa_foundation","title":"Pau Costa Foundation - Ponemos la Mano en el Fuego","tier":"T2","publisher":"pau_costa_foundation","url":"https://www.paucostafoundation.org/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260616150415/https://www.paucostafoundation.org/","snapshot_hash":"3de7410a4d104fc84fea5e1d30dfba66b2f8f2c72e7be8a3696e0adc2e30beee","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/3de7410a4d104fc84fea5e1d30dfba66b2f8f2c72e7be8a3696e0adc2e30beee.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:50Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Ramats de Foc uses extensive livestock grazing in strategic Catalan forest zones to maintain fuel discontinuity, and funds the work through a consumer-facing certification seal that lets participating graziers sell meat and dairy at a premium, so firebreak maintenance is sustained by retail revenue rather than by a public budget line. Its evidenced Southern-European footprint is qualitative: named participating graziers published with their municipalities including El Papiol, Vilaverd and Tavertet, a published locator of retail outlets, and a first branded preserve launched at the Forum Gastronomic on 4 November 2025. No hectares, flock count or fuel-load reduction is published anywhere, so the physical footprint is unquantified in the project's own materials, and no source links the grazed areas to reduced burned area or loss. For VIG it is a partnership candidate of a specific kind: because its constraint is consumer willingness to pay rather than public budget, a private co-funder including an insurer is a natural, small-ticket participant in a defined grazing block. The caveat is that any sponsorship should be gated on the project first publishing a treated-area figure, and that the BBVA award and provincial grant sometimes cited for it are evidenced by no snapshot taken here.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"A prevention mechanism whose funding constraint is consumer willingness to pay rather than public budget, which makes a private co-funder - including an insurer - a natural and small-ticket participant.","next_step":"VIG Innovation scopes a sponsorship or co-funding of a defined Catalan grazing block with published hectares; trigger is the project publishing a treated-area figure, which it currently does not."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Ramats de Foc","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":"Fundació Pau Costa","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://ramatsdefoc.org/","https://www.paucostafoundation.org/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"ramatsdefoc.org","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Live fetch of ramatsdefoc.org: page title 'Ramats de foc' (verbatim legal_name), footer credit 'Un projecte de: [logo-PCF] [logo-Bombers]', copyright '(c) Pau Costa Foundation 2026' and contact address ramatsdefoc@paucostafoundation.org — corroborating on the candidate domain itself that the program","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I020","source_url":"https://www.ramatsdefoc.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/cropped-logo-ramats-360-32x32.png","hash":"56174f2e8061b211cb926aaba4211e83208f3af327fe1a24af876d1ed8b02f4b","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the treatment to be dimensioned to a single insured building and sold per property. As specified it is a landscape or corridor treatment.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Ramats de Foc: extensive grazing in strategic forest zones, funded by a meat and dairy certification premium. A landscape fuel-discontinuity scheme; no measure reaches an insured building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_landscape_fuel_management","category_name":"Landscape Fuel Management and Grazed Fuel-Break Networks","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/ramats_de_foc.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I019","name":"RAPCA - Red de Areas Pasto-Cortafuegos de Andalucia","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Contracts livestock keepers to maintain fuel breaks by grazing rather than mechanical clearing, with payment determined by field-verified achievement of shrub and pasture reduction targets, creating discontinuity in the forest fuel mass that blocks propagation on terrain where mechanical maintenance is prohibitively costly.","mechanism_tags":["grazed_firebreak","pay_for_results","fuel_discontinuity","cost_substitution","verified_outcome"],"tech_stack":["extensive_livestock","field_verification","contract_design"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","academic_studies","ngo_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_grazing_fuel_reduction","title":"Red de Areas Pasto-Cortafuegos de Andalucia (RAPCA)","tier":"T1","publisher":"junta_de_andalucia","url":"https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/areas-tematicas/medio-forestal/incendios-forestales/prevencion-y-participacion-frente-incendios-forestales/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-de-andalucia","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20231113130242/https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/areas-tematicas/medio-forestal/incendios-forestales/prevencion-y-participacion-frente-incendios-forestales/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-de-andalucia","snapshot_hash":"839734112e725b087e2f6475c9ff9fa3f58cd377c2808636345c08cc22a9526f","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/839734112e725b087e2f6475c9ff9fa3f58cd377c2808636345c08cc22a9526f.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:01:06Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_rapca_remp_corroboration","title":"Red de Areas Pasto-Cortafuegos. Andalucia (REMP buena practica)","tier":"T2","publisher":"remp","url":"https://www.remp.es/buenas-practicas/listado/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-andalucia","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.remp.es/buenas-practicas/listado/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-andalucia","snapshot_hash":"8b3f6ba0eb6e7220728ef3d49110fdd434680e077a0d6e4f98501b29b512b3a8","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/8b3f6ba0eb6e7220728ef3d49110fdd434680e077a0d6e4f98501b29b512b3a8.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:44:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":4,"description":"RAPCA is Andalusia's network of grazed firebreaks, contracting livestock keepers to maintain fuel breaks by grazing rather than mechanical clearing, with regional field staff testing attainment of specified shrub and pasture reduction objectives and determining payment according to the measured result - creating fuel discontinuity on terrain where mechanical maintenance is prohibitively costly. Formally constituted in 2005 after trials from 1997, its documented Southern- European scale ran from 875.5 hectares across 17 public montes in 2007 to 15,371 hectares with 451 graziers and more than 200,000 head by 2012. The evidence has two honest limits: both accounts stop at 2012 so nothing evidences current scale, and a live discrepancy exists between the 15,371-hectare series and Junta-sourced figures of roughly 5,700 hectares and 181 graziers on a different accounting basis, which must be preserved rather than averaged; the peer-reviewed evaluation of the programme measures grazing-objective attainment, which is programme integrity, not burned area and not loss. For VIG this is the single most interesting structure in the pilot and is flagged as a partnership: it is the only outcome-linked mitigation contract found anywhere here, and pay-on-verified-physical-result is exactly the design an insurer would need in order to co-fund prevention auditably. The outstanding item worth chasing is the 2008 RAPCA avoided-cost study comparing grazing against mechanical clearing, which is likely the only euro-per-hectare figure available for European grazing firebreaks and was not obtained.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"The only outcome-linked mitigation contract found anywhere in the pilot. Its payment design - pay on verified physical fuel reduction - is the exact structure an insurer would need to co-fund prevention in an auditable way.","next_step":"VIG Innovation, with the Phase X composer, models a co-funded grazed-firebreak pilot on the RAPCA payment structure; trigger is agreement on a Spanish or Portuguese portfolio with concentrated wildland-adjacent exposure."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Red de Áreas Pasto-Cortafuegos de Andalucía (RAPCA)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":"Junta de Andalucía - Dirección General de Gestión del Medio Natural; ejecución por la Agencia de Medio Ambiente y Agua; investigación CSIC - Estación Experimental del Zaidín","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/areas-tematicas/medio-forestal/incendios-forestales/prevencion-y-participacion-frente-incendios-forestales/red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-de-andalucia"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"juntadeandalucia.es","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Live fetch of the RAPCA page on the candidate domain (juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/.../red-de-areas-pasto-cortafuegos-de-andalucia, the venture's recorded identity_source) returns the heading 'Red de Areas Pasto-Cortafuegos de Andalucia (RAPCA)' verbatim and names 'Consejeria de Sostenib","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I019","source_url":"https://www.juntadeandalucia.es/medioambiente/portal/o/cmaot-web-theme/images/favicon.ico","hash":"3f65d50b99f9850c3e97dd8e66d7605725239c767122a2b7958faf0111d90400","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the treatment to be dimensioned to a single insured building and sold per property. As specified it is a landscape or corridor treatment.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"RAPCA: livestock keepers contracted to maintain regional fuel breaks by grazing, paid on field-verified shrub and pasture reduction. The treated object is a forest fuel break on public or communal terrain, not a policyholder's parcel. Its pay-on-verified-outcome contract design is the most transferable thing in the pool, but that is a co-funding structure, not a premises install.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_landscape_fuel_management","category_name":"Landscape Fuel Management and Grazed Fuel-Break Networks","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/rapca.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I021","name":"e-distribucion (Endesa) Campana de Verano","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Annual grid-operator campaign that inspects overhead lines and clears the vegetation corridor around them across most of Spain's highest-hazard regions, removing both the vegetation-contact ignition mechanism and the equipment-failure ignition mechanism, and in 2026 targeting the work using long-range LiDAR and thermographic drones feeding a network digital twin.","mechanism_tags":["powerline_ignition_prevention","vegetation_corridor","predictive_maintenance","drone_inspection"],"tech_stack":["drones","LIDAR","thermography","AI","digital_twin"],"disclosed_funding":105000000.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_utility_ignition_prevention","title":"Endesa eleva a 105 millones de euros la inversion en control forestal, mantenimiento e inspeccion de la red de cara al verano","tier":"T3","publisher":"endesa","url":"https://www.endesa.com/es/prensa/sala-de-prensa/noticias/eficiencia-energetica/medioambiente/105-millones-euros-control-forestal-mantenimiento-inspeccion-red-verano","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260802072326/https://www.endesa.com/es/prensa/sala-de-prensa/noticias/eficiencia-energetica/medioambiente/105-millones-euros-control-forestal-mantenimiento-inspeccion-red-verano","snapshot_hash":"360a574c130eb9c0324aac9bed622b993345e3b88d221bb8c167e4c843664be3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/360a574c130eb9c0324aac9bed622b993345e3b88d221bb8c167e4c843664be3.html","publication_date":"2026-06-10","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:12:48Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_endesa_campaign_trade_press","title":"Endesa: 105 millones en red con drones, IA y control forestal","tier":"T2","publisher":"conecta_industria","url":"https://www.conectaindustria.es/articulo/sostenibilidad/endesa-105-millones-red-drones-ia-incendios/20260611111039014584.html","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.conectaindustria.es/articulo/sostenibilidad/endesa-105-millones-red-drones-ia-incendios/20260611111039014584.html","snapshot_hash":"2c08587f88c068e8ed2473c0ab9b60f1823bc86b6ccc6d0ad32bfb44e1a59c8b","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/2c08587f88c068e8ed2473c0ab9b60f1823bc86b6ccc6d0ad32bfb44e1a59c8b.html","publication_date":"2026-06-11","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:44:11Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"The e-distribucion Campana de Verano is the annual summer network campaign of Endesa's distribution subsidiary, inspecting overhead lines and clearing the vegetation corridor around them so that both the vegetation-contact and the equipment-failure ignition mechanisms are removed at source, with the 2026 edition targeting the work using long-range LiDAR and thermographic drones feeding a network digital twin. Announced on 10 June 2026, it is budgeted at close to EUR 105 million, 36% above the previous year, across more than 320,000 km of line and 12.8 million customers in Andalusia, Aragon, the Balearics, the Canaries, Catalonia, part of Extremadura and Ceuta, with 17,337 distribution-centre inspections and 11,900 km of overhead line reviewed year to date and 45,186 corrective actions reported by trade press. Not one of those numbers is an effectiveness figure: the corrective-action count has no baseline and no counterfactual, no ignitions avoided or hectares are published, and critically the EUR 105 million covers supply reliability, storm hardening and demand-peak preparation as well as vegetation control, so the wildfire-attributable share of the pilot's largest private prevention number is unknown. For VIG this is observation-only - a regulated network operator's own maintenance budget with no insurance interface - but it is the best available trend indicator for utility-caused ignition risk in Iberia, and the number worth pressing for is the vegetation-control split. Two things not to repeat: territory is partial, with Castilla y Leon, Galicia, Madrid, Valencia and most of Extremadura outside the network, and the reported preventive-disconnection practice analogous to Californian power shutoffs appears in no snapshot.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The largest disclosed private prevention spend in the pilot, but it is a regulated network operator's own maintenance budget with no insurance interface. Its value to VIG is as a trend indicator for utility-caused ignition risk in Iberia.","next_step":"Track the year-on-year campaign budget and, critically, press for the vegetation-control share; trigger for re-assessment is any published Spanish utility ignition statistic."},"identity":{"legal_name":"EDISTRIBUCIÓN Redes Digitales, S.L. Unipersonal","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"B82846817","source":"https://www.edistribucion.com/es/aviso-legal.html"},{"kind":"lei","value":"549300IRH0UTNYO0QY18","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/549300IRH0UTNYO0QY18"}],"registered_address":"Calle Ribera del Loira 60, 28042 Madrid, España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":"EDISTRIBUCIÓN Redes Digitales, S.L.U. (grupo Endesa/Enel)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.edistribucion.com/es/aviso-legal.html","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/549300IRH0UTNYO0QY18"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"edistribucion.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.edistribucion.com/es/aviso-legal.html — the aviso legal on the candidate domain itself — states verbatim 'EDISTRIBUCION Redes Digitales, S.L. Unipersonal', CIF 'B82846817' and 'C/ Ribera del Loira 60, 28042 Madrid'. Legal name, registration number and registered address all match venture","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://www.endesa.com/content/dam/endesa-com/favicon.ico","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:404","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the treatment to be dimensioned to a single insured building and sold per property. As specified it is a landscape or corridor treatment.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"e-distribucion (Endesa) Campana de Verano: a regulated grid operator's annual line inspection and vegetation-corridor clearance programme, targeted with LiDAR and thermographic drones. The treated corridor is utility infrastructure; nothing is installed at a policyholder's premises and the spend is the operator's own maintenance budget.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_utility_corridor_ignition_prevention","category_name":"Utility-Corridor Ignition Prevention","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/edistribucion_campana_verano.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I029","name":"E-REDES fuel-management strips along distribution lines","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Statutory obligation on Portugal's distribution grid operator to cut fuel-management strips along high- and medium-voltage lines at locations fixed in municipal forest-defence plans, with landowners obliged to permit access - creating a legally compelled linear fuel-break network along the 28,000 km of overhead line that runs through forest.","mechanism_tags":["statutory_fuel_strips","utility_corridor","linear_fuel_break","municipal_planning","ignition_isolation"],"tech_stack":["mechanical_clearing","drone_inspection","helicopter_survey"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_eredes_fuel_strips","title":"Gestao da Vegetacao - E-REDES","tier":"T3","publisher":"e_redes","url":"https://www.e-redes.pt/pt-pt/sustentabilidade/nos-e-o-planeta/gestao-da-vegetacao","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.e-redes.pt/pt-pt/sustentabilidade/nos-e-o-planeta/gestao-da-vegetacao","snapshot_hash":"03d4b27c7776939cdb9aee069b668c87b349fd160b8df5dbef41236aee47bf0f","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/03d4b27c7776939cdb9aee069b668c87b349fd160b8df5dbef41236aee47bf0f.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:12:53Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_eredes_municipal_execution","title":"Execucao de Faixa de Gestao de Combustivel de 2025 a cargo da E-REDES","tier":"T1","publisher":"municipio_de_satao","url":"https://www.cm-satao.pt/noticia/execucao-de-faixa-de-gestao-de-combustivel-de-2025-a-cargo-da-e-redes","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.cm-satao.pt/noticia/execucao-de-faixa-de-gestao-de-combustivel-de-2025-a-cargo-da-e-redes","snapshot_hash":"fa9e91d8b9343ffb03a033181f98bb152d52277d45596f8cac7f6c93013d217d","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/fa9e91d8b9343ffb03a033181f98bb152d52277d45596f8cac7f6c93013d217d.html","publication_date":"2024-12-17","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:55:33Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"E-REDES, Portugal's electricity distribution system operator, is under a statutory duty to cut fuel-management strips along high- and medium-voltage lines at locations fixed in municipal forest-defence plans, with landowners obliged to permit access, and the stated mechanism is dual: clearing reduces the effect of a fire passing through and isolates potential ignition sources. Its Southern-European footprint is the largest linear fuel treatment identified in the pilot - 179,000 km of overhead network with 28,000 km running through forest - and execution is partially sourced, with the SGIFR 2024 report crediting E-REDES with 4,423.83 hectares of fuel management in the Lisboa e Vale do Tejo region alone, the second-largest executing entity there after the municipalities. No effectiveness evidence exists, strip widths and costs are unpublished, and the specific geometry reported elsewhere - the conductor projection plus at least 10 metres either side - does not appear in any captured source, so the executed hectares are activity, not outcome. For VIG this is observation-only, since a compelled utility obligation has no commercial interface, but it is a significant term in any Portuguese hazard estimate and the annual executed strip length should be obtained before the mechanism is credited. Two limits worth stating: only one of five regional execution tables was captured, and this covers the distribution network only - the Portuguese transmission network, operated by REN, is covered by no source in this pilot.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"A compelled utility obligation with no commercial interface, but the largest linear fuel treatment footprint identified in the pilot and therefore a significant term in any Portuguese hazard estimate.","next_step":"Obtain annual executed strip length from SGIFR or E-REDES reporting before crediting this mechanism; trigger is Phase V adoption anchoring for Portugal."},"identity":{"legal_name":"E-REDES - Distribuicao de Eletricidade S.A.","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"504394029","source":"https://www.e-redes.pt/pt-pt/politica-de-privacidade"}],"registered_address":"Rua D. Luis I, n. 12, 1249-008 Lisboa, Portugal","programme_id":null,"programme_host":"E-REDES - Distribuicao de Eletricidade S.A.","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.e-redes.pt/pt-pt/politica-de-privacidade","https://www.e-redes.pt/pt-pt/sustentabilidade/nos-e-o-planeta/gestao-da-vegetacao"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"e-redes.pt","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.e-redes.pt/pt-pt/politica-de-privacidade — a legal-disclosure page on the candidate domain itself — states 'E-REDES - Distribuicao de Eletricidade S.A.', NIPC '504 394 029' and 'Rua D. Luis I, n. 12, 1249-008 Lisboa'. Digit-collapsed, 504394029 is a verbatim match to the national_regcode","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I029","source_url":"https://www.e-redes.pt/themes/custom/eredes_theme/favicon.ico","hash":"c0ef52e8ec1088bad60f13545ba2bb075efc955ee83403d8b82b05f078a9a8aa","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the treatment to be dimensioned to a single insured building and sold per property. As specified it is a landscape or corridor treatment.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"E-REDES fuel-management strips: a statutory obligation on Portugal's distribution grid operator to cut fuel strips along 28,000 km of overhead line at locations fixed in municipal forest-defence plans. A compelled linear corridor treatment on the utility's network, not on a policyholder's parcel.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_utility_corridor_ignition_prevention","category_name":"Utility-Corridor Ignition Prevention","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/eredes_fuel_strips.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I028","name":"FuVeX long-range inspection drones","initiative_type":"product","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Long-range drones operating up to 10 km, carrying digital cameras, LiDAR and thermography, that survey overhead powerline corridors to find hot spots, conductor anomalies and vegetation encroachment before they cause ignition, replacing shorter-range and helicopter-based inspection at lower cost per kilometre.","mechanism_tags":["drone_inspection","powerline_ignition_prevention","thermography","lidar_clearance"],"tech_stack":["drones","LIDAR","thermal_ir","digital_imaging"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_utility_ignition_prevention","title":"Endesa eleva a 105 millones de euros la inversion en control forestal, mantenimiento e inspeccion de la red de cara al verano","tier":"T3","publisher":"endesa","url":"https://www.endesa.com/es/prensa/sala-de-prensa/noticias/eficiencia-energetica/medioambiente/105-millones-euros-control-forestal-mantenimiento-inspeccion-red-verano","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260802072326/https://www.endesa.com/es/prensa/sala-de-prensa/noticias/eficiencia-energetica/medioambiente/105-millones-euros-control-forestal-mantenimiento-inspeccion-red-verano","snapshot_hash":"360a574c130eb9c0324aac9bed622b993345e3b88d221bb8c167e4c843664be3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/360a574c130eb9c0324aac9bed622b993345e3b88d221bb8c167e4c843664be3.html","publication_date":"2026-06-10","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:12:48Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_endesa_campaign_trade_press","title":"Endesa: 105 millones en red con drones, IA y control forestal","tier":"T2","publisher":"conecta_industria","url":"https://www.conectaindustria.es/articulo/sostenibilidad/endesa-105-millones-red-drones-ia-incendios/20260611111039014584.html","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/https://www.conectaindustria.es/articulo/sostenibilidad/endesa-105-millones-red-drones-ia-incendios/20260611111039014584.html","snapshot_hash":"2c08587f88c068e8ed2473c0ab9b60f1823bc86b6ccc6d0ad32bfb44e1a59c8b","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/2c08587f88c068e8ed2473c0ab9b60f1823bc86b6ccc6d0ad32bfb44e1a59c8b.html","publication_date":"2026-06-11","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:44:11Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"FuVeX supplies long-range inspection drones operating up to 10 km and carrying digital cameras, LiDAR and thermography, which survey overhead powerline corridors for hot spots, conductor anomalies and vegetation encroachment so that corrective work is targeted before an ignition occurs, replacing shorter-range and helicopter-based inspection. The Spanish company, based in Tudela in Navarra, has exactly one evidenced Southern-European deployment: seventeen drones flown in the 2026 e-distribucion summer campaign for thermographic and digital inspection of overhead lines, feeding the utility's network digital twin. Nothing links those inspections to a reduction in fire starts - there is no ignition or outage data of any kind - and the 10 km range and the \"twenty times a conventional drone\" comparison are attributed by trade press to the utility rather than independently measured; no company-published source was ingested at all, so identity and funding are unevidenced here. For VIG this is observation-only: the buyer is a network operator and there is no insurance product, so its relevance is as evidence that Iberian utilities are shifting to predictive corridor management. One customer, one campaign and one country means there is no basis for an adoption curve, and the venture is better read as a component of the Endesa campaign than as an independent mitigation.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"A supplier into utility maintenance programmes, not an insurance product. Relevant to VIG only as evidence that Iberian utilities are shifting to predictive corridor management.","next_step":"Track adoption beyond the single Endesa deployment; trigger is a second named European DSO or TSO contract."},"identity":{"legal_name":"FuVeX Civil, S.L.","entity_type":"product","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"959800DKFV7KEYSSP776","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=FuVeX*"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"NA-35538-8","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=FuVeX*"}],"registered_address":"Polígono Industrial Municipal, Vial K 11, 31500 Tudela (Navarra), España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=FuVeX*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"fuvex.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://fuvex.com/aviso-legal/ — the aviso legal on the candidate domain itself — names 'Fuvex Civil S.L.', CIF B71266035, at 'Vial Transversal 2, 6, 31500 Tudela, Navarra, Espana'. Legal name matches venture_identity.yaml ('FuVeX Civil, S.L.') and the municipality/province match the recorded regist","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I028","source_url":"https://fuvex.com/favicon.ico","hash":"36207e1e9dbd11ea5a0a57e7ae98704ac264dd55fee029cf76b2c1a5a203dfdc","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the treatment to be dimensioned to a single insured building and sold per property. As specified it is a landscape or corridor treatment.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"FuVeX long-range inspection drones: survey overhead powerline corridors for hot spots, conductor anomalies and vegetation encroachment. The asset is a drone flown over utility infrastructure and the buyer is a network operator; no property-level installation exists.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_utility_corridor_ignition_prevention","category_name":"Utility-Corridor Ignition Prevention","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/fuvex_inspection_drones.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I030","name":"Overstory","initiative_type":"company","channel":"H","channel_label":"Hazard","mechanism_summary":"Machine-learning classification of vegetation species and condition from satellite, LiDAR and aerial imagery along powerline corridors, which re-ranks where a utility's existing pruning crews work so that the highest-risk spans are cleared first - an allocation improvement on top of physical vegetation management rather than a treatment in itself.","mechanism_tags":["vegetation_intelligence","species_classification","pruning_prioritisation","powerline_corridor"],"tech_stack":["AI","satellite_imagery","LIDAR","machine_learning"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"h_overstory_vegetation","title":"Actionable Vegetation Intelligence for Safer, More Reliable Power - Overstory","tier":"T3","publisher":"overstory","url":"https://www.overstory.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731131158/https://www.overstory.com/","snapshot_hash":"ba1b9e7c649bf4157f8fb0e23a1e5be75b9979198eb831225901cdcfb2369af3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/ba1b9e7c649bf4157f8fb0e23a1e5be75b9979198eb831225901cdcfb2369af3.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:12Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"h_ree_overstory_deployment","title":"Red Electrica, Elewit y Overstory digitalizan el mapa de la vegetacion bajo las lineas electricas con machine learning","tier":"T3","publisher":"red_electrica","url":"https://www.ree.es/es/sala-de-prensa/actualidad/nota-de-prensa/2021/11/red-electrica-elewit-y-overstory-digitalizan-el-mapa-de-la-vegetacion-bajo-las-lineas-electricas-con-machine-learning","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20221013082232/https://www.ree.es/es/sala-de-prensa/actualidad/nota-de-prensa/2021/11/red-electrica-elewit-y-overstory-digitalizan-el-mapa-de-la-vegetacion-bajo-las-lineas-electricas-con-machine-learning","snapshot_hash":"16f0b869776b8ed8c198061f46cd36a963b7b440524ff349850a23e33c9d5f0d","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/16f0b869776b8ed8c198061f46cd36a963b7b440524ff349850a23e33c9d5f0d.html","publication_date":"2021-11-10","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:18:48Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Overstory sells machine-learning vegetation intelligence that classifies species and condition along powerline corridors from satellite, LiDAR and aerial imagery, then tells a utility which spans carry the highest vegetation risk so that existing pruning crews are directed there first; it cuts nothing itself, so the wildfire effect is second-order and contingent on the utility acting on the ranking. Its Southern-European proof point is a single 2021 engagement in which Red Electrica, its technology arm Elewit, Overstory and Tragsatec digitised the vegetation map along more than 44,400 km of Spanish high-voltage circuits and automatically identified 37 vegetation species groups. That evidence is five years old, no European customer is named on the vendor's own site, and the only benefit statement is the customer's rationale rather than a measurement; outage-reduction claims of the kind common in this sector measure reliability, not fire starts, and must never be substituted for an ignition effectiveness value. For VIG this is observation-only and should not be scored as an independent mitigation at all - it is a multiplier on utility vegetation programmes, and the trigger to revisit is any published ignition-reduction study. Note also that Red Electrica operates transmission, not the distribution networks where most forest-adjacent line kilometres sit, and that the vendor's vegetation-budget statistics are US utility figures.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Sells to utilities, and its European proof point is a five-year-old transmission-network mapping exercise. Its wildfire effect is second-order and entirely dependent on the utility acting on the ranking.","next_step":"Do not score as an independent mitigation; treat as a multiplier on utility vegetation programmes. Trigger for re-assessment is any published ignition-reduction study."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Overstory B.V.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"NL","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"Weesperstraat 61-105, 1018VN Amsterdam, Nederland","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.overstory.com/privacy-policy"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"overstory.nl","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"name_cosignal","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://overstory.nl","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["probe"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/6065a3e68fb0fa053417527f/3d9746f3-91c4-4524-b915-79a03b087a41/favicon.ico","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"undecodable","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Overstory: machine-learning classification of vegetation species and condition along powerline corridors, used to re-rank where a utility's pruning crews work. An allocation layer on top of a utility programme, delivered as software; nothing reaches an insured building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_h_utility_corridor_ignition_prevention","category_name":"Utility-Corridor Ignition Prevention","category_tier":"emerging","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/overstory.md","flags":["logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I041","name":"Diputació de Barcelona — Pla de Prevenció d'Incendis Forestals en Urbanitzacions","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Delimits and physically executes perimeter protection strips around forest-sited urbanizations, so that a fire arriving at the settlement edge meets a maintained low-fuel band instead of continuous shrub. The loss change is a reduction in the radiant and ember load reaching the building envelope, not a change in whether the fire occurs. This is the best-quantified vulnerability programme located in Southern Europe, and it is vegetation clearance — no building assembly is altered.","mechanism_tags":["defensible_space","perimeter_strip","wui","municipal_programme","provincial_delivery"],"tech_stack":["vegetation_management","gis","cartography"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_defensible_space_programmes_es","title":"Spain — defensible-space and WUI perimeter-strip programmes (MITECO forest-fires portal, with Diputació de Barcelona and Catalan statutory scope recorded as bundle claims)","tier":"T1","publisher":"miteco","url":"https://www.miteco.gob.es/es/biodiversidad/temas/incendios-forestales.html","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260728103912/https://www.miteco.gob.es/es/biodiversidad/temas/incendios-forestales.html","snapshot_hash":"915c891a45ac46457dbe6ba84fdcf2e941d592c22c1c8bc27315c9999619f665","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/915c891a45ac46457dbe6ba84fdcf2e941d592c22c1c8bc27315c9999619f665.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:11:28Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"The Diputacio de Barcelona's urbanisation fire-prevention plan delimits and then physically executes perimeter protection strips around urbanizations sited in forest terrain, so a fire arriving at the settlement edge meets a maintained low-fuel band instead of continuous shrub and the radiant and ember load reaching the building envelope falls. It is the best-quantified vulnerability programme located anywhere in Southern Europe: for 2025 it records 73 delimitation maps, 78 drafted projects, 61 executed works, 309 hectares of protection strips and 266 municipalities supported, inside the Catalan statutory 500-metre band. Those figures are second-hand, because diba.cat is disallowed by robots.txt for this pilot's fetcher, so they are carried from the verified scout dossier and must be re-verified before anything rests on them; no effectiveness value exists, and nothing in any source attributes a loss reduction, ignition reduction or survival probability to executed protection strips. For VIG this is observation-only, because there is no commercial interface to buy into, but it is the only Southern-European source of executed-hectares throughput against which a defensible-space adoption anchor can be calibrated. Two things to keep straight: this changes vegetation and not the building, so any credit taken for it is a defensible-space credit and not structural hardening, and Barcelona province is the best-instrumented case in Spain, so 309 hectares a year does not extrapolate nationally.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"A provincial public works programme with no commercial interface VIG can buy into; its value to VIG is as the only Southern-European source of executed-hectares throughput against which any defensible-space adoption anchor can be calibrated.","next_step":"VIG Re foresight desk requests the annual Pla de Prevenció delivery report from Diputació de Barcelona and re-verifies the 2025 figures directly, since diba.cat is robots-excluded from this pilot's fetcher; trigger = start of Phase X cell-filling for the Spanish defensible-space category."},"identity":{"legal_name":null,"entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":"Diputació de Barcelona","enrichment_status":"no_identity_found","identity_sources":[]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"fail_to_unsure:unsure","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the same treatment offered as a per-parcel service a single policyholder could buy. The parcel-level analogue in Catalonia is the Llei 5/2003 owner duty, scored at I042.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Diputacio de Barcelona Pla de Prevencio: a provincial public-works programme that delimits and physically executes perimeter protection strips around forest-sited urbanizations - 309 ha executed in 2025 across 266 supported municipalities. The strip is executed by the province at the settlement perimeter, on the urbanisation's common scope rather than an individual policyholder's parcel, and is paid from a public works budget.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_defensible_space_clearance","category_name":"Statutory Defensible-Space Clearance at the Building Perimeter","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/diputacio_barcelona_urbanitzacions.md","flags":["no_identity","logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I046","name":"France — Obligations Légales de Débroussaillement (comparator regime)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Compels clearing of a 50 m band around buildings in classified fire-risk areas across 48 départements, publishes the obligation perimeter as national open geospatial data, and — uniquely in Europe — makes non-compliance bite on the insurance contract through a deductible on indemnity, alongside fines and a seller/landlord disclosure duty. The mechanism that matters for this pilot is not the clearing but the coupling: it is the only located instance of defensible-space compliance carrying a contractual price.","mechanism_tags":["defensible_space","statutory_duty","insurance_contract_linkage","deductible_penalty","open_geodata","comparator"],"tech_stack":["vegetation_management","regulatory_instrument","gis"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_france_old_insurance_linkage","title":"France — Obligations Légales de Débroussaillement (Géorisques national OLD zoning database), the comparator regime that wires defensible-space compliance to the insurance contract","tier":"T1","publisher":"georisques_france","url":"https://www.georisques.gouv.fr/donnees/bases-de-donnees/obligations-legales-de-debroussaillement","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260716142104/https://www.georisques.gouv.fr/donnees/bases-de-donnees/obligations-legales-de-debroussaillement","snapshot_hash":"3e3229d6cc1b642005901d328c746751ed7f4ae2dea8fb44f298dd3b3407fb38","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/3e3229d6cc1b642005901d328c746751ed7f4ae2dea8fb44f298dd3b3407fb38.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:59:37Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_defensible_space_portugal","title":"Portugal — SGIFR integrated rural-fire management system portal (with DL 82/2021 fuel-management duties and the Aldeia Segura settlement programme recorded as bundle claims)","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr_portugal","url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130845/https://sgifr.gov.pt/","snapshot_hash":"f6ff390cb1e69487673004b3c602e69cd6b2216bef5e649c1700134a8bfdf8fa","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/f6ff390cb1e69487673004b3c602e69cd6b2216bef5e649c1700134a8bfdf8fa.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:07:21Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"France's Obligations Legales de Debroussaillement compel clearing of a band around buildings in classified fire-risk areas across 48 departements and publish the obligation perimeter as national open geospatial data, but the mechanism that matters for this pilot is not the clearing: France is the only located jurisdiction where non-compliance bites on the insurance contract, through a deductible on indemnity, alongside fines and a seller and landlord disclosure duty. There is no Southern-European footprint by construction - France sits outside the pilot geography of Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece - so this venture contributes no adoption and no effectiveness anywhere in scope and is carried strictly as a comparator regime. The insurance-linkage claim, which is the single most decision-relevant fact here, is second-hand and does not appear in the captured Georisques bytes; nothing evidences that French clearance rates actually rose after the linkage was introduced, and no distance, sanction or date should be cited from the captured source. For VIG this is observation-only today but it is the design question worth answering: legal and product should assess whether a clearance-linked deductible is enforceable under Spanish, Portuguese, Italian and Greek insurance contract law, because in all four countries compliance is enforced by fines and municipal substitution and never touches the contract. Anyone quoting this internally must flag it as an out-of-geography analogue and a portability hypothesis, not as an addressable market.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"France is outside the pilot geography, so this is a portability hypothesis rather than an addressable market — but it is the design VIG would have to argue for, or replicate contractually, if it wanted Southern-European clearance rates to respond to price rather than only to fines.","next_step":"VIG legal and product functions assess whether a clearance-linked deductible is enforceable under Spanish, Portuguese, Italian and Greek insurance contract law before any pricing work is commissioned; trigger = Phase X evidence that clearance compliance materially moves modelled loss."},"identity":{"legal_name":"LOI n° 2023-580 du 10 juillet 2023 visant à renforcer la prévention et la lutte contre l'intensification et l'extension du risque incendie","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"FR","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Loi 2023-580","programme_host":"République française - Parlement; obligations légales de débroussaillement codifiées au Code forestier","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/eli/loi/2023/7/10/2023-580/jo/texte"]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"no_candidates","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 is unreachable inside this pilot's geography by construction. The follow-up is a legal assessment of whether a clearance-linked deductible is enforceable under ES/PT/IT/GR insurance contract law, which is a product-design question outside this ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"France Obligations Legales de Debroussaillement: a 50 m clearing duty across 48 departements, with the obligation perimeter published as open geodata and non-compliance biting on the insurance contract through a deductible. It is carried in this pool as a comparator regime and France is outside the pilot geography, so there is no policyholder in scope to whom VIG could sell the measure. The transferable object is the contractual coupling, not an install.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_defensible_space_clearance","category_name":"Statutory Defensible-Space Clearance at the Building Perimeter","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/france_old_debroussaillement.md","flags":["logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I042","name":"Generalitat de Catalunya — Llei 5/2003 + Decret 123/2005 urbanisation self-protection regime","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Places a statutory self-protection duty on owners of urbanizations without immediate continuity with the urban fabric, requiring a wildfire self-protection plan filed into the municipal action plan and maintenance of the cleared band inside the 500 m forest-terrain scope. The mechanism is legal compulsion applied to the parcel: it converts perimeter clearance from discretionary landscaping into an enforceable condition of occupation.","mechanism_tags":["defensible_space","statutory_duty","self_protection_plan","wui","municipal_filing"],"tech_stack":["vegetation_management","regulatory_instrument"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_defensible_space_programmes_es","title":"Spain — defensible-space and WUI perimeter-strip programmes (MITECO forest-fires portal, with Diputació de Barcelona and Catalan statutory scope recorded as bundle claims)","tier":"T1","publisher":"miteco","url":"https://www.miteco.gob.es/es/biodiversidad/temas/incendios-forestales.html","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260728103912/https://www.miteco.gob.es/es/biodiversidad/temas/incendios-forestales.html","snapshot_hash":"915c891a45ac46457dbe6ba84fdcf2e941d592c22c1c8bc27315c9999619f665","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/915c891a45ac46457dbe6ba84fdcf2e941d592c22c1c8bc27315c9999619f665.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:11:28Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_tecnifuego_spain_negative_control","title":"Tecnifuego — Spanish fire-protection industry association; the negative control showing that mainstream Spanish self-protection guidance omits wildfire clearance distances and exterior suppression entirely","tier":"T2","publisher":"tecnifuego","url":"https://www.tecnifuego.org/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260602120820/https://www.tecnifuego.org/","snapshot_hash":"283397f4b86aa2dda5a9bd0a204b49d7baa263521414c0e7de99a3e2f7141e87","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/283397f4b86aa2dda5a9bd0a204b49d7baa263521414c0e7de99a3e2f7141e87.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:08:35Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":4,"description":"Catalonia's Llei 5/2003 and Decret 123/2005 place a statutory self-protection duty on owners of urbanizations that lack immediate continuity with the urban fabric, requiring a wildfire self-protection plan filed into the municipal action plan and maintenance of a cleared band inside the 500-metre forest-terrain scope, converting perimeter clearance from discretionary landscaping into an enforceable condition of occupation. Its Southern-European footprint is regional and legal rather than numerical, and its distinctive value to an insurer is the artefact rather than the clearing: a filed municipal self-protection plan is a binary, documented, property-level attribute, and Catalonia is the only Spanish region where such a document reliably exists. Filing is not compliance and compliance is not clearance - no source states what share of obligated Catalan urbanizations have filed a plan or what share of filed plans correspond to a maintained strip on the ground - so Catalan adoption is unquantified and no effectiveness value exists. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation with a concrete underwriting test: the Spanish underwriting function can ask whether the municipal self-protection-plan filing can be requested as a proposal-form question for Catalan WUI household risk. Two caveats that would embarrass a later reader: the statute itself could not be snapshotted because portaljuridic.gencat.cat is robots-excluded, so both the 500-metre scope and the filing duty are second-hand, and the 25-metre exterior strip width often quoted for Catalonia is explicitly not citable and is not asserted here.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"Compliance with a filed self-protection plan is a binary, documented property attribute that a Spanish home underwriter could ask for at quote; Catalonia is the only Spanish region where such a document reliably exists.","next_step":"VIG's Spanish underwriting function tests whether the municipal self-protection-plan filing can be requested as a proposal-form question in Catalonia; trigger = any decision to write WUI household risk in Spain."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Ley 5/2003, de 22 de abril, de medidas de prevención de los incendios forestales en las urbanizaciones sin continuidad inmediata con la trama urbana","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Llei 5/2003","programme_host":"Generalitat de Catalunya / Parlament de Catalunya (DOGC num. 3879; BOE-A-2003-10529)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.boe.es/eli/es-ct/l/2003/04/22/5"]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"no_candidates","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a bounded, independent per-property cost for one compliant clearance cycle - a municipal substitution-works tariff, a public tender unit rate, or a published contractor schedule for the graded band. No such figure is in any snapshot taken for this pilot.","confidence":"M","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Catalonia Llei 5/2003 + Decret 123/2005: places a statutory self-protection duty on owners of urbanizations within the 500 m forest-terrain scope, requiring a filed municipal self-protection plan and maintenance of a cleared band on the owner's own land. The work is executed at the policyholder's premises and could in principle be procured and paid for by VIG as a one-off service, so gate 1 passes. Two limits: the obligated unit is often the urbanisation community rather than the single dwelling, which complicates per-policy pricing, and no per-property cost for a compliant clearance cycle is sourced anywhere in this pilot.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_defensible_space_programmes_es.md","wiki/ventures/catalonia_llei_5_2003_self_protection.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_defensible_space_clearance","category_name":"Statutory Defensible-Space Clearance at the Building Perimeter","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/catalonia_llei_5_2003_self_protection.md","flags":["logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I044","name":"Greece — mandatory plot clearing and the Εθνικό Μητρώο Προληπτικής Πυροπροστασίας property register","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Compels owners to clear plots and uncovered spaces within a declared radius before the fire season, records each declaration in a national preventive-fire-protection register, and backs it with an administrative fine, municipal auto-clearing charged per square metre, and a custodial sanction for false declaration. The distinguishing mechanism is not the clearing but the register: it makes each property's mitigation state an addressable record rather than an inference.","mechanism_tags":["defensible_space","statutory_duty","compliance_register","declaration","enforcement"],"tech_stack":["vegetation_management","regulatory_instrument","government_digital_register"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_defensible_space_greece","title":"Greece — Hellenic Fire Service announcements on the preventive fire-protection KYA, mandatory plot clearing and the National Registry of Preventive Fire Protection Measures","tier":"T1","publisher":"hellenic_fire_service","url":"https://www.fireservice.gr/el","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260718212906/https://www.fireservice.gr/el","snapshot_hash":"00afe1ccaf00c0de6f247ecfef4804bd9fd9402f236c2d924ae03d9079a2f943","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/00afe1ccaf00c0de6f247ecfef4804bd9fd9402f236c2d924ae03d9079a2f943.html","publication_date":"2026-04-25","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:09:12Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Greece compels owners to clear plots and other uncovered spaces before the fire season and, distinctively, records each declaration in a national register of preventive fire-protection measures for properties, backed by an administrative fine, municipal auto-clearing charged per square metre and a custodial sanction for false declaration. The register rather than the clearing is what makes this entry interesting: it makes Greek compliance in principle a measurable stock rather than an inferred rate, and it gives an insurer a declared-versus-undeclared underwriting hook that exists nowhere in Spain, Portugal or Italy. The scope and sanction numerics are all second-hand because the Greek government portals that state them are lawfully robots-excluded from this pilot's fetcher, so the declared clearing radius, the clearing window, the non-declaration fine, the per-square-metre auto-clear charge and the custodial sanction are carried from the scout dossier and none is in a captured snapshot; a register is also not a compliance rate, and nothing states how many properties have declared or how many declarations were verified on site. For VIG the mode is partnership, and the step is specific: the Greek entity should establish with the Ministry of Climate Crisis and Civil Protection whether register status is obtainable as a per-property lookup or attestation, because that would make Greek household wildfire risk segmentable on a mitigation attribute rather than on location alone. Beware the stremmata trap when any Greek area figure is later added: Greek clearing areas are published in units of 0.1 hectare and are routinely rendered as hectares, a tenfold overstatement.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"A national property-level compliance register is the single most underwriting-ready artefact found anywhere in this channel; if declaration status is obtainable, Greek household wildfire risk becomes segmentable on a mitigation attribute rather than on location alone.","next_step":"VIG's Greek entity approaches the Ministry of Climate Crisis and Civil Protection to establish whether register status is available to insurers as a per-property lookup or attestation; trigger = confirmation that VIG writes or intends to write Greek household property."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Νόμος 4662/2020 - Εθνικός Μηχανισμός Διαχείρισης Κρίσεων και Αντιμετώπισης Κινδύνων","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"GR","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Ν. 4662/2020","programme_host":"Ελληνική Δημοκρατία - Υπουργείο Κλιματικής Κρίσης και Πολιτικής Προστασίας / Πυροσβεστικό Σώμα","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.taxheaven.gr/law/4662/2020","https://www.fireservice.gr/el"]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"fail_to_unsure:unsure","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs the per-square-metre municipal auto-clearing tariff and the declared clearing radius captured from a primary Greek instrument (the 2026 KYA or Pyrosvestiki Diataxi text) by a lawful route, so a bounded per-property cost can be computed. Gate 5's register hook is already there and unreachable until gates 2-4 clear.","confidence":"M","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Greece mandatory plot clearing plus the Ethniko Mitroo Preventive Fire Protection register: owners must clear plots and uncovered spaces before the season and declare it into a national property-level register, backed by fine, municipal auto-clearing and a custodial sanction for false declaration. The clearing happens on the policyholder's plot, so gate 1 passes. The register is the only verification hook found anywhere in this pilot - it would satisfy gate 5 - but the ladder is monotone and gate 2 blocks first: the EUR 0.50/m2 municipal auto-clear charge and the EUR 1,000 non-declaration fine are both carried second-hand from the scout dossier because the government portals are lawfully robots-excluded, so neither is a citable cost.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_defensible_space_greece.md","wiki/ventures/greece_plot_clearing_registry.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_defensible_space_clearance","category_name":"Statutory Defensible-Space Clearance at the Building Perimeter","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/greece_plot_clearing_registry.md","flags":["logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I045","name":"Italy — DL 120/2021 wildland-urban-interface regime with regional delegation","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Defines the wildland-urban interface in Italian law and gives municipalities substitution powers over unmaintained land, but sets no national numeric clearance distance on private owners — the operative geometry is delegated to regional AIB plans under the framework-law architecture of Legge 353/2000. The mitigation delivered to any individual Italian building is therefore whatever its region prescribes, which makes Italy the weakest and least uniform of the four geographies.","mechanism_tags":["defensible_space","wui_definition","regional_delegation","municipal_substitution","regulatory_gap"],"tech_stack":["vegetation_management","regulatory_instrument"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_france_old_insurance_linkage","title":"France — Obligations Légales de Débroussaillement (Géorisques national OLD zoning database), the comparator regime that wires defensible-space compliance to the insurance contract","tier":"T1","publisher":"georisques_france","url":"https://www.georisques.gouv.fr/donnees/bases-de-donnees/obligations-legales-de-debroussaillement","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260716142104/https://www.georisques.gouv.fr/donnees/bases-de-donnees/obligations-legales-de-debroussaillement","snapshot_hash":"3e3229d6cc1b642005901d328c746751ed7f4ae2dea8fb44f298dd3b3407fb38","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/3e3229d6cc1b642005901d328c746751ed7f4ae2dea8fb44f298dd3b3407fb38.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:59:37Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Italy's DL 120/2021 defines the wildland-urban interface in national law and gives municipalities substitution powers over unmaintained land, but it sets no national numeric clearance distance on private owners: the operative geometry is delegated to regional wildfire plans under the framework architecture of Legge 353/2000, whose Article 1 hands implementation to the regions. The consequence is the entry's real content: the mitigation actually delivered to any individual Italian building is whatever its region prescribes, and no regional plan was captured in this pilot, so there is no Italian numeric clearance distance asserted anywhere in this work. DL 120/2021 itself is in no captured snapshot - the WUI definition, the substitution powers and the reported funding tranches are all second-hand - and Italian defensible-space adoption is not merely unmeasured but currently undefinable at national scale, because there is no national obligation against which adoption could be expressed. For VIG this is observation-only for an unusually blunt reason: there is no national Italian instrument to recommend, license or partner on, so the only available move is a standing watch on whether high-exposure regions adopt numeric private-owner clearance prescriptions. That watch is what would make an Italian defensible-space cell modellable at all, and until then Italy is the weakest and least uniform of the four geographies on this channel.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"There is no national Italian instrument to recommend, license or partner on; the only actionable move is to track which regions adopt numeric clearance prescriptions, because that is what would make an Italian defensible-space cell modellable at all.","next_step":"VIG Re foresight desk opens a standing watch on regional AIB plan revisions in the highest-exposure Italian regions and records whether any adopts a numeric private-owner clearance distance; trigger = quarterly venture scan."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Decreto-Legge 8 settembre 2021, n. 120 - Disposizioni per il contrasto degli incendi boschivi e altre misure urgenti di protezione civile","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"IT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"DL 120/2021","programme_host":"Repubblica Italiana - Governo / Presidenza del Consiglio dei Ministri; convertito dalla L. 8 novembre 2021, n. 155","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:decreto.legge:2021-09-08;120"]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"no_candidates","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need at least one high-exposure Italian region to adopt a numeric private-owner clearance prescription, giving a defined band that could be executed and priced per property. Until then there is no measure, only a definition.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Italy DL 120/2021 WUI regime: defines the wildland-urban interface in law and gives municipalities substitution powers over unmaintained land, but sets no national numeric clearance distance on private owners - the operative geometry is delegated to regional AIB plans. There is no specified premises-level measure to install, price or verify, which is why Italy is the weakest of the four geographies on this ladder as well as on the evidence one.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_defensible_space_clearance","category_name":"Statutory Defensible-Space Clearance at the Building Perimeter","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/italy_dl_120_2021_wui_regime.md","flags":["logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I043","name":"Portugal — building-perimeter fuel-management duty (DL 82/2021 art. 3, current standard Despacho 675/2026)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Requires the owner of an isolated building to maintain a 50 m managed band around it on a graded profile — all surface fuels eliminated 0–2 m, shrubs and trees removed or thinned 2–10 m, canopies held at least 5 m from the structure — with the municipality substituting and recovering cost on default. Scored in V because the graded band is dimensioned to the building envelope; the wider landscape fuel-management network and the 100 m settlement band operate at landscape scale and are scored in H.","mechanism_tags":["defensible_space","graded_interface","statutory_duty","municipal_substitution","zone_zero"],"tech_stack":["vegetation_management","regulatory_instrument"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_defensible_space_portugal","title":"Portugal — SGIFR integrated rural-fire management system portal (with DL 82/2021 fuel-management duties and the Aldeia Segura settlement programme recorded as bundle claims)","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr_portugal","url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130845/https://sgifr.gov.pt/","snapshot_hash":"f6ff390cb1e69487673004b3c602e69cd6b2216bef5e649c1700134a8bfdf8fa","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/f6ff390cb1e69487673004b3c602e69cd6b2216bef5e649c1700134a8bfdf8fa.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:07:21Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"This is the Portuguese statutory duty requiring the owner of an isolated building to maintain a 50-metre managed band around it every year on a graded profile - all surface fuels eliminated from 0 to 2 metres, shrubs and trees removed or thinned from 2 to 10 metres, canopies held at least 5 metres clear of the structure - with the municipality substituting and recovering cost on default. It is scored as a vulnerability measure because the band is dimensioned to the building envelope, and the 0-2 metre band is the European statutory analogue of the Zone-0 measure behind the only quantified survival evidence located anywhere in this study, which is a vegetation and Zone-0 effect and not a materials effect. The compliance headroom is real but must be stated on the right denominator: the SGIFR 2024 report puts voluntary compliance at 60%, and the 40% figure in circulation refers to already-detected breaches, with 10,256 non-compliance situations signalled by the GNR and roughly 40% of those unregularised after notification, across an inspection footprint of 991 freguesias covering about 32% of mainland Portugal. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation and the move is concrete: draft a policyholder clearance reminder timed to the 30 June statutory deadline and test whether declared compliance can be captured at renewal on the Portuguese household book. The caveat that matters is provenance - diariodarepublica.pt and icnf.pt both serve JavaScript-only shells to this pilot's fetcher, so every distance on this entry and the Despacho 675/2026 reference itself are carried second-hand and need re-verification before a priced product depends on them.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"The 0–2 m and 2–10 m bands are the European statutory analogue of the Zone-0 measure that carries the only quantified survival evidence in the whole study, and roughly 40% of Portuguese owners do not comply — so the recommendation has real headroom.","next_step":"VIG's Portuguese household product owner drafts a policyholder-facing clearance reminder timed to the 30 June statutory deadline and tests whether declared compliance can be captured at renewal; trigger = the 2027 fire-season preparation cycle."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Decreto-Lei n. 82/2021, de 13 de outubro - Estabelece o Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais no territorio continental","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Decreto-Lei 82/2021","programme_host":"Republica Portuguesa - Presidencia do Conselho de Ministros","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://prociv.gov.pt/pt/legislacao/","https://data.dre.pt/eli/dec-lei/82/2021/10/13/p/dre"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"sgifr.gov.pt","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Decreto-Lei n. 82/2021 is the statute that established SGIFR, and the building-perimeter fuel-management duty it creates is presented on the candidate domain: live fetch of https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/gestao-de-combustivel quotes 'Para mais informacoes consulte o Decreto-Lei n. 82/2021, de 13 de outubr","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I043","source_url":"https://sgifr.gov.pt/favicon.ico","hash":"503e7d40d2908d65d4b2e0f02be677a5a8417b3a5f6e0b0039d48aee7ed9b797","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a bounded, independent per-property cost for one compliant clearance cycle - a municipal substitution-works tariff, a public tender unit rate, or a published contractor schedule for the graded band. No such figure is in any snapshot taken for this pilot.","confidence":"M","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Portugal DL 82/2021 art. 3 / Despacho 675/2026: the owner of an isolated building must maintain a graded band around it - all surface fuels eliminated 0-2 m, shrubs and trees removed or thinned 2-10 m, canopies held 5 m clear. The band is dimensioned to the building envelope and executed on the policyholder's own land, which is the closest thing in this pool to VIG's worked example: a one-off payment for work done at the house. Gate 1 passes. Gate 2 does not - no European per-property clearance cost is in any snapshot, and the municipal substitution mechanism recovers cost without publishing a tariff this pilot has captured.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_defensible_space_portugal.md","wiki/ventures/portugal_building_perimeter_fuel_management.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_defensible_space_clearance","category_name":"Statutory Defensible-Space Clearance at the Building Perimeter","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/portugal_building_perimeter_fuel_management.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I051","name":"Cupa Pizarras","initiative_type":"company","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Supplies natural slate roofing and the CUPACLAD ventilated slate façade system from Ourense, giving both the roof plane and the wall plane a non-combustible outer skin on a stone substrate that does not contribute fuel. As with clay tile, the market proposition is durability, sustainability and appearance and no fire performance is claimed — the same vernacular-baseline effect, extended from roofs onto façades.","mechanism_tags":["noncombustible_roofing","natural_slate","ventilated_facade","vernacular_baseline","iberian_manufacturer"],"tech_stack":["slate_quarrying","roofing_systems","ventilated_facade_systems"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_noncombustible_roofing_materials","title":"Southern-European non-combustible roofing and cladding manufacturers — La Escandella (clay tile), with Cupa Pizarras (natural slate) and EQUITONE/Etex (fibre cement) recorded as bundle claims; the vernacular-baseline evidence","tier":"T3","publisher":"roofing_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.laescandella.com/es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260526082609/https://www.laescandella.com/es/","snapshot_hash":"6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Cupa Pizarras is an Ourense natural-slate producer supplying slate roofing and the CUPACLAD ventilated slate facade system, giving both the roof plane and the wall plane a non-combustible outer skin on a stone substrate that contributes no fuel and does not ignite under ember rain. Its Southern-European relevance concentrates in northern Spain: the company's country sites cover Spain, France, the UK, the US, Belgium, Poland and Russia, with Portugal, Italy and Greece absent. As with clay tile, the marketed proposition is durability, sustainability and appearance and no fire performance is claimed anywhere in the captured bytes, the A1 attribution is an inference rather than a captured Declaration of Performance, and no effectiveness value exists or is claimed. For VIG this is observation-only and occupies the same structural position as clay tile - a mitigation already in place for non-fire reasons - which extends the compression of addressable share from roofs onto facades. The open risk question is worth raising with a technical partner rather than a customer: CUPACLAD's ventilated cavity is in principle an ember-entry pathway, nobody has tested it, and non-combustibility of the outer skin does not settle the behaviour of the assembly.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Same structural position as clay tile — a mitigation already in place for non-fire reasons — with the added nuance that CUPACLAD ventilated cavities are an ember-entry pathway nobody has tested, which is a risk question rather than a commercial one.","next_step":"Ask WUIVIEW or CERTEC-UPC whether ventilated slate façade cavities have been assessed for ember intrusion under WUI exposure; trigger = any Phase X credit claimed for non-combustible cladding."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Cupa Pizarras, S.A.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"A-32225427","source":"https://www.cupapizarras.com/es/aviso-legal/"}],"registered_address":"La Medua, s/n, 32330 Carballeda de Valdeorras (Ourense), España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.cupapizarras.com/es/aviso-legal/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"cupapizarras.com","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"address","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://cupapizarras.com","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I051","source_url":"https://cupapizarras.com/apple-touch-icon.png","hash":"54595c12f73d674c5a82b7bcbb66868aff70a85f83868e608d48a3c150a4fe98","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-apple"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a bounded per-installation cost for the Southern-European market - a Eurostat-anchored or trade-published installed price per square metre of roof or facade, on a defined retrofit scope. Vendor catalogues carry no price and the only located cost anchor is US-costed and in USD.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Cupa Pizarras: natural slate roofing plus the CUPACLAD ventilated slate facade system, both fitted to an individual building, so gate 1 passes. Same vernacular-baseline caveat as clay tile, extended onto the facade plane, plus an open risk question the ladder does not capture: the ventilated cavity that gives CUPACLAD its thermal performance is an untested ember-entry pathway.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_noncombustible_roofing_materials.md","wiki/ventures/cupa_pizarras.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_noncombustible_envelope_fabric","category_name":"Non-Combustible Permanent Building-Envelope Fabric","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/cupa_pizarras.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I053","name":"EQUITONE (Etex Group)","initiative_type":"product","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Supplies fibre-cement rainscreen cladding panels marketed in Spanish as incombustible and compliant with the most demanding fire-protection regulation, giving external walls a non-combustible outer layer that does not propagate flame from an adjacent burning fuel bed. The claim is a building-fire compliance claim, not a wildfire or ember-exposure claim, and no wildfire testing is offered — the fit to this pilot is inferential.","mechanism_tags":["noncombustible_cladding","fibre_cement","rainscreen","facade_protection","building_fire_claim"],"tech_stack":["fibre_cement_manufacturing","facade_systems"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_noncombustible_roofing_materials","title":"Southern-European non-combustible roofing and cladding manufacturers — La Escandella (clay tile), with Cupa Pizarras (natural slate) and EQUITONE/Etex (fibre cement) recorded as bundle claims; the vernacular-baseline evidence","tier":"T3","publisher":"roofing_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.laescandella.com/es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260526082609/https://www.laescandella.com/es/","snapshot_hash":"6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"EQUITONE is a fibre-cement rainscreen cladding range from the Etex group, marketed in Spanish with an explicit non-combustibility claim, providing an external wall with a non-combustible outer layer that does not propagate flame from an adjacent burning fuel bed. Its Southern-European footprint covers three of the four pilot countries, with country sites for Spain, Italy and Portugal and Greece not served, and it is the only material in the vulnerability channel actively sold on fire performance, which is what makes it specifiable and therefore recommendable in a way that clay tile and slate are not. The claim is narrower than it looks: it is a compartment-fire compliance claim under EN 13501-1, which tests flame spread and heat release and not wind-driven ember ingress, so no wildfire or ember-exposure rating is offered and the fit to this pilot is inferential; the specific A2-s1,d0 classification is second-hand rather than taken from a captured Declaration of Performance. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation and the move is low friction: add non-combustible rainscreen specification to the broker resilience-tech catalogue for WUI commercial and multi-unit risks in Spain, Italy and Portugal. The note that must accompany it is that rainscreen systems have cavities, and the cavity behind the panel is an untested ember pathway that the panel's non-combustibility does not settle.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"For commercial and multi-unit property in the WUI, specifying a non-combustible rainscreen is a low-friction resilience recommendation VIG brokers can make today in Spain, Italy and Portugal — the three markets EQUITONE serves; Greece is not covered.","next_step":"Add non-combustible rainscreen specification to the VIG broker resilience-tech catalogue for WUI commercial risks, with an explicit note that the fire classification is a compartment-fire class and not an ember-exposure rating; trigger = next catalogue revision."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Etex NV","entity_type":"product","jurisdiction":"BE","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"0400.454.404","source":"https://kbopub.economie.fgov.be/kbopub/zoeknummerform.html?nummer=0400454404"},{"kind":"lei","value":"549300QEP36CTLK2U748","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/549300QEP36CTLK2U748"}],"registered_address":"PassPort Building, Luchthaven Brussel Nationaal 1 K, 1930 Zaventem, Belgium","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://kbopub.economie.fgov.be/kbopub/zoeknummerform.html?nummer=0400454404","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/549300QEP36CTLK2U748","https://www.etexgroup.com/","https://www.equitone.com/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"etexgroup.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"CHOICE MADE EXPLICITLY. The identity record for this venture is the legal entity Etex NV (BE 0400.454.404, PassPort Building, Luchthaven Brussel Nationaal 1 K, 1930 Zaventem). Live fetch of etexgroup.com returns the entity name 'Etex NV' and the registered address 'Luchthaven Brussel Nationaal Gebou","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a bounded per-installation cost for the Southern-European market - a Eurostat-anchored or trade-published installed price per square metre of roof or facade, on a defined retrofit scope. Vendor catalogues carry no price and the only located cost anchor is US-costed and in USD.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"EQUITONE (Etex): fibre-cement rainscreen cladding specified and fixed to the external wall of an individual building, marketed explicitly on non-combustibility - the only V-channel material in the pool that is actively sold on fire performance, which makes it specifiable and therefore recommendable. Gate 1 passes. The claim is a compartment-fire classification, not an ember-exposure rating, and Greece is not served; no installed cost per square metre is sourced.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_noncombustible_roofing_materials.md","wiki/ventures/equitone_etex.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_noncombustible_envelope_fabric","category_name":"Non-Combustible Permanent Building-Envelope Fabric","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/equitone_etex.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I050","name":"La Escandella","initiative_type":"company","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Manufactures ceramic roof tiles at the largest scale in the world from Alicante, supplying a roof covering that is inherently non-combustible and so does not ignite under ember rain — the single most widespread wildfire mitigation in Southern Europe, installed for reasons that have nothing to do with fire. The company markets aesthetics, ventilated-roof energy efficiency and photovoltaic tiles and makes no fire-performance claim at all, which is why this mitigation is invisible in market data and why addressable share for roofing upgrades on existing stock is close to zero.","mechanism_tags":["noncombustible_roofing","clay_tile","vernacular_baseline","iberian_manufacturer","unmarketed_mitigation"],"tech_stack":["ceramic_manufacturing","roofing_systems","integrated_photovoltaics"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_noncombustible_roofing_materials","title":"Southern-European non-combustible roofing and cladding manufacturers — La Escandella (clay tile), with Cupa Pizarras (natural slate) and EQUITONE/Etex (fibre cement) recorded as bundle claims; the vernacular-baseline evidence","tier":"T3","publisher":"roofing_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.laescandella.com/es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260526082609/https://www.laescandella.com/es/","snapshot_hash":"6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"La Escandella manufactures ceramic roof tiles at Alicante, self-described as the world's largest clay-tile plant, and the mitigation it supplies is a roof covering that is inherently non-combustible and therefore does not ignite under ember rain. That makes it, in effect, the single most widespread wildfire mitigation in Southern Europe, installed for reasons that have nothing to do with fire: across the captured homepage of the largest producer in the market, the marketed propositions are aesthetics, ventilated-roof energy efficiency and photovoltaic tiles, and a term search for fire vocabulary returns no product claim at all. The evidence position is unusual and load-bearing: the A1 non-combustibility attribution is a materials- science inference rather than a captured Declaration of Performance, and the magnitude of the vernacular baseline is unmeasured, since no source quantifies what fraction of dwellings in the Spanish, Portuguese, Italian or Greek WUI carry a non-combustible roof covering. For VIG there is nothing to buy, partner on or recommend, and that is the commercially relevant finding: the mitigation is already the default, so the addressable share for a roofing upgrade on existing stock is close to zero, which caps any roofing-upgrade thesis before it starts. The caveat that must travel with this is that a roof covering is not a roof - non-combustible tile above a combustible batten, membrane, soffit or unscreened vent is not a fire-resistant assembly, and the vernacular baseline must never be read as \"Southern-European roofs are safe\".","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"There is nothing to buy, partner on or recommend: the mitigation is already the default roof covering across the pilot geography, so the commercially relevant fact is the ceiling it places on any roofing-upgrade thesis rather than any deal.","next_step":"Obtain a Declaration of Performance or EN 13501-1 classification for at least one La Escandella tile line so the A1 attribution stops being an inference; trigger = Phase X attempt to set addressable_share for a roofing mitigation."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Cerámica La Escandella, S.A.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"A03249091","source":"https://www.laescandella.com/aviso-legal/"}],"registered_address":"C/ Bélgica 1, P.I. La Escandella, 03698 Agost (Alicante), España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.laescandella.com/aviso-legal/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"laescandella.com","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"regnumber","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://laescandella.com/legal","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I050","source_url":"https://www.laescandella.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/cropped-favicon_d-150x150.png","hash":"08c35068a8cc0f3ccbcc6da725fa196a78f35ea4ad77630d6007c76a51e46c7e","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a bounded per-installation cost for the Southern-European market - a Eurostat-anchored or trade-published installed price per square metre of roof or facade, on a defined retrofit scope. Vendor catalogues carry no price and the only located cost anchor is US-costed and in USD.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"La Escandella: ceramic roof tiles, fitted to the roof plane of an individual dwelling, so gate 1 passes on form. Commercially, though, this is the pilot's vernacular-baseline finding rather than a sales opportunity: clay tile is already the default covering across the geography, installed for aesthetics and energy performance with no fire claim made anywhere on the manufacturer's pages, so the addressable share for a roofing upgrade on existing stock is close to zero. A re-roof is also the wrong order of magnitude for a premium-delta trade.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_noncombustible_roofing_materials.md","wiki/ventures/la_escandella.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_noncombustible_envelope_fabric","category_name":"Non-Combustible Permanent Building-Envelope Fabric","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/la_escandella.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I047","name":"Portugal — Despacho n.º 8591/2022, building protection measures against rural-fire spread (RJ-SCIE, DL 220/2008)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Reported to establish requirements for building protection measures against rural fire spread inside Portugal's fire-safety-in-buildings regime — the only WUI-specific building standard located in any of the four pilot countries, and therefore the only instrument in scope whose mechanism acts on the structure rather than on the vegetation around it. Its substantive requirements are unknown to this pilot and must be treated as an evidence gap, not as a known constraint.","mechanism_tags":["wui_building_standard","structural_hardening","regulatory_instrument","evidence_gap"],"tech_stack":["regulatory_instrument","building_standard"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_defensible_space_portugal","title":"Portugal — SGIFR integrated rural-fire management system portal (with DL 82/2021 fuel-management duties and the Aldeia Segura settlement programme recorded as bundle claims)","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr_portugal","url":"https://www.sgifr.gov.pt/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130845/https://sgifr.gov.pt/","snapshot_hash":"f6ff390cb1e69487673004b3c602e69cd6b2216bef5e649c1700134a8bfdf8fa","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/f6ff390cb1e69487673004b3c602e69cd6b2216bef5e649c1700134a8bfdf8fa.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:07:21Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Despacho 8591/2022 is a Portuguese instrument issued within the fire-safety-in- buildings regime and reported to establish requirements for building protection measures against rural-fire spread - which, if the description holds, makes it the only WUI-specific building standard located in any of the four pilot countries and the only instrument in scope whose mechanism acts on the structure rather than on the vegetation around it. Its footprint is one country and, at present, one line of text: the substantive requirements are unknown to this pilot, because diariodarepublica.pt serves a JavaScript-only shell to the fetcher and the captured bytes contain nothing but a notice that JavaScript is required. The instrument is therefore asserted to exist, not to say anything, and no clearance distance, materials class, ember detail or applicability threshold may be inferred from its title; whether it binds new build only or also renovation and existing stock is unknown, and that distinction decides whether it has any addressable share at all inside a ten-year horizon. For VIG this is observation-only, and acting on an unread standard would be indefensible at review; the actionable step is retrieval of the consolidated text by a route that does not depend on the JavaScript-rendered portal, which is the highest-priority retrievable item in the vulnerability channel. Even once read it changes one country, with no counterpart in Spain, Italy or Greece.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Until the requirement text is obtained VIG cannot tell whether this creates an underwriting attribute, a construction-cost signal, or nothing at all; acting on an unread standard would be indefensible at review.","next_step":"Commission retrieval of the consolidated Despacho 8591/2022 text from Diário da República by a route that does not depend on the JavaScript-rendered portal, and re-open this entry once read; trigger = immediate, this is the highest-priority retrievable item in the channel."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Despacho n. 8591/2022 - medidas de protecao de edificios contra a propagacao de incendios rurais (RJ-SCIE, DL 220/2008)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Despacho 8591/2022","programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://prociv.gov.pt/pt/legislacao/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"verified_absent","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"host_brand_unverified","brand_verified":false,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"gap","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Retrieve the consolidated Despacho 8591/2022 text from Diario da Republica by a route that does not depend on the JavaScript-rendered portal, and read what it actually requires. If it prescribes specific building-side measures, those measures - not the Despacho - become the candidate serviceable objects and get their own ladder entries.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":true,"gap_reason":"The substantive requirements of Despacho 8591/2022 were never obtained - the instrument is asserted to exist but not to say anything. Whether it prescribes a physical building measure that could be installed and priced, or only administrative duties, is unknown, so deployability cannot be assessed either way and is recorded as a gap rather than a fail.","justification":"Portugal Despacho 8591/2022: reported to establish building protection measures against rural-fire spread inside the RJ-SCIE regime, and if so the only WUI-specific building standard in any of the four countries. It scores 0 because a building code is not itself a thing VIG installs at a house, and because its requirement text is unread - scoring it any higher would be crediting an instrument nobody in this pilot has opened.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_wui_building_standards_gap.md","wiki/ventures/portugal_despacho_8591_2022.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_noncombustible_envelope_fabric","category_name":"Non-Combustible Permanent Building-Envelope Fabric","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/portugal_despacho_8591_2022.md","flags":["logo_unavailable","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I054","name":"Rockpanel / Rockwool non-combustible façade lines","initiative_type":"product","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Supplies stone-wool-based façade boards and insulation whose premium lines are non-combustible, reducing the chance that an external wall assembly becomes a fuel path once embers or flames reach it. Only the premium lines carry the non-combustibility class, so specification detail decides whether any mitigation is obtained at all — a material caveat for any Phase X cell that treats the brand rather than the product line as the unit.","mechanism_tags":["noncombustible_cladding","stone_wool","facade_protection","product_line_dependent","specification_risk"],"tech_stack":["stone_wool_manufacturing","facade_systems","insulation"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_noncombustible_roofing_materials","title":"Southern-European non-combustible roofing and cladding manufacturers — La Escandella (clay tile), with Cupa Pizarras (natural slate) and EQUITONE/Etex (fibre cement) recorded as bundle claims; the vernacular-baseline evidence","tier":"T3","publisher":"roofing_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.laescandella.com/es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260526082609/https://www.laescandella.com/es/","snapshot_hash":"6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Rockpanel and Rockwool supply stone-wool-based facade boards and insulation whose premium lines are non-combustible, reducing the chance that an external wall assembly becomes a fuel path once embers or flames reach it. There is no Southern-European deployment evidence for this venture at all: no page of its own was captured in this pilot, both cited sources support it as a bundle claim, and it is among the thinnest-evidenced entries in the whole pool. Non-combustibility here is line-dependent rather than brand-wide, no line-level EN 13501-1 classification was obtained, and the publisher's own group key figures render as placeholder zeros, so no number from this source may be cited at all and the venture currently supports no parameter. For VIG this is observation-only precisely because nothing is firm enough to put in front of a customer or a pricing team; it is carried as a discipline marker rather than as an opportunity. The failure mode it exists to make visible is commercially specific: a bundled offer or premium discount written against the brand rather than the qualifying product line would pay for a mitigation that was never installed, and the error would be invisible in the aggregate.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The non-combustibility applies to some lines and not others and the publisher's own key figures render as placeholder zeros, so nothing here is firm enough to put in front of a customer or a pricing team yet.","next_step":"Obtain line-level EN 13501-1 classifications before this venture supports any parameter, and cite no group-level figure from this publisher; trigger = Phase IV.5 category rigor scoring."},"identity":{"legal_name":"ROCKWOOL A/S","entity_type":"product","jurisdiction":"DK","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"213800QRC7LNX935OZ09","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=ROCKWOOL%20A%2FS"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"54879415","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=ROCKWOOL%20A%2FS"}],"registered_address":"Hovedgaden 584, Flørng, 2640 Hedehusene, Denmark","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=ROCKWOOL%20A%2FS","https://www.rockpanel.com/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"rockwool.com","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"name_cosignal","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://rockwool.com","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I054","source_url":"https://rockwool.com/favicon.ico","hash":"c7fd8ab93a9074995610c332372976f6399cc5e4011a89eb84f5421913583b9d","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs line-level EN 13501-1 classifications first, so the priced object is defined, and then an installed cost per square metre of facade for the qualifying lines specifically. Pricing the brand would be pricing the wrong thing.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Rockpanel / Rockwool: stone-wool facade boards and insulation fitted to an individual building, so gate 1 passes. The commercial caveat is a specification risk rather than a deployability one - only the premium lines carry the non-combustibility class, so a bundled offer written against the brand rather than the product line would pay a discount for a mitigation that was never installed.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_noncombustible_roofing_materials.md","wiki/ventures/rockpanel_rockwool_facade.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_noncombustible_envelope_fabric","category_name":"Non-Combustible Permanent Building-Envelope Fabric","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/rockpanel_rockwool_facade.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I052","name":"Tejas Borja (EDILIANS group)","initiative_type":"company","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"A Valencian clay-tile manufacturer inside the EDILIANS group supplying the same inherently non-combustible roof covering into the Spanish and wider Mediterranean market. Its presence matters to the pilot as corroboration that the vernacular non-combustible roof is a multi-supplier structural feature of the Iberian building stock rather than a single firm's product, which is what makes the compressed addressable share robust rather than incidental.","mechanism_tags":["noncombustible_roofing","clay_tile","vernacular_baseline","iberian_manufacturer","supply_concentration"],"tech_stack":["ceramic_manufacturing","roofing_systems"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_noncombustible_roofing_materials","title":"Southern-European non-combustible roofing and cladding manufacturers — La Escandella (clay tile), with Cupa Pizarras (natural slate) and EQUITONE/Etex (fibre cement) recorded as bundle claims; the vernacular-baseline evidence","tier":"T3","publisher":"roofing_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.laescandella.com/es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260526082609/https://www.laescandella.com/es/","snapshot_hash":"6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:09Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Tejas Borja is a Valencian clay-tile manufacturer inside the EDILIANS group supplying the same inherently non-combustible roof covering into the Spanish and wider Mediterranean market. Its role in this pilot is corroborative rather than commercial: it establishes that the non-combustible clay-tile roof is a multi-supplier structural feature of the Iberian building stock rather than one plant's niche, which is what makes the compressed addressable share for roofing upgrades robust rather than incidental. It is the thinnest-evidenced venture in the vulnerability slice - no Tejas Borja page was fetched in this pilot, and its existence, Valencian location and group membership are carried from the verified scout dossier alone - and like its peers it markets no fire performance at all, which is precisely why this mitigation is invisible in vendor data and would be missed entirely by a supply-side scan. For VIG there is no commercial interface and no fire proposition, so this is observation-only and belongs in the analysis rather than the pipeline. If it is ever promoted into a priced parameter, group ownership and Spanish production footprint must be re-verified first, and the A1 non-combustibility class remains an inference rather than a captured Declaration of Performance.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"No commercial interface and no fire proposition; carried in the pool so the Phase IV.5 clustering agent sees that the non-combustible roofing category has depth of supply, not a single vendor.","next_step":"No independent action; re-verify group ownership and Spanish production footprint if this venture is ever promoted into a matrix cell; trigger = category promotion in Phase IV.5."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Tejas Borja, S.A.U.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"A46068599","source":"https://www.tejasborja.com/aviso-legal/"}],"registered_address":"Carretera Lliria-Pedralba, Km. 3, s/n, 46160 Llíria (Valencia), España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.tejasborja.com/aviso-legal/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"tejasborja.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.tejasborja.com/aviso-legal/ — the aviso legal on the candidate domain itself — states 'TEJAS BORJA, S.A.U.', 'CIF numero A46068599' and 'Carretera Lliria-Pedralba, Km.3 S/N, 46160 de Lliria', plus Registro Mercantil de Valencia Tomo 3937, Folio 107, Hoja V-16953. Legal name, registration","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I052","source_url":"https://tejasborja.com/favicon.ico","hash":"db636f8e99f18fa25fe20f3e6b8cb196cf9468295b53d435108ed2cf6e89895b","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a bounded per-installation cost for the Southern-European market - a Eurostat-anchored or trade-published installed price per square metre of roof or facade, on a defined retrofit scope. Vendor catalogues carry no price and the only located cost anchor is US-costed and in USD.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Tejas Borja: a third Iberian clay-tile producer supplying the same non-combustible covering, fitted per building, so gate 1 passes on form. It is carried in the pool to show depth of supply behind the vernacular baseline rather than as a distinct commercial proposition, and it markets no fire performance at all.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_noncombustible_roofing_materials.md","wiki/ventures/tejas_borja.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_noncombustible_envelope_fabric","category_name":"Non-Combustible Permanent Building-Envelope Fabric","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/tejas_borja.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I057","name":"ECOFIRE (Simon Rack / Ecofire Global Distributor)","initiative_type":"product","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"A water-based organic retardant applied to a dwelling and its immediate surroundings that forms an insulating layer at elevated temperature, reducing the heat and flame load the treated surface absorbs during a fire front's passage; it is also marketed as a firebreak agent. Certified by INIA-CSIC as a long-term retardant with efficacy greater than water for the sample analysed only — the vendor's separate claim of 30 to 40 times water efficacy is contradicted by the fact-check of that same study and must not be used.","mechanism_tags":["fire_retardant_gel","structure_pre_treatment","exterior_suppression","spanish_vendor","contested_efficacy_claim"],"tech_stack":["chemical_retardant","spray_application"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_exterior_sprinkler_gel","title":"Exterior fire-retardant gels, wraps and sprinklers — ECOFIRE (Spain), with Simon Rack, Firezat and the Tecnifuego negative control recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T3","publisher":"ecofire_global_distributor","url":"https://ecofireglobaldistributor.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260728074243/https://ecofireglobaldistributor.com/","snapshot_hash":"d761299ed856f37b6b5f141395d344fe58dd8937ba9191947483cfa4bf318024","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/d761299ed856f37b6b5f141395d344fe58dd8937ba9191947483cfa4bf318024.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:11:50Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_tecnifuego_spain_negative_control","title":"Tecnifuego — Spanish fire-protection industry association; the negative control showing that mainstream Spanish self-protection guidance omits wildfire clearance distances and exterior suppression entirely","tier":"T2","publisher":"tecnifuego","url":"https://www.tecnifuego.org/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260602120820/https://www.tecnifuego.org/","snapshot_hash":"283397f4b86aa2dda5a9bd0a204b49d7baa263521414c0e7de99a3e2f7141e87","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/283397f4b86aa2dda5a9bd0a204b49d7baa263521414c0e7de99a3e2f7141e87.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:08:35Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"ECOFIRE is a water-based organic retardant from a Spanish vendor associated with Simon Rack of Binefar, applied to a dwelling and its immediate surroundings where it forms an insulating layer at elevated temperature, reducing the heat and flame load the treated surface absorbs during a fire front's passage; it is also marketed as a firebreak agent. It is the one place in the vulnerability channel where a Southern-European vendor actually exists and the only product in the pool a Spanish policyholder could buy today, sold in formats from a 1-litre domestic spray to a 40-litre trolley, with the vendor claiming presence in 37 countries. The citable evidence is narrow and must be used as such: its INIA-CSIC certification as a long-term retardant supports only very high efficacy greater than water and exclusively for the sample analysed, its APPLUS certification concerns lithium- battery fires rather than wildfire, its first documented wildfire use was July 2026 with results undocumented, and Spain's own fire-protection association publishes self-protection guidance that does not recognise the category at all. For VIG this is observation-only until an independent post-incident comparison of treated and untreated buildings exists; the sensible step is to request the certification report and any 2026 field write-up directly and re-assess only on that basis. The claim that must never be repeated is the vendor's \"30 to 40 times more effective than water\" figure: it is contradicted by the fact-check of the vendor's own commissioned study, and any use of it downstream is a defect.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The only Southern-European vendor in its category and the only one selling into Spanish households, but its first documented wildfire use was July 2026 with results undocumented, and Spain's own fire-protection association does not recognise the category at all.","next_step":"VIG Innovation requests the INIA-CSIC certification report and any 2026 field-use write-up directly from the vendor, and re-assesses only if an independent post-incident assessment exists; trigger = a documented Spanish wildfire in which treated and untreated buildings can be compared."},"identity":{"legal_name":null,"entity_type":"product","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"no_identity_found","identity_sources":["https://simonrack.com/aviso-legal/","https://ecofireglobaldistributor.com/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"unresolved","domain":null,"grade":null,"anchor_signal":null,"leads_review":null,"evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":[],"reason":"fail_to_unsure:unsure","resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I057","source_url":"https://ecofireglobaldistributor.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/cropped-favicon-32x32.png","hash":"68bc207803e64565a9f170f345fa4f38ae73285264b30f80ee0a0c26892ab3bc","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a sourced application rate (litres per square metre of treated envelope, and the treated area for a representative dwelling) so a bounded per-house cost can be computed, ideally from the INIA-CSIC certification report rather than the vendor's catalogue. Separately, gate 4 will not be reachable at all until an independent post-incident comparison of treated and untreated buildings exists; the vendor's 30-40x efficacy claim is contradicted by the fact-check of its own commissioned study and must never be used.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"ECOFIRE (Simon Rack): a water-based retardant sprayed onto a dwelling and its immediate surroundings, sold into Spanish households in 1 L, 2 L, 6 L and 40 L formats - the only Southern-European vendor in its category and the only V-channel product in the pool actually purchasable by a policyholder today. Gate 1 passes. Gate 2 is deliberately NOT passed: the vendor's roughly EUR 6.55/litre and from-EUR 14.99 domestic-format prices are T3, second-hand from the scout dossier, and - decisively - a per-litre retail price is not a per-installation cost. No coverage rate in litres per square metre or per dwelling is sourced anywhere, so any per-house figure would be invented. Passing gate 2 on a EUR 14.99 spray can would also have carried it straight through gate 3 and made a consumable with no field-outcome evidence the top-ranked wildfire venture, which is exactly the vendor-pricing laundering the convention guards against.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_exterior_sprinkler_gel.md","wiki/ventures/ecofire_simon_rack.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_retrofit_ember_path_protection","category_name":"Retrofit Ember- and Heat-Path Protection for Existing Buildings","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/ecofire_simon_rack.md","flags":["no_identity","domain_unresolved"]},{"id":"I055","name":"O'Hagin Fire&Ice profile-specific roof vents","initiative_type":"product","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Makes ember-resistant roof vents in clay-tile, concrete-tile and natural-slate profiles — precisely the roof geometries that dominate Spain, Portugal, Italy and Greece — closing the one ignition pathway that the region's non-combustible roof covering does not close. Embers entering the roof void through unscreened vents ignite the structure without any flame contact, so this is the highest-leverage residual structural vulnerability in the pilot geography. There is no European availability and no EN standard to certify against.","mechanism_tags":["ember_resistant_vent","roof_void_protection","tile_profile_fit","residual_vulnerability","no_eu_certification"],"tech_stack":["sheet_metal_fabrication","ember_screening","roof_ventilation"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_ember_resistant_vents","title":"Ember-resistant vents — BrandGuard Vents, with Vulcan Vents and O'Hagin recorded as bundle claims; the category with no European supplier and no European standard","tier":"T3","publisher":"ember_vent_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.brandguardvents.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130821/https://www.brandguardvents.com/","snapshot_hash":"117a2906179e164c10a3a718b5e26bc1a68f83cfe7c03e1ff80024c281628d62","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/117a2906179e164c10a3a718b5e26bc1a68f83cfe7c03e1ff80024c281628d62.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:21Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_noncombustible_roofing_materials","title":"Southern-European non-combustible roofing and cladding manufacturers — La Escandella (clay tile), with Cupa Pizarras (natural slate) and EQUITONE/Etex (fibre cement) recorded as bundle claims; the vernacular-baseline evidence","tier":"T3","publisher":"roofing_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.laescandella.com/es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260526082609/https://www.laescandella.com/es/","snapshot_hash":"6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6d20c5a1a7a20c3c8b25cf04c46b3559b1c430eab0f5c0978b57e0d0102aff23.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"O'Hagin makes ember-resistant roof vents in clay-tile, concrete-tile and natural- slate profiles, closing the one ignition pathway that Southern Europe's non-combustible roof covering does not close: wind-driven embers entering the roof void through unscreened vents ignite a structure without any flame contact, which makes this the highest-leverage residual structural vulnerability in the pilot geography. There is no Southern-European footprint whatsoever - this is a US manufacturer with no European distribution, no CE marking, and no EN standard against which an ember-resistant vent could be certified at all, since EN 13501-1 tests flame spread and heat release rather than wind-driven ember ingress and there is no European counterpart to ASTM E2886 or California Chapter 7A. No captured page states an ignition-reduction or loss-reduction number, and the profile match to European roofs is a product-catalogue fact rather than a market presence: that the company makes clay-tile and slate vent profiles for the US market says nothing about whether they fit European tile geometries or fixing practice. For VIG this is observation-only, and the actionable object is the standards gap rather than the vendor - raising the absent EN counterpart to ASTM E2886 with Insurance Europe or a CEN-participating member is the only move that changes anything. Two things must not be attached to this product: the widely quoted halving-of-risk and near-doubling-of- survival figures, which are a vegetation and Zone-0 effect, and any assumption that the ventilation penalty is negligible, since net free area falls materially with finer mesh and that airflow trade-off is untested in hot Mediterranean roof spaces.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The product form matches Southern-European roofs better than anything else located, but there is no CE marking, no EN test method for ember ingress and no European distribution — so the actionable object is the standards gap, not the vendor.","next_step":"VIG Re raises the absent EN counterpart to ASTM E2886 with Insurance Europe or a CEN-participating member as a standards-advocacy item; trigger = Phase X confirming that vent-path ignition carries material modelled loss in the pilot geography."},"identity":{"legal_name":"O'Hagin Manufacturing, LLC","entity_type":"product","jurisdiction":"US","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"210 Classic Court, Suite 100, Rohnert Park, CA 94928, USA","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.ohagin.com/contact/","https://ohagin.com/resources/approvals/","https://ohagin.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/OHagin_LowProfile_Tapered_FireIce_NOA12.9.29.pdf","https://ohagin.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/Ohagin.TDI_.Approval.7.16.24.pdf"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"ohagin.com","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"address","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://ohagin.com","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I055","source_url":"https://ohagin.com/apple-touch-icon.png","hash":"581f771315e768055874aed2416e98a8b0dc5c8e77585efdb64986a92fdaf687","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-apple"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a European per-opening installed price, which presupposes a European route to market that does not exist. The prior step is the standards gap - an EN counterpart to ASTM E2886 - without which no European manufacturer can certify an equivalent product.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"O'Hagin Fire&Ice: ember-resistant roof vents made in clay-tile, concrete-tile and natural-slate profiles, fitted to the roof of an individual dwelling - the exact geometries that dominate the four pilot countries, closing the one ignition path the region's non-combustible covering leaves open. Gate 1 passes on product form. What blocks it commercially is not cost but supply: no European distribution, no CE marking, and no EN test method for ember ingress to certify against.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_ember_resistant_vents.md","wiki/ventures/ohagin_fire_and_ice_vents.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_retrofit_ember_path_protection","category_name":"Retrofit Ember- and Heat-Path Protection for Existing Buildings","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/ohagin_fire_and_ice_vents.md","flags":[]},{"id":"I056","name":"Vulcan Vents","initiative_type":"company","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Sells ember- and flame-resistant vents plus, distinctively, a retrofit kit that adds mesh screening and an intumescent honeycomb to an existing vent opening — the only located mitigation in this sub-category that acts on existing stock without replacing building fabric. Since the Southern-European wildfire problem is overwhelmingly an existing-stock problem, retrofittability is the property that decides whether any ember-path mitigation can reach meaningful adoption inside a ten-year horizon.","mechanism_tags":["ember_resistant_vent","retrofit_path","intumescent","existing_stock","no_eu_certification"],"tech_stack":["intumescent_materials","ember_screening","roof_ventilation"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_ember_resistant_vents","title":"Ember-resistant vents — BrandGuard Vents, with Vulcan Vents and O'Hagin recorded as bundle claims; the category with no European supplier and no European standard","tier":"T3","publisher":"ember_vent_manufacturer_bundle","url":"https://www.brandguardvents.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130821/https://www.brandguardvents.com/","snapshot_hash":"117a2906179e164c10a3a718b5e26bc1a68f83cfe7c03e1ff80024c281628d62","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/117a2906179e164c10a3a718b5e26bc1a68f83cfe7c03e1ff80024c281628d62.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:21Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_retrofit_cost_evidence","title":"Headwaters Economics with CAL FIRE — the cost of retrofitting a home for wildfire resistance, and construction costs for a wildfire-resistant home","tier":"T2","publisher":"headwaters_economics","url":"https://headwaterseconomics.org/natural-hazards/retrofitting-home-wildfire-resistance/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260516231219/https://headwaterseconomics.org/natural-hazards/retrofitting-home-wildfire-resistance/","snapshot_hash":"030398ed8975a61398dfc3f782264900ad9ca63f76d440d7259d9f8a008a6a11","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/030398ed8975a61398dfc3f782264900ad9ca63f76d440d7259d9f8a008a6a11.html","publication_date":"2024-06-26","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:05Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Vulcan Vents sells ember- and flame-resistant vents and, distinctively, a retrofit kit that installs mesh screening and an intumescent honeycomb onto an existing vent opening - the only located measure in this sub-category that acts on existing stock without replacing building fabric. That property is decisive rather than incidental: the Southern-European wildfire problem is overwhelmingly an existing-stock problem, because the dwellings that will burn in the next ten years are already built, so retrofittability is what determines whether any ember-path mitigation can reach meaningful adoption inside a ten-year horizon. There is no Southern-European footprint: the product is not sold in Europe, holds no CE marking and has no EN test method to certify against, and the only located cost anchor - a Californian analysis placing ember-resistant vents in a USD 2,000 to 15,000 band of simple actions against nearly USD 100,000 for a comprehensive retrofit - is US-costed, in dollars, and is deliberately not converted, because cost is in any case not effectiveness. For VIG this is observation-only today, but it is worth a standing watch, because a measure costing low hundreds per opening and needing no builder is exactly the shape an insurer could subsidise at scale if a European equivalent ever reached market. The caveat to carry is that the airflow penalty is real, second-hand and untested in Mediterranean roof conditions, which is an adoption barrier rather than a footnote.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"A retrofit that costs low hundreds per opening and needs no builder is exactly the shape of measure an insurer can subsidise at scale — but the product is not sold in Europe, holds no CE marking, and its airflow penalty is untested in Mediterranean roof conditions.","next_step":"Track whether any European manufacturer brings an equivalent intumescent vent retrofit to market, and re-assess as a customer-recommendation candidate if one does; trigger = quarterly venture scan or publication of an EN ember-ingress test method."},"identity":{"legal_name":"New Cal Metals Inc","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"US","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"3495 Swetzer Rd., Suite 100, Loomis, CA 95650, USA","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://vulcanvents.com/","https://www.vulcanvents.com/terms-and-conditions/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"vulcanvents.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"CHOICE MADE EXPLICITLY. https://www.vulcanvents.com/terms-and-conditions/ — the venture's recorded identity_source, on the candidate domain — names 'New Cal Metals Inc.' at '3495 Swetzer Rd. Suite 100, Loomis, CA. 95650', a verbatim match to the legal_name and registered_address in venture_identity.","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://www.brandguardvents.com/wp-content/smush-webp/2025/10/cropped-bgv-favicon-96-32x32.png.webp","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:404","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":1,"gates":{"deployability":"pass","install_cost":"gap","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 2 needs a euro-denominated per-opening installed cost from a European supply chain. Neither exists: the product is not sold in Europe and holds no CE marking. Converting the Headwaters USD band would require an undated FX assumption plus a purchasing-power adjustment, and is refused.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Vulcan Vents: ember- and flame-resistant vents plus, distinctively, a retrofit kit that clips mesh screening and an intumescent honeycomb onto an existing vent opening - the only located measure that acts on existing stock without replacing building fabric, which is decisive because the dwellings that will burn in the next ten years are already built. Gate 1 passes. Gate 2 does not: the only located cost anchor is Headwaters Economics with CAL FIRE, USD 2,000-15,000 for simple actions including ember-resistant vents and near USD 100,000 for a comprehensive retrofit. That is US-costed, in USD, with no dated FX pair available, and is used here only as a magnitude check.","sources":["wiki/sources/v_ember_resistant_vents.md","wiki/sources/v_retrofit_cost_evidence.md","wiki/ventures/vulcan_vents.md"]},"category_id":"cat_v_retrofit_ember_path_protection","category_name":"Retrofit Ember- and Heat-Path Protection for Existing Buildings","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/vulcan_vents.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I060","name":"Fidelidade — ICCC national wildfire risk map (Portugal)","initiative_type":"internal-insurer-initiative","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Portugal's largest insurer commissioned the country's first national wildfire risk map at 100 by 100 metre resolution, combining hazard, building and resident exposure, vulnerability and loss curves, built with the leading Portuguese fire-science academics. It is the only peer-insurer initiative in the pilot geography that models vulnerability rather than hazard alone; its only measured effect so far is on distribution — agents given detailed risk sheets sold materially more adequate cover — which closes protection gap rather than reducing damage.","mechanism_tags":["insurer_risk_mapping","vulnerability_curves","national_coverage","academic_partnership","distribution_effect"],"tech_stack":["geospatial_modelling","loss_curves","exposure_data"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_insurer_wildfire_initiatives","title":"Insurer-run wildfire initiatives in the pilot geography — Fidelidade (Portugal) as the snapshotted primary, with the ICCC national wildfire risk map and Allianz Seguros España recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T3","publisher":"fidelidade","url":"https://www.fidelidade.pt/PT/particulares/Paginas/default.aspx","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731154102/https://www.fidelidade.pt/PT/particulares/Paginas/default.aspx","snapshot_hash":"f1acf0ff535067c43fc401472806efeb37c0b96dd866bc422f59eb4dc8635eee","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/f1acf0ff535067c43fc401472806efeb37c0b96dd866bc422f59eb4dc8635eee.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:11:23Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_iberian_risk_scoring_ventures","title":"Iberian wildfire risk-scoring ventures — Mitiga Solutions (Barcelona), with SilvIA Earth (Madrid) recorded as a bundle claim; hazard and exposure screening, not structure hardening","tier":"T3","publisher":"iberian_risk_scoring_bundle","url":"https://www.mitigasolutions.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260624112402/https://www.mitigasolutions.com/","snapshot_hash":"9be758bc424238c200df261731d8b5808ecc31ff3fa71f3bf3f97c0df514a93a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/9be758bc424238c200df261731d8b5808ecc31ff3fa71f3bf3f97c0df514a93a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:59:43Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Fidelidade, Portugal's largest insurer, commissioned the country's first national wildfire risk map at 100 by 100 metre resolution, combining hazard, building and resident exposure, vulnerability and loss curves, built with the leading Portuguese fire-science academics and launched in January 2026 with results expected around 2028 to 2029. It is the only peer-insurer initiative in the pilot geography that models vulnerability rather than hazard alone, and the only internal-insurer initiative in the entire vulnerability channel: Generali Italia, Unipol, Mapfre, Interamerican and Ageas Portugal have no wildfire prevention programme, and the Allianz Seguros initiative is hotspot detection scored in the hazard channel. Its sole quantified outcome so far is a distribution effect - agents given detailed risk sheets sold nearly 60% more adequate coverage - which closes protection gap rather than reducing damage given fire, and treating it as a vulnerability effectiveness input would be a category error. For VIG this is observation-only: it is the closest peer precedent for what an insurer-built wildfire vulnerability view costs and delivers, but nothing lands before roughly 2028, so the right move is a review point at first publication and a question about whether the vulnerability and loss-curve layers will be shared outside Fidelidade. Every figure here is second-hand - Fidelidade URLs returned 404 to this pilot's fetcher and the captured Fidelidade site carries no wildfire content at all, so wildfire is not a consumer-facing proposition at the point of sale.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The closest peer precedent VIG has for what an insurer-built wildfire vulnerability view costs and delivers, but results are not expected until roughly 2028 to 2029 and the only published effect is a sales effect, so there is nothing to copy yet.","next_step":"VIG Re foresight desk sets a review point for the first published ICCC outputs and asks whether the vulnerability and loss-curve layers will be made available outside Fidelidade; trigger = first ICCC publication or end-2028, whichever is earlier."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Fidelidade - Companhia de Seguros, S.A.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"529900FNLE8ZOPUOT704","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Fidelidade"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"500918880","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Fidelidade"}],"registered_address":"Largo do Calhariz, n. 30, 1200-086 Lisboa, Portugal","programme_id":null,"programme_host":"Fidelidade - Companhia de Seguros, S.A.","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Fidelidade","https://www.fidelidade.pt/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"fidelidade.pt","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The candidate domain is the venture's own corporate site: title 'Fidelidade | N.1 em Seguros Automovel, Saude, Casa e Viagem', .pt ccTLD matching the PT jurisdiction, footer 'Copyright (c) 2026 Fidelidade', and it is the venture's recorded identity_source. MEDIUM: I could not surface the NIPC 500918","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I060","source_url":"https://www.fidelidade.pt/style%20library/FidelidadeBranding/img/favicon.ico","hash":"0a5a862d28e8e5f797df11f2576169bbed34b8a9df81d7b17a33073468e0c0b6","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Fidelidade ICCC national wildfire risk map: a peer insurer's 100 m national hazard, exposure, vulnerability and loss-curve model, built with Portuguese fire-science academics. Its only measured effect so far is on distribution - agents given detailed risk sheets sold more adequate cover - which closes protection gap rather than reducing damage, and nothing is installed at a policyholder's premises.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_vulnerability_assessment_targeting","category_name":"Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment, Scoring and Targeting","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/fidelidade_iccc_wildfire_risk_map.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I048","name":"FIREPRIME — European Programme for Wildfire-Prepared Communities","initiative_type":"regulator-funded-pilot","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Puts a household self-assessment questionnaire and mobile app in front of European residents that scores construction materials, building design, nearby vegetation and flammable-item storage, then prescribes measures — the only instrument in the pilot geography that treats the building's own fabric as a scoreable, improvable variable. It assesses and recommends; it does not inspect, designate or verify, so the behaviour change it can produce is unenforced.","mechanism_tags":["household_self_assessment","structural_vulnerability_scoring","community_programme","wui","eu_civil_protection"],"tech_stack":["mobile_app","questionnaire_scoring","risk_communication"],"disclosed_funding":673698.0,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_fireprime_wuiview_projects","title":"FIREPRIME — European Programme for Wildfire-Prepared Communities (UCPM-2023-KAPP, GA 101140381), with the WUIVIEW performance-based WUI simulation workbench recorded as a bundle claim","tier":"T2","publisher":"fireprime_consortium","url":"https://fireprime.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260515070457/https://fireprime.eu/","snapshot_hash":"b4b5ecb1247052f24c1c47c751c365a1677261fe16b1a56250761de5ed3e1ca7","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/b4b5ecb1247052f24c1c47c751c365a1677261fe16b1a56250761de5ed3e1ca7.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:00Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_ibhs_home_hardening_evidence","title":"IBHS Wildfire Prepared Home — US home-hardening certification programme and the IBHS wildfire research programme (ibhs.org), the benchmark Southern Europe has no counterpart to","tier":"T2","publisher":"ibhs","url":"https://wildfireprepared.org/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260720081747/https://wildfireprepared.org/","snapshot_hash":"6a930f3e14483ce95338ca263b10b634053616f6edb48b21f58a456305d0e8dc","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/6a930f3e14483ce95338ca263b10b634053616f6edb48b21f58a456305d0e8dc.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:54:07Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":3,"description":"FIREPRIME is an EU Civil Protection co-funded programme coordinated from CERTEC-UPC in Barcelona that puts a household wildfire self-assessment questionnaire and mobile app in front of European residents, scoring construction materials, building design, nearby vegetation and the storage of flammable items and then prescribing measures - the only instrument located in the pilot geography that treats the building's own fabric as a scoreable, improvable variable. Its Southern-European delivery is the Collserola-Barcelona pilot, with Spanish and Catalan localisations live at capture, on a disclosed budget of EUR 673,698; the German and Swedish localisations and the Tyrol and Gothenburg pilots sit outside the geography, and no Portuguese, Italian or Greek localisation exists. No adoption number exists at all - no download count, no completed-assessment count, no community designation, no retrofit-completion rate - and no effectiveness value is published; the programme assesses and recommends but does not inspect, certify, designate or verify, and carries an explicit EU disclaimer that its outputs bind nobody. For VIG the mode is partnership with a clear complementarity: the content already exists in Spanish and Catalan, and what the programme lacks is exactly the inspection-and-price layer an insurer could add, plus Portuguese, Italian and Greek localisation. The claim that must never travel with this venture is the pair of widely quoted home-hardening statistics about halving ignition risk and nearly doubling survival: those are a vegetation and Zone-0 effect from a study co-authored by a commercial wildfire-score vendor, not a materials effect, and attaching them to a product would be a misattribution.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"A Spanish- and Catalan-language household hardening assessment already exists, is EU-funded and is coordinated from UPC Barcelona; a co-deployment would give VIG a credible loss-prevention offer without building the content, and would give the programme the inspection-and-price layer it lacks.","next_step":"VIG Innovation opens a conversation with CERTEC-UPC about adding an insurer-facing verification tier to the FIREPRIME assessment and about Portuguese, Italian and Greek localisation; trigger = confirmation that the Collserola-Barcelona pilot has completed and produced assessment-completion data."},"identity":{"legal_name":"European Program for Wildfire-Prepared Communities (FIREPRIME)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"101140381","programme_host":"Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya (UPC) - CERTEC; funded by the EU Civil Protection Mechanism (DG ECHO, KAPP)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://civil-protection-knowledge-network.europa.eu/projects/fireprime","https://certec.upc.edu/en/projects/currents-projects"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"fireprime.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The candidate domain is the project's own dedicated site and carries its programme ID on-host: live fetch of fireprime.eu returns the full name 'FIREPRIME - European Programme for Wildfire-Prepared Communities' (verbatim legal_name) and states 'Project GA101140381, FIREPRIME UCPM-2023-KAPP' — a verb","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I048","source_url":"https://fireprime.eu/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/fireprime-logo-d-150x150.png","hash":"3fbe69cf7ca5504396a0c59b2d2c6273831df7828076d9afcc8fae6a5faeec01","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need the measures FIREPRIME prescribes to be delivered as an installed package with a per-property price, plus the inspection-and-designation tier the programme deliberately lacks. The assessment itself will never enter the ladder; what it recommends might.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"FIREPRIME: a household self-assessment questionnaire and mobile app that scores construction materials, design, nearby vegetation and flammable-item storage, then prescribes measures. It installs nothing at the premises and, by its own explicit design, does not inspect, certify, designate or verify, so there is no installed object to bundle with a premium or to check later. Borderline: an assessment could be sold as a service, but the ladder's gate 1 is a physical premises install and this is advice.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_vulnerability_assessment_targeting","category_name":"Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment, Scoring and Targeting","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/fireprime.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I058","name":"Mitiga Solutions","initiative_type":"company","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Delivers asset-level forward-looking physical climate risk simulation including a wildfire model originally built for Southern Europe, letting an owner or underwriter identify which specific assets warrant adaptation spend before a season starts. The mitigation pathway runs through prioritised adaptation at named assets, not through any change to the building — this is hazard and exposure screening, and it carries no building materials, ember vulnerability, defensible-space assessment, retrofit recommendation or verification loop.","mechanism_tags":["asset_level_screening","climate_risk_analytics","adaptation_prioritisation","barcelona_spinout","not_structure_hardening"],"tech_stack":["AI","high_performance_computing","climate_simulation","SaaS_API"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_iberian_risk_scoring_ventures","title":"Iberian wildfire risk-scoring ventures — Mitiga Solutions (Barcelona), with SilvIA Earth (Madrid) recorded as a bundle claim; hazard and exposure screening, not structure hardening","tier":"T3","publisher":"iberian_risk_scoring_bundle","url":"https://www.mitigasolutions.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260624112402/https://www.mitigasolutions.com/","snapshot_hash":"9be758bc424238c200df261731d8b5808ecc31ff3fa71f3bf3f97c0df514a93a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/9be758bc424238c200df261731d8b5808ecc31ff3fa71f3bf3f97c0df514a93a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:59:43Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_property_risk_scoring_ventures","title":"Property-level wildfire risk scoring that drives retrofit — Faura, with ZestyAI and Stand Insurance recorded as bundle claims; the score-to-hardening loop and where it stops","tier":"T3","publisher":"property_risk_scoring_bundle","url":"https://www.faura.us/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130806/https://www.faura.us/","snapshot_hash":"2786c03e16ecd48fccbfebfdf1fa0f39dc00b718a0aa67369da20a504fb183b7","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/2786c03e16ecd48fccbfebfdf1fa0f39dc00b718a0aa67369da20a504fb183b7.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:54:10Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Mitiga Solutions is a Barcelona Supercomputing Center spin-out delivering asset- and portfolio-level forward-looking physical climate risk simulation, including a wildfire model initially developed for Southern Europe, delivered as SaaS and API so that an owner or underwriter can identify which specific assets warrant adaptation spend before a season starts. Its Southern-European relevance is the model's origin and the company's Barcelona base rather than a named deployment: no Spanish, Portuguese, Italian or Greek client is evidenced, and the 30-metre output resolution, the insurance-sector verification partnership and the Southern-European model origin are all carried second-hand rather than from captured bytes. Its only disclosed figure is an efficiency claim of around EUR 9,000 saved per asset on due diligence, which measures process cost and is not a loss-reduction measure, and no effectiveness value exists. The binding correction is a mechanism correction and it governs how this venture may be described: Mitiga is hazard and exposure screening, not structure hardening - it carries no building materials, ember-vulnerability, defensible-space or retrofit content - and must never be presented as equivalent to a home-hardening product. For VIG the mode is licensing, and it is the shortest route to a Southern-European wildfire hazard view VIG does not have to build, provided any request is explicitly scoped to hazard and exposure and not to structural vulnerability.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"licensing","rationale":"A Barcelona Supercomputing Center spin-out with a wildfire model built for this exact geography and an existing insurance-sector verification partner is the shortest route to a Southern-European wildfire view VIG does not have to build.","next_step":"VIG Re requests EarthScan wildfire model documentation and a back-test against the 2025 Iberian season, explicitly scoping the request to hazard and exposure and not to structural vulnerability; trigger = Phase II or Phase IX need for a pilot-geography wildfire hazard view."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Mitiga Solutions S.L.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"959800GTXK2X8FT40D43","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Mitiga%20Solutions*"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"B-518111-8","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Mitiga%20Solutions*"}],"registered_address":"Passeig del Mare Nostrum 15, 08039 Barcelona, España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Mitiga%20Solutions*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"mitigasolutions.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The candidate domain is the venture's own site: title 'Science-Based Climate Risk Intelligence | Mitiga Solutions', footer '(c) Mitiga Solutions, 2025', scope (physical climate/wildfire risk analytics for insurers) matching the venture. MEDIUM-WEAK: neither the homepage nor the privacy policy disclo","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/651c1360f08599a766df6170/667c266e86ea40f704de16d2_favicon-mitiga.png","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Mitiga Solutions: asset-level forward-looking physical climate risk simulation with a wildfire model built for Southern Europe, delivered as a SaaS/API screening product. It prioritises where adaptation spend should go; it carries no building materials, ember-vulnerability, defensible-space or retrofit component and installs nothing at a premises.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_vulnerability_assessment_targeting","category_name":"Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment, Scoring and Targeting","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/mitiga_solutions.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I059","name":"SilvIA Earth","initiative_type":"academic-spinout","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Produces a satellite-derived wildfire risk score per parcel or policy from current vegetation-fuel state, terrain and climate, sold both to insurers for pricing and to public administrations to decide where patrols, clearance work and inspections are sent before the critical season. The V-channel mechanism is targeting: it decides which parcels receive the clearance that actually reduces damage, which is the binding constraint when clearance capacity is far smaller than the obligated area.","mechanism_tags":["parcel_risk_scoring","clearance_targeting","satellite_fuel_monitoring","insurer_pricing","pre_traction"],"tech_stack":["satellite_imagery","AI","remote_sensing","fuel_modelling"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_iberian_risk_scoring_ventures","title":"Iberian wildfire risk-scoring ventures — Mitiga Solutions (Barcelona), with SilvIA Earth (Madrid) recorded as a bundle claim; hazard and exposure screening, not structure hardening","tier":"T3","publisher":"iberian_risk_scoring_bundle","url":"https://www.mitigasolutions.com/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260624112402/https://www.mitigasolutions.com/","snapshot_hash":"9be758bc424238c200df261731d8b5808ecc31ff3fa71f3bf3f97c0df514a93a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/9be758bc424238c200df261731d8b5808ecc31ff3fa71f3bf3f97c0df514a93a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:59:43Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_defensible_space_programmes_es","title":"Spain — defensible-space and WUI perimeter-strip programmes (MITECO forest-fires portal, with Diputació de Barcelona and Catalan statutory scope recorded as bundle claims)","tier":"T1","publisher":"miteco","url":"https://www.miteco.gob.es/es/biodiversidad/temas/incendios-forestales.html","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260728103912/https://www.miteco.gob.es/es/biodiversidad/temas/incendios-forestales.html","snapshot_hash":"915c891a45ac46457dbe6ba84fdcf2e941d592c22c1c8bc27315c9999619f665","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/915c891a45ac46457dbe6ba84fdcf2e941d592c22c1c8bc27315c9999619f665.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:11:28Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"SilvIA Earth produces a satellite-derived wildfire risk score per parcel or policy from current vegetation-fuel state, terrain and climate, sold both to insurers for pricing and to public administrations to decide where patrols, clearance work and inspections are sent before the critical season. Its credible mitigation pathway is the second one: Southern-European clearance capacity is far smaller than the obligated area - Barcelona province executed 309 hectares of protection strips in a year, and Portugal's inspected compliance sits at 60% - so which parcels get cleared determines how much loss clearance actually avoids, and no incumbent supplies that targeting decision. The venture is a Leganes team incubated through ESA BIC and UC3M, and it is explicitly pre-traction: no disclosed funding, no named client, no European case study, and its only quantitative content is a borrowed US case study that is not evidence of Spanish or Portuguese performance. For VIG the mode is investment: a small cheque at this stage buys influence over the product roadmap in exactly the targeting layer Southern-European clearance programmes lack, and the first step is a screening call covering client pipeline, funding position and any Iberian parcel-level validation. Note that it scores parcels and not buildings - no building attribute enters the model - so it supports defensible-space targeting and never structural hardening.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"investment","rationale":"An ESA-BIC and UC3M incubated Spanish team selling exactly the targeting layer that Southern-European clearance programmes lack, at a stage where a small cheque buys influence over the product roadmap — but it is pre-traction with no disclosed funding and no named client.","next_step":"VIG Ventures runs a first screening call covering client pipeline, funding position and whether any Spanish or Portuguese parcel-level validation exists beyond the borrowed US case study; trigger = confirmation that VIG intends to write Iberian rural or WUI property."},"identity":{"legal_name":"SilvIA Earth S.L.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.silviaearth.com/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"silviaearth.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Live fetch of silviaearth.com: the site states the legal entity name 'SilvIA Earth S.L.' verbatim — an exact match to legal_name in venture_identity.yaml — is based in Leganes, Madrid (ES, matching jurisdiction), and its scope (AI plus satellite wildfire-risk prediction sold to public administration","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:404","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"SilvIA Earth: satellite-derived wildfire risk score per parcel or policy, sold to insurers for pricing and to administrations for targeting clearance and inspection. Its V-channel mechanism is targeting - deciding which parcels receive clearance - which is a data layer over someone else's physical work, not an install at the insured building.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_vulnerability_assessment_targeting","category_name":"Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment, Scoring and Targeting","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/silvia_earth.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I049","name":"WUIVIEW — Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment Tool (UPC-led)","initiative_type":"regulator-funded-pilot","channel":"V","channel_label":"Vulnerability","mechanism_summary":"Provides a performance-based fire-simulation workbench that exposes European building systems to modelled WUI fire conditions and returns a structural vulnerability assessment — the missing analytical layer between \"this building is in a fire-prone area\" and \"this specific assembly will fail\". It is a research toolchain rather than a deployed mitigation, and it produces vulnerability estimates, not vulnerability reductions.","mechanism_tags":["performance_based_simulation","structural_vulnerability_scoring","building_systems","academic_toolchain","wui"],"tech_stack":["fire_simulation","computational_modelling","building_physics"],"disclosed_funding":572015.58,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","academic_studies"],"sources":[{"slug":"v_fireprime_wuiview_projects","title":"FIREPRIME — European Programme for Wildfire-Prepared Communities (UCPM-2023-KAPP, GA 101140381), with the WUIVIEW performance-based WUI simulation workbench recorded as a bundle claim","tier":"T2","publisher":"fireprime_consortium","url":"https://fireprime.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260515070457/https://fireprime.eu/","snapshot_hash":"b4b5ecb1247052f24c1c47c751c365a1677261fe16b1a56250761de5ed3e1ca7","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/b4b5ecb1247052f24c1c47c751c365a1677261fe16b1a56250761de5ed3e1ca7.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T12:58:00Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"v_wui_building_standards_gap","title":"WUI building standards in Southern Europe — Legge-quadro 353/2000 art. 1 as the Italian framework-and-delegation instrument, with the Portuguese, Spanish and EN-standard gaps recorded as bundle claims","tier":"T1","publisher":"normattiva_italy","url":"https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260314021546/https://www.normattiva.it/uri-res/N2Ls?urn:nir:stato:legge:2000-11-21;353","snapshot_hash":"caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/caf6ec2ec0da6f3027d6451ca3c7cc33d05dcc698547e8ccb81a32b65312c8f9.html","publication_date":"2000-11-30","fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:06:09Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":4,"description":"WUIVIEW was a UPC-led European research project that built a performance-based fire-simulation workbench exposing European building systems to modelled wildland-urban-interface fire conditions and returning a structural vulnerability assessment, supplying the missing analytical layer between \"this building is in a fire-prone area\" and \"this specific assembly will fail\". Its consortium spans the pilot geography, with ADAI in Portugal, Fundacio Pau Costa in Spain and the Universita di Bologna in Italy, on a disclosed budget of EUR 572,015.58, and its output was published in the International Journal of Wildland Fire in June 2023. The project ran 2019 to 2021 and has ended; nothing about it is in a captured snapshot, the tool was not obtained or exercised, and it has not been shown to have been run on Mediterranean clay-tile, masonry or ventilated-cavity archetypes, which is exactly the question that decides whether it can serve this pilot at all. It produces vulnerability estimates rather than vulnerability reductions, so using its output as an effectiveness input would confuse susceptibility with a reduction in it. For VIG the mode is licensing and the reasoning is that Europe has no EN test method for wind-driven ember ingress, so performance-based simulation on European building systems is the only defensible way to attach a vulnerability number to a Southern-European dwelling; note that wuiview.org is an unrelated blog squatting the name and must not be used for identity or branding.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"licensing","rationale":"Europe has no EN standard that tests ember ingress, so a performance-based simulation built on European building systems is the only defensible way to attach a vulnerability number to a Southern-European dwelling; the consortium spans Spanish, Portuguese and Italian institutions VIG could contract with directly.","next_step":"VIG Re requests access terms for the Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment Tool from UPC and asks whether the workbench has been run on Mediterranean clay-tile and masonry archetypes; trigger = Phase X requirement for a structural-vulnerability effectiveness value that is not analyst-inferred."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Wildland-Urban Interface VIrtual Essays Workbench (WUIVIEW)","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"826522","programme_host":"Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya (UPC) - CERTEC; funded by the EU Civil Protection Mechanism (DG ECHO)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://civil-protection-knowledge-network.europa.eu/projects/wuiview","https://certec.upc.edu/en/projects/finished-projects"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"upc.edu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"WUIVIEW is a UPC-CERTEC-led project. Live fetch of https://certec.upc.edu/en/projects/finished-projects — the venture's recorded identity_source, on the candidate domain — lists 'WUIVIEW - Wildland-Urban Interface Virtual Essays Workbench' verbatim, and confirms CERTEC is a unit of the Universitat P","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I049","source_url":"https://upc.edu/favicon.ico","hash":"c045cc419b41d5e41452dd4235ec4488645598bd6f80f3a6b1e57b4c5f3daef4","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 is unreachable for a simulation workbench. Its relevance to this phase is upstream: a WUIVIEW run on Mediterranean clay-tile and masonry archetypes is the most likely route to the per-installation delta-loss evidence that gate 4 demands of the ventures that do pass gate 1.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"WUIVIEW: a performance-based fire-simulation workbench that exposes European building systems to modelled WUI fire conditions and returns a structural vulnerability assessment. It is an academic toolchain producing vulnerability estimates, not vulnerability reductions, and installs nothing.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_v_vulnerability_assessment_targeting","category_name":"Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment, Scoring and Targeting","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/wuiview.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I078","name":"BELFOR Italia","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Restores fire, smoke and corrosion damage in place rather than replacing it, across nine Italian operational branches with a 24/7 call-out. This is the most direct recovery mechanism in the channel: every square metre restored instead of rebuilt is indemnity not paid, and every day saved on drying, decontamination and reinstatement is additional-living-expense or business-interruption not accrued. The mechanism is generic structural fire restoration; wildfire-specific and mass-claim surge capacity are unevidenced.","mechanism_tags":["physical_restoration","smoke_and_soot_remediation","repair_over_replace","rebuild_cost_reduction","italy"],"tech_stack":["restoration_engineering","decontamination"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_restoration_contractors","title":"BELFOR Italia — post-fire restoration services, Italian branch network and pre-loss retainer programmes","tier":"T3","publisher":"belfor","url":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260607073729/https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","snapshot_hash":"a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:33Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_restoration_iberian_contractors","title":"Iberian post-loss restoration contractors — Polygon España and Grupo Beer","tier":"T3","publisher":"polygon_group","url":"https://www.polygongroup.com/es-ES/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260115092248/https://www.polygongroup.com/es-es/","snapshot_hash":"1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:35Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"BELFOR Italia restores fire, smoke and corrosion damage in place rather than replacing it, which is the most direct recovery mechanism in the channel: every square metre restored instead of rebuilt is indemnity not paid, and every day saved on drying, decontamination and reinstatement is additional-living-expense or business-interruption not accrued. Its Southern-European footprint is nine operational branches across Italy with a 24/7 emergency line, inside a group reporting 13,100 employees, more than 500 branches, 57 countries and 307,000 completed remediation projects; branch density rather than group headcount is the operative capacity number, because response time depends on how far the nearest crew is. All of those figures are self-published and unaudited, and none is wildfire-specific: the service is generic structural fire and smoke restoration, and nothing evidences wildland-urban-interface experience or capacity under a mass-claim event where hundreds of buildings burn at once. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation and the move requires no capital: add the company to the claims preferred-supplier review for Italian property and request documented surge capacity under a regional mass-claim wildfire scenario, which is the open question this evidence does not answer. One Italian-specific interaction is worth flagging: where Legge 353/2000 prohibits rebuilding on the affected parcel, restoration capacity does not help, because reinstatement in place is not lawful.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"A supplier VIG can route claims to and place on a preferred-contractor panel without capital commitment. Italy is inside the pilot geography and the branch density is the operative capacity constraint.","next_step":"Add to the VIG claims preferred-supplier review for Italian property, requesting documented surge capacity under a regional mass-claim wildfire scenario; trigger is the next Italian wildfire season with declared regional emergency."},"identity":{"legal_name":"BELFOR Italia S.r.l.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"IT","registration_ids":[{"kind":"vat","value":"09696150151","source":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"MI-1680782","source":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/"}],"registered_address":"Via Giovanni XXIII, 181, 21010 Cardano al Campo (VA), Italia","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/","https://www.belfor.com/it/it/informativa-sulla-privacy/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"belfor.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/ — on the candidate domain itself — states 'BELFOR Italia S.r.l.', 'P.IVA e C.F.: 09696150151', 'Numero di registrazione: MI-1680782' and 'Via Giovanni XXIII, 181 21010 Cardano al Campo (VA)'. Legal name, VAT number, REA number and registered address all match v","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I078","source_url":"https://www.belfor.com/it/wp-content/uploads/sites/9/2024/05/cropped-favicon-32x32.png","hash":"5e9173a144167be645b805d062d3ad467cb047e21cc4286d05b55b8480ea328c","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a pre-loss physical installation at the premises priced as a one-off. Post-loss restoration is a claims-panel service procured by VIG, not a premium-bundled install, and does not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"BELFOR Italia: fire, smoke and corrosion restoration performed in place across nine Italian branches with 24/7 call-out. The work happens at the policyholder's premises but only after the loss, procured by VIG as a claims-panel supplier; there is no pre-installed object a policyholder buys once in exchange for a lower premium.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_physical_restoration_capacity","category_name":"Physical Restoration and Reinstatement Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/belfor_italia.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I079","name":"BELFOR RED ALERT and P.I.A. pre-loss programmes","initiative_type":"product","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Pre-loss retainer arrangements that contract priority restoration response before any event occurs, with P.I.A. aimed specifically at small and medium enterprises across Italy. The loss effect is on response latency after a mass-claim event: without a retainer, restoration capacity in a regional wildfire is allocated first-come-first-served and secondary damage (smoke residue, corrosion, water) compounds while a queue forms. This is the one recovery instrument in the channel an insurer can actually contract in advance, which is what distinguishes it from the free imagery layer.","mechanism_tags":["pre_loss_retainer","surge_capacity","priority_response","sme_segment","secondary_damage_prevention"],"tech_stack":["restoration_engineering","service_contracting"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_restoration_contractors","title":"BELFOR Italia — post-fire restoration services, Italian branch network and pre-loss retainer programmes","tier":"T3","publisher":"belfor","url":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260607073729/https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","snapshot_hash":"a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:33Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_restoration_iberian_contractors","title":"Iberian post-loss restoration contractors — Polygon España and Grupo Beer","tier":"T3","publisher":"polygon_group","url":"https://www.polygongroup.com/es-ES/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260115092248/https://www.polygongroup.com/es-es/","snapshot_hash":"1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:35Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"BELFOR's RED ALERT and P.I.A. are pre-loss retainer arrangements that contract priority restoration response before any event occurs, with P.I.A. scoped on the Italian site to small and medium enterprises; the loss effect is on response latency after a mass-claim event, because without a retainer restoration capacity in a regional wildfire is allocated first-come-first-served while secondary damage from smoke residue, corrosion and suppression water compounds in the queue. Its Southern-European footprint is Italy, resting on the same nine-branch operation, and no terms, pricing or service-level commitment is published anywhere - whether the retainer carries a contractual response time, a capacity reservation or merely a priority intention is unknown, and that distinction is the whole value of the instrument. There is no wildfire evidence for it either: whether the retainer holds under a regional mass-claim event, when every retained client calls on the same day, is unevidenced and is the specific failure mode to test. For VIG the mode is licensing and this is the most concrete commercial move available anywhere in the recovery channel, because a retainer is purchasable, priceable and has a clean counterfactual in the delta between retained and unretained response time on a mass-claim day. Establish the contractual response-time commitment before any commitment is made, and check whether an equivalent exists for personal-lines residential property and outside Italy.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"licensing","rationale":"A retainer is a purchasable, priceable instrument with a clear counterfactual - the delta between retained and unretained response time on a mass-claim day. It is the most concrete commercial move available anywhere in this channel.","next_step":"VIG claims procurement requests commercial terms for a portfolio-level pre-loss retainer covering Italian commercial and SME property, with contractual response-time commitments under a declared regional wildfire emergency; trigger is board approval of any Southern-European wildfire growth plan."},"identity":{"legal_name":"BELFOR Italia S.r.l.","entity_type":"product","jurisdiction":"IT","registration_ids":[{"kind":"vat","value":"09696150151","source":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"MI-1680782","source":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/"}],"registered_address":"Via Giovanni XXIII, 181, 21010 Cardano al Campo (VA), Italia","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=BELFOR"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"belfor.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Identical evidence to I078, which carries the same legal_name, VAT and registered address: https://www.belfor.com/it/it/contatto/ states 'BELFOR Italia S.r.l.', 'P.IVA e C.F.: 09696150151', 'Numero di registrazione: MI-1680782' and 'Via Giovanni XXIII, 181 21010 Cardano al Campo (VA)' — verbatim mat","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I079","source_url":"https://www.belfor.com/it/wp-content/uploads/sites/9/2024/05/cropped-favicon-32x32.png","hash":"5e9173a144167be645b805d062d3ad467cb047e21cc4286d05b55b8480ea328c","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 is unreachable by construction: a retainer installs nothing. If VIG wants to price it, the route is a portfolio-level procurement with contractual response-time commitments, evaluated outside Phase IV.6.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"BELFOR RED ALERT and P.I.A.: pre-loss retainers contracting priority restoration response before any event, with P.I.A. aimed at Italian SMEs. This is the closest thing in the whole pool to a premium-bundleable pre-loss product - it is bought in advance, priced, and has a clean counterfactual in retained-versus-unretained response time. It still scores 0 because it is a contractual instrument, not a physical installation at the premises, so nothing can be inspected or verified later. Flagged as the clearest limit of this ladder's install-centric framing.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_physical_restoration_capacity","category_name":"Physical Restoration and Reinstatement Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/belfor_pre_loss_programmes.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I081","name":"Grupo Beer","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Specialises in decontamination and recovery of goods after a loss, plus asbestos removal, operating from Spain and Portugal. The contents-salvage mechanism is distinct from structural restoration and is where a large share of wildfire household and commercial indemnity is actually decided. The asbestos capability is the underrated element: older Iberian building stock damaged by fire routinely triggers a regulated asbestos disposal step that otherwise stalls the rebuild and inflates both cost and additional-living-expense.","mechanism_tags":["contents_salvage","decontamination","asbestos_remediation","rebuild_timeline_unblocking","spain","portugal"],"tech_stack":["restoration_engineering","hazardous_material_handling"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_restoration_iberian_contractors","title":"Iberian post-loss restoration contractors — Polygon España and Grupo Beer","tier":"T3","publisher":"polygon_group","url":"https://www.polygongroup.com/es-ES/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260115092248/https://www.polygongroup.com/es-es/","snapshot_hash":"1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:35Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_restoration_contractors","title":"BELFOR Italia — post-fire restoration services, Italian branch network and pre-loss retainer programmes","tier":"T3","publisher":"belfor","url":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260607073729/https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","snapshot_hash":"a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:33Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Grupo Beer specialises in decontamination and recovery of goods after a loss, plus regulated asbestos removal, operating across Spain and Portugal. Two distinct mechanisms sit here: contents salvage is separate from structural restoration and is where a large share of wildfire household and commercial indemnity is actually decided, while regulated asbestos capability held inside the restoration contractor removes a hand-off that commonly adds weeks to the rebuild of older Iberian stock, inflating both reconstruction cost and the additional-living-expense tail. The company publishes nothing quantitative at all - no employees, branches, clients, revenue or capacity - so no scale assumption can be anchored to it, no wildfire case evidence exists, and no insurer customer is named. The asbestos-to-rebuild-delay mechanism described here is a reasoned inference from a stated capability rather than a documented finding: no source quantifies how often fire-damaged Iberian stock triggers an asbestos step or what it costs in time or money. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation: it is a panel-supplier candidate with a capability the larger international groups do not lead with, disproportionately relevant to the older rural and peri-urban stock most exposed at the Iberian wildland-urban interface, and it should be reviewed in the same Iberian panel exercise as Polygon. Greece is not covered here either.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"Panel-supplier candidate with a capability - regulated asbestos handling - that the larger international groups do not lead with, and which is disproportionately relevant to the older rural and peri-urban stock most exposed at the Iberian wildland-urban interface.","next_step":"Request references and capacity documentation as part of the same Iberian panel review as Polygon; trigger is the first VIG-relevant Iberian wildfire loss involving pre-1990 building stock."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Debeer, S.A.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"A79865655","source":"https://www.grupobeer.com/legal"}],"registered_address":"Avenida del Doctor Severo Ochoa 29, 28100 Alcobendas (Madrid), España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.grupobeer.com/legal","https://www.grupobeer.com/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"grupobeer.com","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"regnumber","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://grupobeer.com/legal","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:200","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a pre-loss physical installation at the premises priced as a one-off. Post-loss restoration is a claims-panel service procured by VIG, not a premium-bundled install, and does not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Grupo Beer: contents salvage, decontamination and regulated asbestos removal after a loss in Spain and Portugal. The asbestos capability unblocks rebuild timelines on older Iberian stock, but it is still post-loss claims capacity with nothing installed in advance.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_physical_restoration_capacity","category_name":"Physical Restoration and Reinstatement Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/grupo_beer.md","flags":["logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I080","name":"Polygon España","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Performs restauración integral de daños por incendio - fire, smoke and fire-suppression damage restoration - for insurers and public and commercial clients across Spain and Portugal from a Madrid base with 24/7 response. Loss effect is repair-over-replace plus cycle-time compression on the physical rebuild. Fire-suppression water and foam damage is the underrated component: in a wildfire defence of a structure it can exceed the fire damage itself, and it is explicitly within scope here.","mechanism_tags":["physical_restoration","suppression_damage","repair_over_replace","insurer_panel_supplier","spain","portugal"],"tech_stack":["restoration_engineering","decontamination"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_restoration_iberian_contractors","title":"Iberian post-loss restoration contractors — Polygon España and Grupo Beer","tier":"T3","publisher":"polygon_group","url":"https://www.polygongroup.com/es-ES/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260115092248/https://www.polygongroup.com/es-es/","snapshot_hash":"1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/1f8bdce5c71b5c39fc0a45a16cf214a5bc404b6ae6c6da5a24d96d9a7a5bba0c.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:35Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_restoration_contractors","title":"BELFOR Italia — post-fire restoration services, Italian branch network and pre-loss retainer programmes","tier":"T3","publisher":"belfor","url":"https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260607073729/https://www.belfor.com/it/it/","snapshot_hash":"a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/a245c673fae7169551723558c855e395f9ae328f9db39766d9a085b70fd89f51.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:33Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Polygon Espana performs integral restoration of fire, smoke and fire-suppression damage for insurers and for public, commercial, residential and healthcare clients, delivering repair-over-replace plus cycle-time compression on the physical rebuild. Its Southern-European footprint covers two of the four pilot countries from one organisation - Spain and Portugal, run from a Madrid base with a stated 24/7 immediate-response team, inside a group publishing 18 countries across three continents and more than 8,000 employees. The element worth naming separately is fire-suppression damage: in the defence of a structure at the wildland-urban interface, water and foam damage can exceed the fire damage itself, and it is explicitly within scope here. All figures are self-published and unaudited, there is no wildfire-specific case evidence, and mass-claim surge capacity under a regional wildfire is not addressed anywhere on the site. For VIG the mode is customer-recommendation: include it in an Iberian preferred-contractor panel review alongside Grupo Beer, requesting documented wildfire references and surge capacity, since two-country coverage from one organisation simplifies panel management relative to country-by-country contracting. Note that neither this company nor its Iberian peer names Greece, so the Greek restoration-contractor layer is entirely unevidenced in this pilot and should be treated as a gap to close rather than as market absence.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"customer-recommendation","rationale":"Names insurers as a client segment and covers two of the four pilot countries from one organisation, which simplifies panel management relative to country-by-country contracting.","next_step":"Include in an Iberian preferred-contractor panel review alongside Grupo Beer, requesting documented wildfire case references and surge capacity; trigger is any VIG Iberian property book exceeding a wildfire-exposure threshold set by the Phase IX baseline."},"identity":{"legal_name":null,"entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":"c/ Galileo Galilei, 18-20, 28939 Arroyomolinos, Madrid, España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"no_identity_found","identity_sources":["https://www.polygongroup.com/es-ES/","https://www.polygongroup.com/about-us/polygon-privacy-policy/","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Polygon*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"polygongroup.com","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Live fetch of https://www.polygongroup.com/es-ES/ — Polygon's Spanish country site on the candidate domain — shows the contact address 'c/ Galileo Galilei, 18 28939-Arroyomolinos, Madrid' and spain@polygongroup.com, a verbatim match to the registered_address recorded in venture_identity.yaml ('c/ Ga","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I080","source_url":"https://www.polygongroup.com/UI/build/favicon/favicon-32x32.png?v=7kogpj0evk","hash":"adfc6ee6cf9da640e626c770f3b9eaabccf1de1988ace641bfd9af85c1c5ec59","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a pre-loss physical installation at the premises priced as a one-off. Post-loss restoration is a claims-panel service procured by VIG, not a premium-bundled install, and does not enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Polygon Espana: fire, smoke and suppression-water damage restoration for insurers across Spain and Portugal from a Madrid base. Post-loss claims-supply capacity procured by the carrier, not a pre-installed premises measure.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_physical_restoration_capacity","category_name":"Physical Restoration and Reinstatement Capacity","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/polygon_espana.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","no_identity"]},{"id":"I076","name":"Bdeo","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Turns claimant-captured smartphone photos and video into an automated damage classification and repair-cost estimate, removing the physical inspection step from the claim. The loss effect is on cycle time, adjuster cost and leakage - vendor-stated at three weeks to five days for handling and five days to five minutes for inspection - not on the physical severity of the fire. This is the claimant-side last mile that the free EU imagery layer does not reach, which is why it matters despite the peril gap. Demonstrated depth is motor and generic home peril only; no wildfire-specific capability is evidenced.","mechanism_tags":["claimant_side_capture","visual_intelligence","claims_triage","claims_acceleration","fraud_detection","peril_gap_wildfire"],"tech_stack":["AI","computer_vision","mobile_capture"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_claims_visual_intelligence","title":"Bdeo — visual-intelligence claims automation, product scope and vendor performance claims","tier":"T3","publisher":"bdeo","url":"https://bdeo.io/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260709020237/https://bdeo.io/","snapshot_hash":"9003b5bb1f57740474ff94330c6a38f84d69f31775786c23441dd0796994ad31","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/9003b5bb1f57740474ff94330c6a38f84d69f31775786c23441dd0796994ad31.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:19Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_claims_tech_scope_negatives","title":"Tractable insurer solutions — scope boundary evidence for motor-only claims AI","tier":"T3","publisher":"tractable","url":"https://tractable.ai/insurers/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260707090732/https://tractable.ai/insurers/","snapshot_hash":"2f9cc7be0658cfc907c5800fbfb39194261bd2d493731c3150e268754bcf4d2e","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/2f9cc7be0658cfc907c5800fbfb39194261bd2d493731c3150e268754bcf4d2e.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:23Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Bdeo turns claimant-captured smartphone photos and video into an automated damage classification and repair-cost estimate, removing the physical inspection step from the claim, so its loss effect is on cycle time, adjuster cost and leakage rather than on the physical severity of the fire. It is Madrid-based and is the only identified occupant of the per-policy, claimant-side layer that the free Copernicus imagery service does not reach, which is where the commercial value in wildfire recovery actually sits; its stated reach is more than 60 companies in 25 countries, though no customer and no country is named, so presence in Spain, Portugal, Italy or Greece cannot be asserted from it. Its published figures - handling from three weeks to five days, inspection from five days to five minutes, repair costs down up to 16%, fraud detection up up to 15% - are vendor-stated, unaudited cycle-time and cost-efficiency claims, and none is a loss-reduction figure. For VIG the mode is partnership, and it is a lower-commitment move than licensing an unproven wildfire capability: scope an extension of the existing home-peril model to wildfire-specific damage classes such as smoke and soot, partial facade loss and total structural loss, using VIG claim imagery. The caveat that would embarrass VIG if discovered later is that the wildfire capability does not currently exist - demonstrated depth is motor and generic home peril - and that no genuinely independent corroborating source for this venture was ingested, which is an open gap on a venture carrying a partnership mode.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"partnership","rationale":"The only commercial claims-technology venture with a genuine Southern-European base found in this channel, and the only identified occupant of the layer where commercial value in wildfire recovery actually sits. A partnership - specifically a wildfire property extension of an existing home-peril model - is a lower-commitment move than licensing an unproven wildfire capability, because the wildfire capability does not yet exist.","next_step":"VIG Innovation opens a scoping conversation on extending the home-peril model to wildfire-specific damage classes (smoke and soot, partial facade loss, total structural loss) using VIG claim imagery; trigger is the first Southern-European wildfire season in which VIG or a VIG partner books a material property claim count."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Bdeo Technologies, S.L.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"959800X1XZTD362RX929","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Bdeo*"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"M-642277-8","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Bdeo*"}],"registered_address":"Adela Balboa 3, 2 Oficina 3, 28039 Madrid, España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Bdeo*"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"bdeo.io","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://bdeo.io/aviso-legal/ — the aviso legal on the candidate domain itself — names 'BDEO TECHNOLOGIES S.L', CIF B-87869830 and 'Calle Adela de Balboa 3, CP: 28039 Madrid (Espana)'. The legal name and the registered address are verbatim matches to venture_identity.yaml (Bdeo Technologies, S.L.; Ad","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I076","source_url":"https://bdeo.io/favicon-32x32.png?v=2daac4211dfd1644d61a1e0ddf46f251","hash":"b8453f5f2466054224f3149fe05c0dcef9e0df32a1e5388f525d5649b1decd7c","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 is unreachable for a claims-workflow product. Its commercial route to VIG is a claims partnership, and its blocking evidence gap is a peril one - no wildfire-specific capability is evidenced - neither of which this ladder scores.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Bdeo: turns claimant-captured smartphone photos and video into automated damage classification and repair-cost estimates, removing the physical inspection step. The app runs on the claimant's phone after a loss and the buyer is the carrier's claims function; nothing is installed at the building and there is no pre-loss object to price into a premium.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","category_name":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/bdeo.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I071","name":"Copernicus EMS Rapid Mapping","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Delivers satellite-derived burned-area and grading delineations to national civil-protection authorities free of charge on an emergency service level, so the extent and severity of a wildfire are established as authoritative public record within hours of the fire front passing. The loss effect is on settlement speed and dispute cost, not on physical damage - the damage footprint stops being contested. Because the product is free and authorised-user-gated, it occupies the post-event imagery layer rather than leaving it open: this is displacement of a commercial market by a public good, not an unserved market awaiting a vendor.","mechanism_tags":["post_event_damage_assessment","satellite","public_good","free_at_point_of_use","civil_protection_delivery","claims_acceleration"],"tech_stack":["earth_observation","gis","remote_sensing"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"obvious","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_rapid_mapping","title":"Copernicus EMS On-Demand Mapping portal — activation register and free-of-charge statement","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260719210639/https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:05Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_wildfire_activations","title":"Copernicus Emergency Management Service — service components and live Iberian wildfire activation","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260729192901/https://emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"391c630e012b909cb51a2cae35b663226488483ba35e3ca77e7919a699228b14","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/391c630e012b909cb51a2cae35b663226488483ba35e3ca77e7919a699228b14.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:14Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Copernicus EMS Rapid Mapping turns satellite tasking into burned-area and damage-grading delineations delivered to national civil-protection authorities free of charge within hours of a fire front passing, so the extent and severity of an event become authoritative public record; the loss effect is on settlement speed and dispute cost, not on physical damage. Its Southern-European footprint is live and current: 908 rapid-mapping activations at fetch on 31 July 2026, with four recent wildfire activations covering Crete, Castilla y Leon together with Norte Portugal, the Province of Leon and Plana Baixa, and no Italian wildfire activation in the recent list. The evidence establishes reach and existence but nothing about product accuracy, building-level granularity or usability for reserving, and the much-repeated service level of two hours for initial assessment and ten hours for the full range is stated on neither EU portal - it is attributed to the service provider and is unverified. For VIG this is observation-only and free: register the activation feed for the four pilot countries and track time from ignition to product publication over one season, because there is no licence to buy and no channel to partner into. The strategic reading matters more than the service itself: post-event wildfire damage assessment in these four countries is a free public good delivered at emergency service level, so any commercial thesis in this layer must be built on the last mile it does not serve - claimant-side capture and per-policy triage - rather than on the imagery.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Zero-cost EU service with no commercial channel and no insurer-facing licence. VIG cannot buy it, partner into it or displace it; the only lever is consuming the published activation products, which are already open. Any commercial thesis in this layer must be built on the last mile the service does not serve - claimant-side capture and per-policy triage - not on the imagery.","next_step":"VIG Re foresight desk registers the activation feed for the four pilot countries and tracks time-from-ignition to product publication over one fire season; trigger for escalation is a Southern-European wildfire event where VIG-relevant exposure sits inside an EMSR footprint and the published grading proves usable for reserving."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Copernicus Emergency Management Service - Rapid Mapping","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Regulation (EU) 2021/696","programme_host":"European Commission - Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/about/","https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/terms-and-conditions/","https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32021R0696"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"copernicus.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"CEMS Rapid Mapping's official home is the venture's recorded identity_source https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/about/, registrable domain copernicus.eu. Live fetch of that page confirms it is the EU-published 'Mapping component of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS Mapping)' and","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/static/images/favicon.ico","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Copernicus EMS Rapid Mapping: free satellite-derived burned-area and grading delineations delivered to authorised civil-protection users within hours. A public-good imagery service consumed after the event; nothing is installed at a policyholder's premises and there is no commercial channel to bundle.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","category_name":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/copernicus_ems_rapid_mapping.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I072","name":"Copernicus EMS Risk and Recovery Mapping","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Runs as a separately counted EMS activation category aimed at the reconstruction phase rather than the emergency phase, producing damage-grading and recovery-planning cartography over weeks to months. The loss effect is on rebuild sequencing: reconstruction authorities and loss adjusters work from a common, publicly funded evidence base instead of commissioning independent surveys. Same displacement logic as rapid mapping - the recovery-phase imagery layer in Southern Europe is already occupied at zero cost.","mechanism_tags":["post_event_damage_assessment","recovery_phase_mapping","satellite","public_good","reconstruction_planning"],"tech_stack":["earth_observation","gis"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_rapid_mapping","title":"Copernicus EMS On-Demand Mapping portal — activation register and free-of-charge statement","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260719210639/https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:05Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_wildfire_activations","title":"Copernicus Emergency Management Service — service components and live Iberian wildfire activation","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260729192901/https://emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"391c630e012b909cb51a2cae35b663226488483ba35e3ca77e7919a699228b14","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/391c630e012b909cb51a2cae35b663226488483ba35e3ca77e7919a699228b14.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:14Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Copernicus EMS Risk and Recovery Mapping is the reconstruction-phase arm of the same EU on-demand mapping service, producing damage-grading and recovery-planning cartography over weeks to months so that reconstruction authorities and loss adjusters work from a common publicly funded evidence base instead of commissioning independent surveys. Its footprint is markedly thinner than the emergency arm: 149 recovery activations against 908 rapid-mapping activations at fetch, roughly one sixth the size, on the same free-of-charge, authorised-requester terms. Those 149 activations are not broken down by peril or country on the fetched pages, so whether any covered a wildfire in Spain, Portugal, Italy or Greece is unknown, and no activation cost, delivery timeframe, product specification or accuracy statement was obtained. For VIG this is observation-only, but it carries the one genuinely interesting white space in the recovery channel: because the recovery-phase public good is thin, this is the layer where a commercial recovery-analytics offer could find room without competing head-on with a free sovereign incumbent, and nothing currently occupies it. That white-space claim is conditional on resolving the per-peril breakdown first, and should not be presented as established.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Recovery activations are an order of magnitude rarer than rapid-mapping activations (149 vs 908 at fetch), so the recovery-phase public good is thinner than the emergency-phase one. That thinness - not the emergency layer - is where a commercial recovery-analytics offer could still find room, but nothing in the pilot geography currently occupies it.","next_step":"Confirm whether any of the 149 recovery activations to date covered a wildfire in ES/PT/IT/GR; if the count is near zero, log a white-space entry for recovery-phase damage grading and re-assess at the next Phase IV.5 clustering pass."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Copernicus Emergency Management Service - Risk and Recovery Mapping","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":null,"registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Regulation (EU) 2021/696","programme_host":"European Commission - Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/about/","https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/terms-and-conditions/","https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX:32021R0696"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"copernicus.eu","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"CEMS Risk and Recovery Mapping's official home is the venture's recorded identity_source https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/about/, registrable domain copernicus.eu. Live fetch of that page names 'Risk and Recovery Mapping' as a CEMS Mapping component comprising a preparedness portfolio (pre-di","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/static/images/favicon.ico","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Copernicus EMS Risk and Recovery Mapping: the reconstruction-phase EMS activation category, producing damage-grading and recovery-planning cartography over weeks to months. Same public-good imagery pathway as rapid mapping, with no premises-installed component.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","category_name":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/copernicus_ems_risk_and_recovery_mapping.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I073","name":"e-GEOS","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Operates as the industrial prime that actually produces Copernicus EMS rapid-mapping outputs, converting raw satellite tasking into delivered damage cartography under an EU service contract. Its loss effect is entirely mediated through the public service: it compresses the interval between fire and authoritative damage record. Commercially it is a Commission contractor, not an insurance vendor - its revenue does not depend on selling to carriers, and its Southern-European wildfire experience is therefore not purchasable in the ordinary way.","mechanism_tags":["post_event_damage_assessment","satellite","cems_delivery_contractor","claims_acceleration"],"tech_stack":["earth_observation","gis","satellite_tasking"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_cems_national_nodes","title":"CEMS delivery consortium and national nodes — e-GEOS (IT), Planetek Hellas (GR), Telespazio Ibérica (ES)","tier":"T3","publisher":"e_geos","url":"https://www.e-geos.it/en/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260718211900/https://www.e-geos.it/en/","snapshot_hash":"41ba1f5febc755fd61bc2f9a7158e48b9288c1266368ee18c8764e432b88b3e3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/41ba1f5febc755fd61bc2f9a7158e48b9288c1266368ee18c8764e432b88b3e3.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:16Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_rapid_mapping","title":"Copernicus EMS On-Demand Mapping portal — activation register and free-of-charge statement","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260719210639/https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:05Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"e-GEOS is the industrial prime that converts satellite tasking into delivered Copernicus EMS rapid-mapping damage cartography, so its effect on loss is entirely mediated through the public service: it compresses the interval between fire and authoritative damage record. Registered at Matera, it lists insurance among its sectors and its newsroom carried a live Copernicus rapid-mapping item at fetch, confirming an operational service-delivery role, but no insurer customer is named anywhere and no wildfire-specific product is offered. The figures usually quoted for it were not reproducible at fetch and must not be asserted: a EUR 36 million Copernicus contract for 2023 to 2029, the national consortium membership list, the two-hour and ten-hour service level, and the totals of more than 650 events and over 5,000 satellite maps. For VIG this is observation-only with one cheap probe attached: a single exploratory call to establish whether e-GEOS sells wildfire damage cartography outside the EU contract and on what terms, since a commercial route nominally exists but is unevidenced. The structural point is that this is a Commission contractor rather than an insurance vendor - its revenue does not depend on selling to carriers, so its Southern-European wildfire experience is not purchasable in the ordinary way.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The company lists insurance among its sectors, so a direct commercial route nominally exists, but no insurer customer and no wildfire insurance product is evidenced. Approaching it as a vendor before that is confirmed would be speculative.","next_step":"One exploratory call through VIG Re to establish whether e-GEOS sells wildfire damage cartography outside the EU contract and on what terms; trigger is any EMSR wildfire activation overlapping a VIG-written portfolio."},"identity":{"legal_name":"e-GEOS S.p.A.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"IT","registration_ids":[{"kind":"lei","value":"8156005BA4C03DB33663","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/8156005BA4C03DB33663"},{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"01032180778","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/8156005BA4C03DB33663"}],"registered_address":"Località Terlecchie SNC, 75100 Matera (MT), Italia","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records/8156005BA4C03DB33663"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"e-geos.it","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"Live fetch of e-geos.it returns e-GEOS's own corporate site — brand exact, .it ccTLD matching the IT jurisdiction in venture_identity.yaml, scope (geo-information / satellite services) matching the venture, and an Italian 'Societa Trasparente' disclosure section in the footer alongside 'Politica Leg","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I073","source_url":"https://www.e-geos.it/favicon.png","hash":"5a4a61ed2f9ed6fb9aefb27bb397443ae104da50986a1fb931ecfd953e79a411","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"e-GEOS: the industrial prime that produces Copernicus EMS rapid-mapping outputs under an EU service contract. Its effect on loss is mediated entirely through a public service; it is a Commission contractor delivering cartography, not a vendor of anything installable at a house.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","category_name":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/e_geos.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I075","name":"Planetek Hellas","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Greek delivery node for Copernicus EMS under a contract signed in March 2023, converting satellite tasking into post-event mapping for Greek activations such as the July 2026 Crete wildfire. Loss effect runs through settlement speed rather than through damage prevention. Notable as the only Greek-resident post-event geospatial capability identified in this channel - and it markets no wildfire product at all, which is the displacement finding in miniature.","mechanism_tags":["post_event_damage_assessment","satellite","national_delivery_node","greece"],"tech_stack":["earth_observation","gis"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_cems_national_nodes","title":"CEMS delivery consortium and national nodes — e-GEOS (IT), Planetek Hellas (GR), Telespazio Ibérica (ES)","tier":"T3","publisher":"e_geos","url":"https://www.e-geos.it/en/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260718211900/https://www.e-geos.it/en/","snapshot_hash":"41ba1f5febc755fd61bc2f9a7158e48b9288c1266368ee18c8764e432b88b3e3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/41ba1f5febc755fd61bc2f9a7158e48b9288c1266368ee18c8764e432b88b3e3.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:16Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_wildfire_activations","title":"Copernicus Emergency Management Service — service components and live Iberian wildfire activation","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260729192901/https://emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"391c630e012b909cb51a2cae35b663226488483ba35e3ca77e7919a699228b14","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/391c630e012b909cb51a2cae35b663226488483ba35e3ca77e7919a699228b14.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:14Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Planetek Hellas is the Greek delivery node for Copernicus EMS, converting satellite tasking into post-event mapping for Greek activations such as the July 2026 Crete wildfire, with the loss effect running through settlement speed rather than damage prevention. Its evidenced Southern-European footprint is an Athens base within the D-Orbit group, a Copernicus contract signed in March 2023 and a satellite command and control centre inaugurated in November 2025. The notable finding is an absence: the company's site carries no wildfire-mapping content at all, despite Greece having the most frequent wildfire activations in the pilot geography, so its Greek wildfire capability is inferred from the EU activation register rather than evidenced by the vendor, and the Copernicus role itself rests on a single dated headline with no contract value, scope or duration obtained. For VIG this is observation-only and belongs on the quarterly scan as the Greek geospatial watch item: it is the only Greek entity found anywhere in the recovery slice, and it sells nothing an insurer can buy today. That thinness should be read as an evidence gap rather than as demonstrated market absence, because the Phase IV sweep found no Greek entity at all in several adjacent slices.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Greece is the pilot geography with the thinnest commercial vendor coverage of any channel, and this is the only Greek entity found in the recovery slice. It is worth knowing, but it sells nothing an insurer can buy today.","next_step":"Add to the quarterly venture scan as the Greek geospatial watch item; trigger for contact is any move by the company or the D-Orbit group into a commercially licensed damage product."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Planetek Hellas Single Member LTD","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"GR","registration_ids":[{"kind":"vat","value":"EL998826193","source":"https://www.planetek.gr/"}],"registered_address":"262 Kifisias Avenue, Building 2, 1st floor, Kifisia 14562, Greece","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.planetek.gr/","https://www.planetek.gr/privacy","https://www.planetek.gr/contact/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"planetek.gr","grade":"anchor","anchor_signal":"regnumber","leads_review":null,"evidence_url":"https://planetek.gr","evidence_excerpt":null,"proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"fetch_status:404","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Planetek Hellas: the Greek Copernicus EMS delivery node, converting satellite tasking into post-event mapping for Greek activations. The only Greek-resident post-event geospatial capability found, and it markets no wildfire product at all - certainly nothing installed at a policyholder's premises.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","category_name":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/planetek_hellas.md","flags":["logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I077","name":"Reask","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Sells physics-based catastrophe analytics to the risk-transfer chain, with an announced but unverified European wildfire view. Its recovery-channel effect is indirect and should not be overstated: a calibrated post-event footprint lets a carrier reserve and settle faster and buy better-matched reinsurance, but it does not reduce the physical loss at all. Recorded here because the pilot geography has no confirmed European wildfire catastrophe model of any kind, and this is the closest candidate.","mechanism_tags":["catastrophe_model","event_reconstruction","reserving_support","reinsurance_channel","availability_unverified"],"tech_stack":["physics_based_modelling","machine_learning","stochastic_event_sets"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_european_wildfire_cat_models","title":"Reask — product line, reinsurance partner roster, and the unverified European wildfire model","tier":"T3","publisher":"reask","url":"https://reask.earth/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260607014416/https://reask.earth/","snapshot_hash":"dd8114dc822637badfe7694385cdfb8097652c034d56c1ad784228d510d5232f","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/dd8114dc822637badfe7694385cdfb8097652c034d56c1ad784228d510d5232f.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:21Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_claims_tech_scope_negatives","title":"Tractable insurer solutions — scope boundary evidence for motor-only claims AI","tier":"T3","publisher":"tractable","url":"https://tractable.ai/insurers/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260707090732/https://tractable.ai/insurers/","snapshot_hash":"2f9cc7be0658cfc907c5800fbfb39194261bd2d493731c3150e268754bcf4d2e","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/2f9cc7be0658cfc907c5800fbfb39194261bd2d493731c3150e268754bcf4d2e.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:23Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Reask sells physics-based catastrophe analytics to the risk-transfer chain, and its recovery-channel effect is indirect and should not be overstated: a calibrated post-event footprint lets a carrier reserve and settle faster and buy better-matched reinsurance, but it does not reduce the physical loss at all. There is no Southern-European evidence for it: no Spanish, Portuguese, Italian or Greek deployment is named anywhere on its site, its released products are tropical cyclone only, and European wildfire appears solely as an article headline rather than as an available model. The specifics of a European wildfire model reported elsewhere - tens of thousands of synthetic years of continental fire activity and tens of millions of event footprints, with validation examples naming France, Spain and the UK - were not reproducible at fetch and must not be cited anywhere downstream; a partner listing is also not a customer listing, and none of the named partners is stated to use a wildfire product. For VIG this is observation-only, and it is recorded only because the pilot geography has no confirmed European wildfire catastrophe model of any kind and this is the closest candidate. Committing on the strength of an article headline would be exactly the failure mode this inventory exists to prevent; the step is written confirmation of availability, resolution and validation geography before any evaluation.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"The published product line is tropical cyclone only; the European wildfire model appears on the site as thought leadership, not as a released product. Committing on the strength of an article headline would be exactly the failure mode this inventory exists to prevent.","next_step":"VIG Re requests written confirmation of European wildfire model availability, resolution and validation geography before any evaluation; trigger to escalate is a public release announcement or a named European wildfire placement using the model."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Reask Pty Ltd","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"AU","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"81625827643","source":"https://reask.earth/privacy-policy"}],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://reask.earth/privacy-policy","https://reask.earth/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"reask.earth","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://reask.earth/privacy-policy — a legal-disclosure page on the candidate domain itself and the venture's recorded identity_source — states 'REASK Pty Ltd ABN: 81625827643', a verbatim match to both the legal_name and the national_regcode in venture_identity.yaml. Tier-0-equivalent compelled-dis","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://framerusercontent.com/images/wkT7TYlWj7GveVIiM7I87RXGh8.png","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Reask: physics-based catastrophe analytics sold to the risk-transfer chain, with an announced but unverified European wildfire view. A cat model changes reserving and reinsurance matching; it does not reduce physical loss and is not installed anywhere.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","category_name":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/reask.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I074","name":"Telespazio Ibérica","initiative_type":"company","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Acts as the Spanish delivery node for EU emergency mapping, producing post-fire satellite imagery and cartography for Spanish activations. The mechanism is the same free-public-good pathway as the parent programme - faster authoritative damage delineation, therefore faster and less contested settlement - executed by a Spanish-resident team with Spanish civil-protection relationships. Its market-facing significance is that the deepest Spanish post-fire mapping capability sits inside a public contract, not in a sellable product.","mechanism_tags":["post_event_damage_assessment","satellite","national_delivery_node","spain"],"tech_stack":["earth_observation","gis"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_cems_national_nodes","title":"CEMS delivery consortium and national nodes — e-GEOS (IT), Planetek Hellas (GR), Telespazio Ibérica (ES)","tier":"T3","publisher":"e_geos","url":"https://www.e-geos.it/en/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260718211900/https://www.e-geos.it/en/","snapshot_hash":"41ba1f5febc755fd61bc2f9a7158e48b9288c1266368ee18c8764e432b88b3e3","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/41ba1f5febc755fd61bc2f9a7158e48b9288c1266368ee18c8764e432b88b3e3.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:16Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_rapid_mapping","title":"Copernicus EMS On-Demand Mapping portal — activation register and free-of-charge statement","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260719210639/https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:05Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":2,"description":"Telespazio Iberica acts as the Spanish delivery node for EU emergency mapping, producing post-fire satellite imagery and cartography for Spanish activations through the same free-public-good pathway as the parent programme - faster authoritative damage delineation and therefore faster, less contested settlement - executed by a Madrid-resident team with Spanish civil-protection relationships. Its evidenced Southern-European footprint is minimal: the company publishes satellite imagery documenting forest fires in Avila, and that is the whole of what its homepage substantiates. The node role itself is not asserted on the company's own site and rests on the scout identification plus the EU activation register, and the scout-reported operational details - a team of more than 20 people covering the service every day of the year, products delivered in two to twelve hours, and a 2021 Albacete activation - were not found at fetch and are not asserted. For VIG this is observation-only, and any commercial contact should wait until the Copernicus node role is verified from the EU contract register rather than the vendor site. The market-facing significance is negative and structural: the deepest Spanish post-fire mapping capability sits inside a public contract rather than in a product an insurer can buy.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Spanish-resident capability adjacent to a market VIG writes, but the node role is not even asserted on the company's own homepage, and no insurer-facing product exists. Actionability is contingent on evidence that has not yet been obtained.","next_step":"Verify the CEMS node role from the EU contract register rather than the vendor site before any commercial contact; re-assess if a Spanish wildfire activation is shown to have produced building-level damage grading."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Telespazio Ibérica, S.L.U.","entity_type":"company","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"B78317062","source":"https://www.telespazio.es/aviso-legal"}],"registered_address":"Avenida de Manoteras 18, Planta 5 - Oficina 3, 28050 Madrid, España","programme_id":null,"programme_host":null,"enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.telespazio.es/aviso-legal"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"telespazio.es","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"https://www.telespazio.es/aviso-legal — the aviso legal on the candidate domain itself — states 'TELESPAZIO IBERICA, S.L.U.', CIF 'B78317062' and 'Avenida Manoteras 18, Pl.5 - Office 3, 28050 - Madrid, Spain'. Legal name, registration number and registered address all match venture_identity.yaml exa","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":null,"hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":null},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need an installed premises object. A score, map or model delivered as data or software has none; only a physical measure it prescribes could enter the ladder.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Telespazio Iberica: the Spanish delivery node for EU emergency mapping, producing post-fire imagery and cartography for Spanish activations. National-node capability sitting inside a public contract; no premises-installed product exists.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","category_name":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/telespazio_iberica.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I084","name":"Agroseguro","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Pools Spanish agricultural, livestock, aquaculture and forestry insurance across participating co-insurers under a single state-backed scheme in which fire is a covered risk, so a burned agricultural or forestry asset is indemnified through a functioning market rather than through discretionary aid. It is the only verified public backstop in the four pilot countries that actually pays for wildfire. Its boundary is the finding that matters: Spain's Consorcio does not cover wildfire property damage, so residential and commercial building loss sits outside any state consortium.","mechanism_tags":["public_private_pool","state_backed_indemnity","forestry_and_agricultural_lines","coverage_boundary","spain"],"tech_stack":["insurance_pooling","programme_governance"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"mid","axes_hit":["regulator_filings","industry_reports"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_agroseguro_public_backstop","title":"Agroseguro — Spain's combined agricultural insurance pool and its fire cover","tier":"T2","publisher":"agroseguro","url":"https://agroseguro.es/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260724051114/https://agroseguro.es/","snapshot_hash":"81f1762104d2d3064ea26e7ee43eb28c994aea04ff7daf2a7932724e62971efd","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/81f1762104d2d3064ea26e7ee43eb28c994aea04ff7daf2a7932724e62971efd.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:43Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_state_recovery_portugal","title":"SGIFR — Portugal's integrated rural-fire management system and its named Pós-Evento phase","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr","url":"https://sgifr.gov.pt/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130845/https://sgifr.gov.pt/","snapshot_hash":"29ad94a24d769044d575866509173d3f207a96c7d2cfd4894b3af06fdc669f9b","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/29ad94a24d769044d575866509173d3f207a96c7d2cfd4894b3af06fdc669f9b.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:40Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_state_recovery_greece","title":"Κρατική Αρωγή (arogi.gov.gr) — Greek state disaster-recovery aid, wildfire section and benefit types","tier":"T1","publisher":"arogi_gov_gr","url":"https://arogi.gov.gr/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260309163153/https://arogi.gov.gr/","snapshot_hash":"b1b6c99395ad0245637559605df98d6af058bfd5e37a94bca6554bb8a71409f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/b1b6c99395ad0245637559605df98d6af058bfd5e37a94bca6554bb8a71409f9.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:41Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":4,"description":"Agroseguro manages Spain's combined agricultural insurance system, pooling agricultural, livestock, aquaculture and forestry lines across participating co-insurers under a single state-backed scheme in which fire is a covered risk, so a burned agricultural or forestry asset is indemnified through a functioning market rather than through discretionary aid. It is the only verified public backstop in the four pilot countries that actually pays for wildfire, and its forestry line is the line closest to wildfire property loss anywhere in the Spanish system. No premium volume, loss ratio, payout figure or settlement-time figure was obtained, so nothing here supports a quantified recovery-acceleration effect, and several details commonly attached to it - the line count, the number of participating private insurers, and the Consorcio's role as co-insurer and compulsory public reinsurer - were not visible on the fetched page and each needs its own primary source. For VIG this is observation-only and out of scope as a technology decision: participation would be a strategic question about entering the Spanish agricultural pool, not a claims-tech one. The boundary is the finding that matters commercially: Spain's Consorcio de Compensacion de Seguros does not cover wildfire property damage at all, so residential and commercial building wildfire loss - this pilot's entire scope - sits outside any state consortium.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Participation is a strategic question about entering the Spanish agricultural pool, not a technology decision, and it is out of scope for a claims-tech foresight exercise. Its value here is as the reference architecture for what a working wildfire backstop looks like.","next_step":"Use the Agroseguro structure as the comparator when Phase X assesses whether a property-side wildfire pool is a plausible market development in any pilot country; no commercial contact indicated."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Agrupación Española de Entidades Aseguradoras de los Seguros Agrarios Combinados, S.A.","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"ES","registration_ids":[{"kind":"national_regcode","value":"A-28637304","source":"https://agroseguro.es/aviso-legal"},{"kind":"lei","value":"9598008X2QCNZ4NA9C42","source":"https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Agroseguro"}],"registered_address":"Calle Gobelas 23, 28023 Madrid, España","programme_id":"Ley 87/1978","programme_host":"Agroseguro; contraparte estatal ENESA (Entidad Estatal de Seguros Agrarios)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://agroseguro.es/aviso-legal","https://api.gleif.org/api/v1/lei-records?filter[entity.legalName]=Agroseguro","https://www.boe.es/eli/es/l/1978/12/28/87"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"agroseguro.es","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"agroseguro.es is the venture's own domain: the Stage-2 fetch reached it and returned the 'Agroseguro' brand, and venture_identity.yaml records https://agroseguro.es/aviso-legal — a legal-disclosure page on this very domain — as the source for both the CIF A-28637304 and the registered address Calle ","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"unavailable","url":null,"source_url":"https://agroseguro.es/wp-content/uploads/2025/10/favicon.jpg","hash":null,"ext":null,"confidence":null,"reason":"robots_disallowed","brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 is unreachable for an insurance pool. The live question it raises - whether a property-side wildfire pool is plausible in any pilot country - is a market-structure question for Phase X, not a serviceability one.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Agroseguro: the Spanish state-backed agricultural, livestock, aquaculture and forestry insurance pool in which fire is a covered risk - the only verified public backstop in the four countries that actually pays for wildfire. It is a risk-transfer scheme, not a technology installed at premises, and its boundary is the finding: Spain's Consorcio does not cover wildfire property damage.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_public_recovery_substitution","category_name":"Public Post-Event Recovery Substitution and Backstops","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/agroseguro.md","flags":["leads_review_pending","logo_unavailable"]},{"id":"I082","name":"SGIFR Pós-Evento (Portugal)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Embeds post-event recovery as one of six named phases in Portugal's integrated rural-fire management system, giving burned-land stabilisation, community support and reconstruction coordination a standing interinstitutional mandate rather than an ad-hoc response. For an insurer the mechanism cuts both ways: it accelerates physical recovery, and it substitutes state capacity for private indemnity, suppressing the insured share of Portuguese wildfire loss in a way that is structural rather than cyclical.","mechanism_tags":["state_recovery_programme","post_event_phase","reconstruction_coordination","state_substitution","portugal"],"tech_stack":["programme_governance"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_state_recovery_portugal","title":"SGIFR — Portugal's integrated rural-fire management system and its named Pós-Evento phase","tier":"T1","publisher":"sgifr","url":"https://sgifr.gov.pt/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260731130845/https://sgifr.gov.pt/","snapshot_hash":"29ad94a24d769044d575866509173d3f207a96c7d2cfd4894b3af06fdc669f9b","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/29ad94a24d769044d575866509173d3f207a96c7d2cfd4894b3af06fdc669f9b.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:40Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_rapid_mapping","title":"Copernicus EMS On-Demand Mapping portal — activation register and free-of-charge statement","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260719210639/https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:05Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"SGIFR Pos-Evento is the post-event phase of Portugal's integrated rural-fire management system, one of six permanently mandated operational phases, giving burned-land stabilisation, community support and reconstruction coordination a standing interinstitutional mandate across ICNF, ANEPC, AGIF and municipal roles rather than ad hoc assembly after each fire. Its Southern-European footprint is national and structural, but entirely unquantified in the captured evidence: the portal publishes no budget, uptake, timeline or beneficiary figure for the phase, and the substantive detail sits in planning documents this pilot did not ingest. For an insurer the mechanism cuts both ways, and that is why it is carried: it accelerates physical recovery, and it substitutes state capacity for private indemnity, suppressing the insured share of Portuguese wildfire loss in a way that is structural rather than cyclical - though nothing here quantifies what share the state absorbs or how it varies with event size. For VIG this is observation-only, because a sovereign programme has no commercial interface; its proper home is the exposure model rather than the partnership pipeline. The highest-priority open item in the recovery channel attaches to this entry: the reported August 2025 announcement of full state contribution to first-home reconstruction up to a stated ceiling could not be corroborated by any fetchable primary source, and it must not be recorded as a parameter until one is ingested.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"A sovereign programme with no commercial interface. Its relevance to VIG is as a determinant of how much Portuguese wildfire loss ever reaches a private policy, which belongs in the exposure model rather than in a partnership pipeline.","next_step":"Obtain a primary source for the 21 August 2025 reconstruction-financing announcement before any Portuguese wildfire exposure assumption is set; trigger is the Phase IX baseline construction, which cannot resolve insured share without it."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Sistema de Gestao Integrada de Fogos Rurais (SGIFR) - fase de Pos-Evento","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"PT","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Decreto-Lei 82/2021","programme_host":"AGIF, I.P. (planeamento e coordenacao) e ANEPC (operacional)","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://www.agif.pt/pt/informacao-institucional/diplomas-legislativos","https://sgifr.gov.pt/"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"sgifr.gov.pt","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The post-event phase of SGIFR sits on the same state portal as the system itself: sgifr.gov.pt is titled 'Portal Publico do SGIFR', is listed as this venture's own identity_source in venture_identity.yaml, and a live fetch of a portal page shows footer '(c) 2024 AGIF' — AGIF, I.P. being the planning","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I082","source_url":"https://sgifr.gov.pt/o/sgifr-theme/images/favicon.ico","hash":"503e7d40d2908d65d4b2e0f02be677a5a8417b3a5f6e0b0039d48aee7ed9b797","ext":"ico","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"icon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a sovereign programme to sell a per-property installed measure. It cannot; this entry is an exposure input, not a serviceable product.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"SGIFR Pos-Evento: Portugal's post-event recovery phase, giving burned-land stabilisation, community support and reconstruction coordination a standing interinstitutional mandate. A sovereign programme with no commercial interface; for VIG it is a determinant of how much loss ever reaches a private policy.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_public_recovery_substitution","category_name":"Public Post-Event Recovery Substitution and Backstops","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/sgifr_pos_evento.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]},{"id":"I083","name":"Κρατική Αρωγή (Greek state disaster aid)","initiative_type":"programme","channel":"R","channel_label":"Recovery","mechanism_summary":"Consolidates Greek state post-disaster support - housing assistance, household-goods compensation, business subsidies and property-tax relief - with a dedicated wildfire section and event-specific schemes stood up per disaster. The recovery effect on the household is real and fast-moving; the effect on the insurance market is substitution. Because schemes are created event by event with discretionary scope and undisclosed amounts, the offset to insured loss is not merely large but unpredictable, which is worse for pricing than a large but stable backstop would be.","mechanism_tags":["state_recovery_programme","ex_post_discretionary_aid","state_substitution","housing_assistance","greece"],"tech_stack":["programme_governance"],"disclosed_funding":null,"currency":"EUR","difficulty":"deep","axes_hit":["regulator_filings"],"sources":[{"slug":"r_state_recovery_greece","title":"Κρατική Αρωγή (arogi.gov.gr) — Greek state disaster-recovery aid, wildfire section and benefit types","tier":"T1","publisher":"arogi_gov_gr","url":"https://arogi.gov.gr/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260309163153/https://arogi.gov.gr/","snapshot_hash":"b1b6c99395ad0245637559605df98d6af058bfd5e37a94bca6554bb8a71409f9","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/b1b6c99395ad0245637559605df98d6af058bfd5e37a94bca6554bb8a71409f9.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:41Z","page_exists":true},{"slug":"r_copernicus_ems_rapid_mapping","title":"Copernicus EMS On-Demand Mapping portal — activation register and free-of-charge statement","tier":"T1","publisher":"copernicus_ems","url":"https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","wayback_url":"https://web.archive.org/web/20260719210639/https://mapping.emergency.copernicus.eu/","snapshot_hash":"4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a","snapshot_path":"pilots/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/wiki/snapshots/4297203d1a9607090d4362d44a5e07886204a1b8c124cce6208b165df775d96a.html","publication_date":null,"fetched_at":"2026-07-31T13:10:05Z","page_exists":true}],"evidence_score":5,"description":"Kratiki Arogi is the single official entry point for Greek post-disaster state aid, consolidating housing assistance, household-goods compensation, business subsidies and property-tax exemptions with a dedicated wildfire section, and standing up event-specific schemes with their own application platforms per disaster. Its Southern-European footprint is Greece-wide, but no programme budget, benefit amount, ceiling or eligibility threshold of any kind is published at portal level, so what the architecture actually pays is unknown; per-event legal acts would have to be ingested individually to obtain them. The instrument set substitutes directly for insurance functions - housing assistance for rebuild indemnity, household-goods compensation for contents cover, business subsidies for business interruption - and the event-by-event administration model is the structurally important feature, because it makes the substitution discretionary in both scope and generosity. That is why the effect on insured share is not merely large but unpredictable, which is worse for pricing than a large but stable backstop would be. For VIG this is observation-only and non-contractable: it belongs in Greek exposure and protection-gap assumptions, and the concrete step is to ingest two or three per-event legal acts to establish real benefit ceilings. The 80% grant and 20% interest-free loan split that circulates in secondary coverage is unverified and must not be carried forward as a number under any circumstances, including as a bracket endpoint.","description_status":null,"actionability":{"mode":"observation-only","rationale":"Sovereign, discretionary and non-contractable. It is an input to Greek exposure and protection-gap assumptions, not an opportunity.","next_step":"Ingest two or three per-event ΚΥΑ legal acts to establish actual benefit ceilings before any Greek wildfire insured-share assumption is fixed; trigger is Phase IX baseline construction. The circulating 80/20 grant-loan split must not be used until sourced."},"identity":{"legal_name":"Κρατική Αρωγή","entity_type":"programme","jurisdiction":"GR","registration_ids":[],"registered_address":null,"programme_id":"Ν. 4797/2021","programme_host":"Κυβερνητική Επιτροπή Κρατικής Αρωγής; πύλη υπό το Υπουργείο Κλιματικής Κρίσης και Πολιτικής Προστασίας","enrichment_status":"enriched","identity_sources":["https://arogi.gov.gr/","https://arogi.gov.gr/nomiko-plaisio","https://www.taxheaven.gr/law/4797/2021"]},"domain":{"verdict":"confirmed","domain":"arogi.gov.gr","grade":"verifier","anchor_signal":"verifier","leads_review":"pending","evidence_url":null,"evidence_excerpt":"The candidate domain is the programme's own state portal: its homepage title is 'ARCHIKI SELIDA - Kratiki Arogi', carrying the venture's legal_name verbatim, and a live fetch of https://arogi.gov.gr/nomiko-plaisio (a recorded identity_source) shows the copyright line 'Copyright @ 2025 Ypourgeio Klim","proposed_by":["agent"],"reason":null,"resolved_at":"2026-08-02"},"logo":{"status":"ok","url":"/api/runs/2026-wildfire-southern-europe/logos/I083","source_url":"https://arogi.gov.gr/favicon.ico","hash":"3646ea63ddb51b413c40263a77888f40f4fbaf11d0919dc6cd57d56d7c514bb3","ext":"png","confidence":"high","reason":null,"brand_verified":true,"discovered_via":"root-favicon"},"serviceability":{"score":0,"gates":{"deployability":"fail","install_cost":"not_reached","payback":"not_reached","delta_loss":"not_reached","verification":"not_reached"},"install_cost_eur":null,"install_cost_tier":null,"payback_years":null,"next_gate":"Gate 1 would need a sovereign programme to sell a per-property installed measure. It cannot; this entry is an exposure input, not a serviceable product.","confidence":"L","evidence_gap":false,"gap_reason":null,"justification":"Kratiki Arogi: consolidated Greek state post-disaster support - housing assistance, household-goods compensation, business subsidies and tax relief - stood up event by event. Sovereign, discretionary and non-contractable; it substitutes for insured loss rather than being sold alongside it.","sources":[]},"category_id":"cat_r_public_recovery_substitution","category_name":"Public Post-Event Recovery Substitution and Backstops","category_tier":"confirmed","wiki_page":"wiki/ventures/kratiki_arogi.md","flags":["leads_review_pending"]}],"facets":[{"key":"channel","label":"Channel","values":[{"value":"H","label":"H Hazard","count":30},{"value":"V","label":"V Vulnerability","count":20},{"value":"R","label":"R Recovery","count":14}]},{"key":"category_id","label":"Category","values":[{"value":"cat_h_detection_forecasting_decision_support","label":"Wildfire Detection, Fire-Danger Forecasting and Suppression Decision Support","count":10},{"value":"cat_r_post_event_damage_establishment","label":"Post-Event Damage Establishment and Claims Quantification","count":7},{"value":"cat_h_fire_management_programmes_and_statutes","label":"National and Regional Fire-Management Programmes and Statutes","count":6},{"value":"cat_v_noncombustible_envelope_fabric","label":"Non-Combustible Permanent Building-Envelope Fabric","count":6},{"value":"cat_v_defensible_space_clearance","label":"Statutory Defensible-Space Clearance at the Building Perimeter","count":6},{"value":"cat_h_aerial_suppression_surge_capacity","label":"Aerial Suppression and Cross-Border Surge Capacity","count":5},{"value":"cat_h_landscape_fuel_management","label":"Landscape Fuel Management and Grazed Fuel-Break Networks","count":5},{"value":"cat_v_vulnerability_assessment_targeting","label":"Wildfire Vulnerability Assessment, Scoring and Targeting","count":5},{"value":"cat_r_physical_restoration_capacity","label":"Physical Restoration and Reinstatement Capacity","count":4},{"value":"cat_h_utility_corridor_ignition_prevention","label":"Utility-Corridor Ignition Prevention","count":4},{"value":"cat_r_public_recovery_substitution","label":"Public Post-Event Recovery Substitution and Backstops","count":3},{"value":"cat_v_retrofit_ember_path_protection","label":"Retrofit Ember- and Heat-Path Protection for Existing Buildings","count":3}]},{"key":"category_tier","label":"Category tier","values":[{"value":"confirmed","label":"Confirmed","count":50},{"value":"emerging","label":"Emerging","count":14}]},{"key":"initiative_type","label":"Type","values":[{"value":"programme","label":"programme","count":28},{"value":"company","label":"company","count":22},{"value":"product","label":"product","count":6},{"value":"regulator-funded-pilot","label":"regulator funded pilot","count":4},{"value":"academic-spinout","label":"academic spinout","count":2},{"value":"internal-insurer-initiative","label":"internal insurer initiative","count":2}]},{"key":"difficulty","label":"How hard to find","values":[{"value":"obvious","label":"obvious","count":6},{"value":"mid","label":"mid","count":27},{"value":"deep","label":"deep","count":31}]},{"key":"country","label":"Country","values":[{"value":"ES","label":"ES","count":26},{"value":"PT","label":"PT","count":10},{"value":"","label":"Unknown","count":8},{"value":"IT","label":"IT","count":6},{"value":"GR","label":"GR","count":4},{"value":"DE","label":"DE","count":2},{"value":"US","label":"US","count":2},{"value":"AU","label":"AU","count":1},{"value":"BE","label":"BE","count":1},{"value":"DK","label":"DK","count":1},{"value":"FI","label":"FI","count":1},{"value":"FR","label":"FR","count":1},{"value":"NL","label":"NL","count":1}]},{"key":"actionability","label":"Insurer actionability","values":[{"value":"observation-only","label":"observation only","count":41},{"value":"customer-recommendation","label":"customer recommendation","count":9},{"value":"partnership","label":"partnership","count":9},{"value":"licensing","label":"licensing","count":4},{"value":"investment","label":"investment","count":1}]},{"key":"identity_grade","label":"Identity","values":[{"value":"anchor","label":"Anchor-confirmed","count":13},{"value":"verifier","label":"Verifier (review)","count":42},{"value":"none","label":"Unresolved","count":9}]},{"key":"serviceability","label":"Serviceable score","values":[{"value":1,"label":"1","count":11},{"value":0,"label":"0","count":53}]},{"key":"evidence_score","label":"Evidence score","values":[{"value":5,"label":"5","count":21},{"value":4,"label":"4","count":6},{"value":3,"label":"3","count":1},{"value":2,"label":"2","count":36}]},{"key":"flags","label":"Needs attention","values":[{"value":"leads_review_pending","label":"leads review pending","count":42},{"value":"logo_unavailable","label":"logo unavailable","count":30},{"value":"domain_unresolved","label":"domain unresolved","count":9},{"value":"no_identity","label":"no identity","count":5}]}],"counts":{"total":64,"channel":{"H":30,"V":20,"R":14},"difficulty":{"mid":27,"deep":31,"obvious":6},"identity_grade":{"verifier":42,"anchor":13,"none":9},"logos_ok":34,"leads_review_pending":42,"uncategorised":0,"disclosed_funding_total":3171515274.58,"funding_unknown":55,"deep_share":0.484},"excluded":[{"id":"I007","name":"MAK 5 long-term retardant (BRS, commercialised by Pyro Fire Extinction)","reason":"Real product with a documented Spanish fire-test certification (INIA UNE 23530, CEREN) and a stated multi-year role in Red Electrica prevention measures, but every claim about it traces to a single source, the commercialiser's own website. No independent corroboration was obtainable, so it fails the two-source evidence rule as a standalone venture. Its mechanism is carried inside I006 (Pyro Fire Extinction) instead."},{"id":"I032","name":"RoboticsCats Ltd (LookOut AI wildfire detection)","reason":"Lawfully excluded. The tool's robots.txt check refused https://www.roboticscats.com/ (RobotsDisallowedError at fetch time on 2026-07-31), so no snapshot exists and no claim about the company - including its reported Athens camera deployment via Pavlou Fire Fighting Co. - can be recorded to this pilot's provenance standard."},{"id":"I033","name":"Fire Rover","reason":"Scope mismatch. The product addresses fires at industrial waste and recycling facilities, which is a fixed-installation industrial peril, not wildland fire damaging insured property in the wildland-urban interface. Excluding it prevents an unrelated mechanism from contaminating the Hazard channel."},{"id":"I034","name":"Tesselo","reason":"Dead. The Lisbon-based forest remote-sensing venture publicly announced that its partnership had come to an end after seven years. A wound-down entity cannot carry forward adoption over a ten-year horizon."},{"id":"I035","name":"Pano AI","reason":"No European availability or deployment evidence. Camera-plus-AI detection with substantial funding and insurer strategic capital, but no verified customer, reseller or regulatory presence in Spain, Portugal, Italy or Greece, and its published performance testimonial is from a US operating context. Fails the geographic-scope criterion."},{"id":"I036","name":"Alchera X FireScout","reason":"US/Korean camera-detection product whose deployment base is the US ALERTWildfire camera network. No European installation was found, and its accuracy figures are described as internal testing rather than independent validation."},{"id":"I037","name":"Rain (rain.aero)","reason":"Autonomous aerial suppression using converted rotorcraft, US-based and seed-stage. No European certification pathway, no European customer, and autonomous firefighting aircraft face an aviation-regulatory barrier in the EU that no source addresses. Not available adoption within the pilot horizon on current evidence."},{"id":"I038","name":"TEKEVER","reason":"Scope mismatch on geography of application. A Portuguese-headquartered uncrewed-systems firm, but its identified wildfire contract is in Alberta, Canada. Headquarters location is not deployment evidence, and the pilot requires the mitigation to operate in the study geography."},{"id":"I039","name":"Prometeo Platform S.L.","reason":"Identity not verified. Firefighter-exposure wearables originating with the Catalan GRAF units are plausible and Barcelona-based, but the scout marked the entry verified:false and the root domain was never successfully fetched. Recording it would assert an entity this pilot has not confirmed exists in its current form."},{"id":"I040","name":"BEE2FIREDETECTION (Future Compta, with IBM)","reason":"Not fetchable to provenance standard. bee2firedetection.com fails TLS certificate validation, so no content-hashed snapshot could be taken and its vendor detection-success claim cannot be attributed to a verifiable artefact. Its selection by the Portuguese rePLANT consortium is credible but is single-source and unsnapshotted."},{"id":"I061","name":"IBHS Wildfire Prepared Home, NFPA Firewise USA, FLASH / WildfireStrong, ICC IWUIC","reason":"The entire US home-hardening certification and model-code ecosystem. IBHS Wildfire Prepared Home is available in 14 US states only, holds no European availability and no EN certification pathway; Firewise is US-only and its site is JavaScript-rendered; FLASH publishes no reach or outcome metrics; IWUIC is the model code the four pilot countries do not have. Retained as the benchmark in v_ibhs_home_hardening_evidence and v_wui_building_standards_gap, not as addressable supply. Note also that the widely quoted IBHS figures on halving ignition risk and nearly doubling survival are a vegetation and Zone-0 effect and must never be attached to a product."},{"id":"I062","name":"BrandGuard Vents","reason":"US ember-resistant vent manufacturer listed to ASTM E2886 / E2912 and California Chapter 7A and CAL FIRE listed, but ships nationwide and into Canada only, with no CE marking and no EN certification. Unlike O'Hagin it offers no clay-tile, concrete-tile or natural-slate profile argument that would make it plausibly address the pilot's building stock, so it fails the geographic-scope criterion outright."},{"id":"I063","name":"Faura, ZestyAI Z-FIRE, Kettle, Delos Insurance Solutions, Stand Insurance","reason":"The US property-level wildfire scoring and carrier ecosystem, including the only working score-to-retrofit-to-verify loop (Faura) and the only itemised mitigation premium credit located anywhere (Stand). All are US-only with no European market, carrier or regulatory approval; the scout's verified negatives list ZestyAI and Cape Analytics as US-only, and delosinsurance.com additionally fails TLS validation. Their value is as a transferable operating model, recorded in v_property_risk_scoring_ventures, not as available supply. All disclosed funding is USD and is deliberately not converted."},{"id":"I064","name":"Firezat / FireFoil aluminized structure wrap","reason":"Carries the best-sourced effectiveness attribution in the category — up to 96% of radiant and 92% of convective heat blocked, attributed to Takahashi 2019 — but the only Southern-European reference on its site is \"Agencies in Australia, Canada, southern Europe, and beyond\" with no country, project, customer or date named. That is insufficient to count as a deployment, and the underlying Takahashi paper was not retrieved by this pilot."},{"id":"I065","name":"Frontline Wildfire Defense, Wildfire Defense Systems, Chubb Wildfire Defense Services, Barricade Fire Gel, GelTech / FireIce, Phos-Chek FORTIFY","reason":"US exterior-suppression and insurer-dispatched-crew ventures. Phos-Chek FORTIFY is structurally excluded — the vendor states it is only available in North America. Frontline's 96% survival claim has no denominator, no control group and is self-reported. Barricade's domain is dead and GelTech's redirects to an unrelated holding company. Wildfire Defense Systems is the proven insurer-funded model but operates only in the US. IBHS itself states that limited methodical research exists on external sprinkler effectiveness, which undercuts the category."},{"id":"I066","name":"FireDome","reason":"Israeli exterior fire-suppression venture, $4.5m disclosed. First demonstration was October 2025, so it cannot be modelled as available adoption within this pilot's base year. It also carries identity traps: firedome.io redirects to a brewery and an unrelated cybersecurity firm shares the name, which would break the v0.8 logo pipeline."},{"id":"I067","name":"Onduline, Pilkington Pyrostop / Pyrodur, Tecresa","reason":"Scope mismatch or adverse direction. Onduline's bitumen-cellulose substrate is combustible and is likely risk-increasing rather than mitigating. Pilkington's fire glazing is tested against cellulosic compartment-fire curves, not wildfire radiant exposure, so its classifications do not transfer. Tecresa supplies passive fire protection for building compartmentation, not wildland-fire exposure."},{"id":"I068","name":"Cervest, Tesselo","reason":"Both dead and must not be listed as active ventures. Cervest entered administration on 20 June 2023 with 71 staff made redundant and its IP was sold to Mitiga Solutions on 25 June 2023, so its capability survives only inside I058. Tesselo's own site states the partnership has come to an end."},{"id":"I069","name":"Aldeia Segura, Pessoas Seguras (ANEPC, Portugal)","reason":"Real, live and well documented, with municipally self-reported counters for participating settlements, safety officers, evacuation plans, drills, shelters and refuges. Excluded from the V slice on channel grounds only: its dominant mechanism is settlement-scale evacuation, sheltering and preparedness, which sits in H and R rather than in reducing damage to the building given fire. Flagged for the coordinator so it is picked up in exactly one channel and not double-counted."},{"id":"I070","name":"Tecnifuego, Headwaters Economics","reason":"Neither is a venture. Tecnifuego is the Spanish fire-protection industry association and is used in this slice as the negative control that shows mainstream Spanish autoprotección guidance specifies no clearance distances and mentions no exterior sprinklers, water curtains or gels. Headwaters Economics is a research non-profit supplying the only located retrofit cost anchor. Both are recorded as sources (v_tecnifuego_spain_negative_control, v_retrofit_cost_evidence), not as pool entries."},{"id":"I085","name":"Legge 353/2000 catasto delle aree percorse dal fuoco","reason":"Double entry. The same legal instrument is already in the pool as I016 (channel H), where its mitigating limb sits: freezing land use and banning construction on burned parcels removes the development incentive behind deliberate ignition, which reduces ignitions. The limb recorded here is the post-fire one - reinstatement in place is unlawful for ten years where the ban binds - and that does NOT reduce insured property loss. It pushes settlement toward cash indemnity, relocation or deferred rebuild with a long additional-living-expense tail, so its sign is neutral-to-loss-amplifying. channels.md's tie-break assigns a venture to the channel where the dominant mechanism operates, so the instrument is carried once, at I016. Re-evaluation trigger: any study quantifying how often the Art. 10 ban actually binds on insured buildings - the magnitude is currently unquantified in any source. The evidence page wiki/ventures/legge_353_2000_catasto.md is retained because the rebuild-constraint analysis is materially relevant to Italian policy wordings, and it is surfaced in the synthesis report rather than the matrix."},{"id":"I086","name":"Tractable","reason":"Scope mismatch, verified at fetch. The current insurer solutions page covers \"all vehicle collision damage, covering everything from minor scratches to total loss\", and all four modules (FNOL triage, AI preliminary estimate, claim review, subrogation) are framed exclusively around vehicle damage. No property, home, building or wildfire peril is named anywhere on the page. Motor-only claims technology is not admissible in a wildfire property inventory."},{"id":"I087","name":"Descartes Underwriting","reason":"Premise unsubstantiated. The scout fetched the company newsroom and found no wildfire deal announcements and no Spanish, Portuguese, Italian or Greek announcements at all. The claim of Southern-European wildfire parametric deals has no evidential basis, so the venture cannot be admitted on that mechanism. It appears in this inventory only as a named partner on the Reask source page."},{"id":"I088","name":"Sprout.ai","reason":"Unciteable and out of scope. The vendor's site statistics blocks render as \"0%\" placeholders, so no performance figure may be cited, and no wildfire peril or ES/PT/IT/GR presence is evidenced. A venture whose only quantitative content is unrenderable cannot support a mitigation cell."},{"id":"I089","name":"Vexcel Gray Sky post-catastrophe imagery","reason":"No Southern-European availability. The only named European examples are Germany and the UK; no ES/PT/IT/GR wildfire coverage is evidenced. Independently, the layer it would sell into is already occupied at zero cost by Copernicus EMS in these four countries, which makes commercial entry structurally unattractive rather than merely unevidenced."},{"id":"I090","name":"Climate X","reason":"Peril availability unconfirmed. The vendor's wildfire product page returned HTTP 404 at scout fetch, so the wildfire peril cannot be confirmed as an available product. Not re-fetched in this pass; re-open if a live wildfire product page appears."},{"id":"I091","name":"Moody's RMS European wildfire model","reason":"Verified negative carried forward from the scout: Moody's RMS has no European wildfire model, only US and Canada. There is no European product to inventory."},{"id":"I092","name":"Nearmap, Betterview and Cape Analytics (US aerial property-intelligence cohort)","reason":"No European operation. Nearmap and Betterview do not fly Europe; Cape Analytics is US-only. Post-catastrophe aerial property intelligence is therefore unavailable in the pilot geography regardless of technical fit."},{"id":"I093","name":"CLIMADA / climada_petals wildfire module","reason":"Admissibility unverified in this pass. CLIMADA is a real ETH Zürich probabilistic impact model that calculates averted damage from adaptation measures, but the fetched stable petals documentation showed only a river-flood hazard example and no wildfire module, contrary to the scout note. Excluded rather than asserted; re-open if the wildfire hazard class is confirmed in the release documentation. Its mechanism is also modelling rather than recovery, so channel fit would need arguing separately."},{"id":"I094","name":"Tesselo","reason":"Dead. The Lisbon venture publicly stated that after seven years its partnership had come to an end. Not an active venture and must not be inventoried as one."},{"id":"I095","name":"Generic claims-workflow and parametric vendors (MotionsCloud, Five Sigma, Clearspeed, Claim Technology, Arbol, Raincoat, Xactimate)","reason":"No wildfire peril and no ES/PT/IT/GR evidence in any case. Raincoat's wildfire peril is specifically unconfirmed; Xactimate's European rebuild-costing coverage is listed by the scout as unfilled-but-retrievable and was not obtained. Grouped rather than individually inventoried because none clears the two-criteria bar of wildfire mechanism plus pilot-geography presence, and none has a corroborating source page in this pilot."}],"pool_quotas":{"channels":{"H":{"volume":20,"pre_series_b":6,"cee":6,"internal_insurer":3,"cross_pollination":3,"regulator_funded":3,"common_knowledge_pct":0.4,"source_type_axes_hit":4,"surface_difficulty_deep_pct":0.3},"V":{"volume":20,"pre_series_b":6,"cee":6,"internal_insurer":3,"cross_pollination":3,"regulator_funded":3,"common_knowledge_pct":0.4,"source_type_axes_hit":4,"surface_difficulty_deep_pct":0.3},"R":{"volume":20,"pre_series_b":6,"cee":6,"internal_insurer":3,"cross_pollination":3,"regulator_funded":3,"common_knowledge_pct":0.4,"source_type_axes_hit":4,"surface_difficulty_deep_pct":0.3}}},"catalog_shallow":false}